Climate Variability and Change in Mobile, Alabama

Appendix E.1. Temperature Variables by Station, Part 5 of 6

Table 83: Seasonal Maximum Number of Consecutive Days per Year Above 105°F

		Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2 - σ	B1 + σ	B1 Mean	B1 - σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.4	0.2	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5	0.2	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	1.3	0.9	0.6	3.8	1.6	-0.7	0.2	0.1	-0.1
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.7	0.2	-0.3	0.4	0.1	-0.2
Coden
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	0.5	0.3	0.1	1.8	0.6	-0.7	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5	0.1	-0.2	0.1	0.0	-0.1
Fairhope
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	0.9	0.6	0.3	3.0	1.1	-0.8	0.1	0.0	-0.1
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.7	0.2	-0.3	0.3	0.1	-0.2
Mobile
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.4	0.2	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.2	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	1.4	1.1	0.7	4.4	1.7	-1.1	0.2	0.1	-0.1
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.0	0.3	-0.4	0.5	0.1	-0.3
Robertsdale
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.5	0.2	-0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.1	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	1.3	1.0	0.4	5.0	1.8	-1.4	0.2	0.1	-0.1
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.4	0.2	0.0	1.0	0.3	-0.4	0.5	0.1	-0.3

Table 84: Seasonal Maximum Number of Consecutive Days per Year Above 110°F

		Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2 - σ	B1 + σ	B1 Mean	B1 - σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.1	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Coden
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Fairhope
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.1	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Mobile
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.1	-0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
Robertsdale
1980-2009	Winter	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Spring	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Summer	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1980-2009	Fall	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2040-2069	Fall	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Winter	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Spring	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Summer	blank	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.3	-0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0
2070-2099	Fall	blank	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Table 85: Coldest Four Days in Winter - Mean (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	41.9	41.7	41.4	41.1	42.2	41.6	41.0	42.2	41.8	41.3
2010-2039	blank	42.9	42.8	42.6	43.2	42.8	42.4	43.4	42.6	41.7
2040-2069	blank	45.0	44.5	43.5	45.8	44.5	43.2	45.2	43.8	42.3
2070-2099	blank	48.5	46.9	46.1	49.4	46.9	44.4	45.9	44.3	42.6
Coden
1980-2009	40.9	40.8	40.5	40.0	41.3	40.7	40.1	41.4	40.9	40.3
2010-2039	blank	42.2	41.9	41.7	42.6	42.1	41.6	42.9	41.9	40.8
2040-2069	blank	44.6	43.8	42.9	45.7	44.1	42.5	44.9	43.2	41.5
2070-2099	blank	47.2	46.4	45.8	49.9	46.8	43.8	45.8	43.8	41.9
Fairhope
1980-2009	41.6	42.0	41.7	41.4	42.4	41.8	41.3	42.5	42.0	41.5
2010-2039	blank	43.1	43.0	42.9	43.6	43.1	42.7	43.8	42.9	42.0
2040-2069	blank	45.7	44.9	44.0	46.4	45.0	43.6	45.7	44.2	42.7
2070-2099	blank	48.4	47.5	46.6	50.3	47.6	44.9	46.5	44.8	43.0
Mobile
1980-2009	42.0	42.3	42.0	41.7	42.7	42.1	41.6	42.8	42.3	41.8
2010-2039	blank	43.4	43.3	43.3	43.8	43.4	43.0	44.1	43.2	42.3
2040-2069	blank	45.9	45.2	44.3	46.6	45.3	43.9	46.0	44.4	42.9
2070-2099	blank	48.9	47.7	46.8	50.5	47.8	45.1	46.7	45.0	43.3
Robertsdale
1980-2009	40.3	40.2	39.9	39.6	40.6	40.1	39.5	40.7	40.3	39.8
2010-2039	blank	41.4	41.3	41.2	41.9	41.4	41.0	42.1	41.2	40.3
2040-2069	blank	44.1	43.2	42.3	44.8	43.4	41.9	44.1	42.5	40.9
2070-2099	blank	46.9	45.9	45.1	48.8	46.0	43.2	44.9	43.1	41.3

