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Interim Guidance Update on Mobile Source Air Toxic Analysis in NEPA - Figure 1

NATIONAL ANNUAL MSAT EMISSION TRENDS 2010 - 2050 FOR VEHICLES OPERATING ON ROADWAYS USING EPA's MOVES2010b MODEL
  Pollutant Emissions (megatonnes) and Vehicle-Miles Traveled (VMT) by Calendar Year Change
Pollutant / VMT 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2010 to 2050
Acrolein 1.13E-03 7.30E-04 4.31E-04 2.89E-04 2.34E-04 2.24E-04 2.39E-04 2.64E-04 2.92E-04 -74%
Benzene 1.72E-02 9.25E-03 6.14E-03 5.14E-03 4.89E-03 5.17E-03 5.64E-03 6.21E-03 6.83E-03 -60%
Butadiene 2.86E-03 1.62E-03 1.06E-03 8.63E-04 8.07E-04 8.47E-04 9.23E-04 1.02E-03 1.12E-03 -61%
Diesel PM 1.17E-01 7.18E-02 3.69E-02 1.92E-02 1.15E-02 9.10E-03 9.05E-03 9.93E-03 1.09E-02 -91%
Formaldehyde 1.62E-02 1.08E-02 7.06E-03 5.39E-03 4.83E-03 4.91E-03 5.30E-03 5.86E-03 6.48E-03 -60%
Naphthalene 2.15E-03 1.36E-03 8.51E-04 6.29E-04 5.50E-04 5.54E-04 5.98E-04 6.60E-04 7.28E-04 -66%
Polycyclic Organic Matter 9.99E-04 6.40E-04 3.75E-04 2.49E-04 1.98E-04 1.88E-04 1.99E-04 2.18E-04 2.38E-04 -76%
Trillions VMT 2.96 3.19 3.50 3.85 4.16 4.58 5.01 5.49 6.00 102%
  Pollutant Emissions (tons) and Vehicle-Miles Traveled (VMT) by Calendar Year Change
Pollutant / VMT 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2010 to 2050
Acrolein 1244 805 476 318 258 247 264 292 322 -74%
Benzene 18995 10195 6765 5669 5386 5696 6216 6840 7525 -60%
Butadiene 3157 1783 1163 951 890 934 1017 1119 1231 -61%
Diesel PM 128847 79158 40694 21155 12667 10027 9978 10942 11992 -91%
Formaldehyde 17848 11943 7778 5938 5329 5407 5847 6463 7141 -60%
Naphthalene 2366 1502 939 693 607 611 659 727 802 -66%
Polycyclics 1102 705 414 274 218 207 219 240 262 -76%
VMT 2.96 3.19 3.50 3.85 4.16 4.58 5.01 5.49 6.00 102%

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Updated: 12/21/2012
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