Temperature and Precipitation Projections for the Mobile Bay Region

Chapter Five Data Tables

Figure 5.3

Table A
	0.1	1	10	25	50	75	90	99	99.9
bcm2	-0.181756	0.21224	-0.0192	-0.499	0.078	-0.08	-0.164	0.27744	0.553124
ccsm	-0.512528	-0.22464	0.1748	0.234	-0.198	0.096	-0.066	-0.05484	0.037896
cgcm3_t47	-0.789542	-0.54114	0.1074	0.121	-0.176	0.1135	-0.184	-0.14098	-0.409454
cgcm3_t63	-0.68832	-0.37024	0.094	0.0925	-0.135	0.159	-0.1778	-0.11098	-0.416956
cnrm	-0.62832	-0.25204	0.1568	0.254	-0.062	0.16	-0.188	-0.01284	0.457828
echam5	-1.10888	-0.81776	-0.0032	0.049	-0.174	0.124	-0.0988	-0.02656	0.101336
gfdl_2.0	0.081816	-0.07948	0.0284	0.14	-0.134	0.092	-0.12	-0.08456	0.094492
gfdl_2.1	0.143328	-0.11176	0.0568	0.105	-0.14	0.118	-0.1148	-0.14712	0.299088
hadcm3	-0.372152	0.3918	0.0834	0.09	-0.179	0.084	-0.084	0.0661	0.14564
pcm	-1.264844	0.32392	0.1748	0.187	-0.138	0.136	-0.1388	-0.17228	-0.065052

Table B
OBS	0.1	1	10	25	50	75	90	99	99.9
bcm2	-0.430276	-1.12232	0.3028	0.126	0.018	-0.365	-0.09	-0.15884	0.152844
ccsm	-0.0767	-0.5406	0.022	-0.049	-0.044	-0.164	-0.144	-0.19228	0.630808
cgcm3_t47	0.949144	-0.45016	0.036	-0.1095	-0.134	-0.104	-0.2198	-0.34694	-0.067944
cgcm3_t63	-1.333386	-0.79024	0.1016	-0.079	-0.101	-0.046	-0.232	-0.35298	-0.204956
cnrm	-1.012172	-0.77116	0.102	-0.022	-0.142	-0.121	-0.1768	-0.10428	0.266212
echam5	-1.020944	-1.26664	-0.046	-0.147	-0.098	-0.084	-0.156	-0.16684	0.4593
gfdl_2.0	-0.13526	-0.4066	0.0216	-0.11	-0.082	-0.088	-0.152	-0.246	0.297232
gfdl_2.1	-1.015616	-0.79232	0.098	-0.132	-0.094	-0.112	-0.16	-0.11684	0.911896
hadcm3	0.107714	-0.5181	-0.044	-0.1625	-0.176	-0.15	-0.158	-0.22272	0.173794
pcm	-0.44498	-0.25744	-0.016	-0.034	-0.028	-0.172	-0.138	-0.18828	0.830388

Table C
OBS	0.1	1	10	25	50	75	90	99	99.9
bcm2	0.00%	13.33%	-5.13%	1.79%	-7.20%	-6.50%	6.73%	30.99%	30.73%
ccsm	-6.67%	13.33%	5.13%	9.15%	-2.67%	-0.68%	11.72%	31.77%	11.94%
cgcm3_t47	0.00%	20.00%	0.00%	-9.37%	-7.73%	-3.53%	7.58%	22.61%	23.13%
cgcm3_t63	3.23%	20.00%	2.56%	-8.93%	-11.73%	-4.53%	2.79%	22.53%	24.63%
cnrm	6.67%	26.67%	15.38%	-16.96%	-11.60%	8.60%	7.13%	34.12%	31.50%
echam5	-6.67%	13.33%	0.00%	0.00%	-1.73%	-1.30%	6.12%	28.49%	27.94%
gfdl_2.0	-6.67%	13.33%	-3.59%	4.46%	-8.13%	-6.30%	3.40%	23.84%	27.18%
gfdl_2.1	-6.67%	13.33%	-5.13%	0.89%	-7.47%	-1.25%	8.96%	24.41%	34.44%
hadcm3	-6.67%	6.67%	-5.13%	0.89%	-5.60%	-3.15%	2.45%	10.58%	12.81%
pcm	0.00%	20.00%	-7.69%	0.89%	-6.13%	-6.93%	2.91%	21.82%	16.17%

Figure 5.3. Biases in quantiles 0.1, 1, 10, 25, 50, 75, 90, 99 and 99.9 for (a) maximum temperature (oF), (b) minimum temperature (oF), and (c) precipitation (%) relative to observed, for the historical period 1980-2009 for the average of the 5 Mobile Bay stations. Biases for simulations based on individual climate models indicated by colors shown in the legend.

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Figure 5.4

Table A - Extremes
	Tmax	Tmin	Pr
bcm2	0.30614	0.46607	0.75047416
ccsm	0.207476	0.360097	0.63719776
cgcm3_t47	0.470279	0.453547	0.65736814
cgcm3_t63	0.396624	0.6703905	0.70389869
cnrm	0.337757	0.538456	0.98948703
echam5	0.513634	0.728431	0.76429892
gfdl_2.0	0.085087	0.271273	0.7102092
gfdl_2.1	0.175324	0.709168	0.78856954
hadcm3	0.243923	0.255582	0.36728963
pcm	0.456524	0.430272	0.57994769

Table B - Center
	Tmax	Tmin	Pr
bcm2	0.16804	0.18036	0.27341562
ccsm	0.15376	0.0846	0.29344218
cgcm3_t47	0.14038	0.12066	0.28214634
cgcm3_t63	0.13166	0.11192	0.30545723
cnrm	0.16416	0.11276	0.59683047
echam5	0.0898	0.1062	0.09156301
gfdl_2.0	0.10288	0.09072	0.25886753
gfdl_2.1	0.10692	0.1192	0.23701144
hadcm3	0.10408	0.1381	0.17225331
pcm	0.15492	0.0776	0.24550002

Figure 5.4. Cumulative normalized bias in cross-validated maximum temperature (green), minimum temperature (yellow) and precipitation (red) at (a) the tails of the distribution (0.1, 1, 99, 99.9th quantiles) and (b) the center of the distribution (10, 25, 50, 75, 90th quantiles) averaged over 5 Mobile Bay stations compared to independent observations for the period 1960-2009.

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