Table 86: Coldest Four Days in Winter - 5th Percentile (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	28.5	27.8	27.1	25.8	28.5	27.6	26.8	28.6	27.7	26.9
2010-2039	blank	29.1	28.6	27.6	29.6	28.6	27.5	29.7	28.7	27.7
2040-2069	blank	31.9	30.4	28.5	31.4	30.3	29.2	30.7	29.5	28.4
2070-2099	blank	35.1	32.7	31.7	34.4	32.5	30.7	31.0	29.9	28.8
Coden
1980-2009	27.5	27.4	26.6	25.1	28.0	27.1	26.2	27.9	27.0	26.2
2010-2039	blank	28.4	27.8	27.1	29.0	28.1	27.1	29.2	28.2	27.2
2040-2069	blank	30.5	29.7	28.1	31.2	29.9	28.6	30.3	29.1	27.8
2070-2099	blank	33.6	31.9	31.0	34.7	32.3	30.0	30.7	29.5	28.3
Fairhope
1980-2009	28.7	28.5	27.9	26.7	29.2	28.4	27.6	29.2	28.4	27.6
2010-2039	blank	29.7	29.2	28.2	30.3	29.3	28.3	30.4	29.5	28.5
2040-2069	blank	32.0	31.0	29.2	32.3	31.1	29.9	31.5	30.3	29.2
2070-2099	blank	35.1	33.2	32.2	35.6	33.4	31.3	31.9	30.8	29.7
Mobile
1980-2009	28.8	28.8	28.1	26.8	29.4	28.6	27.7	29.4	28.6	27.8
2010-2039	blank	30.0	29.5	28.6	30.5	29.5	28.5	30.6	29.6	28.6
2040-2069	blank	32.4	31.3	29.5	32.5	31.3	30.1	31.6	30.5	29.3
2070-2099	blank	35.6	33.5	32.5	35.6	33.6	31.5	32.0	30.9	29.8
Robertsdale
1980-2009	27.2	26.8	26.3	25.1	27.5	26.6	25.8	27.6	26.7	25.9
2010-2039	blank	28.0	27.4	26.4	28.5	27.5	26.6	28.6	27.7	26.8
2040-2069	blank	30.1	29.1	27.4	30.3	29.2	28.2	29.6	28.5	27.5
2070-2099	blank	33.0	31.1	30.1	33.4	31.4	29.4	29.9	28.9	27.9

Table 87: Coldest Four Days in Winter - 25th Percentile (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	35.7	35.4	34.9	34.2	35.7	35.1	34.5	35.7	35.1	34.5
2010-2039	blank	36.5	36.0	35.4	36.8	36.2	35.7	36.8	36.0	35.2
2040-2069	blank	38.5	37.7	36.1	39.0	37.8	36.6	38.2	37.0	35.9
2070-2099	blank	42.0	39.9	38.8	42.4	40.2	38.0	38.9	37.6	36.2
Coden
1980-2009	34.8	34.3	33.7	32.8	34.8	34.1	33.5	34.8	34.1	33.5
2010-2039	blank	35.2	34.9	34.5	36.1	35.4	34.7	36.2	35.2	34.1
2040-2069	blank	37.3	36.8	35.4	38.7	37.2	35.6	37.7	36.3	34.9
2070-2099	blank	40.6	39.1	38.1	42.8	40.0	37.1	38.7	37.0	35.3
Fairhope
1980-2009	35.5	35.6	35.1	34.4	36.0	35.4	34.8	36.0	35.5	34.9
2010-2039	blank	36.7	36.3	35.7	37.2	36.6	36.1	37.3	36.4	35.5
2040-2069	blank	38.6	38.0	36.6	39.6	38.3	37.0	38.8	37.5	36.3
2070-2099	blank	41.9	40.3	39.2	43.4	40.8	38.3	39.6	38.1	36.6
Mobile
1980-2009	35.8	35.9	35.4	34.7	36.2	35.6	35.0	36.3	35.7	35.1
2010-2039	blank	37.0	36.5	36.0	37.4	36.9	36.3	37.5	36.7	35.8
2040-2069	blank	38.9	38.3	36.8	39.8	38.5	37.2	38.9	37.7	36.5
2070-2099	blank	42.4	40.6	39.4	43.4	40.9	38.5	39.8	38.3	36.8
Robertsdale
1980-2009	33.8	33.5	33.1	32.4	34.0	33.4	32.8	34.1	33.5	32.9
2010-2039	blank	34.6	34.1	33.5	35.1	34.5	33.9	35.2	34.4	33.5
2040-2069	blank	36.5	35.9	34.4	37.6	36.2	34.8	36.8	35.5	34.1
2070-2099	blank	39.8	38.2	37.1	41.5	38.8	36.1	37.6	36.1	34.5

Table 88: Coldest Four Days in Winter - 50th Percentile (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	41.5	41.1	40.8	40.5	41.7	41.0	40.4	41.7	41.2	40.7
2010-2039	blank	42.3	42.0	41.5	42.8	42.3	41.8	42.9	41.9	41.0
2040-2069	blank	44.3	43.9	42.9	45.4	43.9	42.5	44.7	43.2	41.7
2070-2099	blank	47.8	46.3	45.5	48.9	46.3	43.7	45.5	43.7	42.0
Coden
1980-2009	40.5	40.2	39.6	39.2	40.7	40.0	39.3	40.7	40.2	39.7
2010-2039	blank	41.5	41.0	40.5	42.2	41.5	40.8	42.3	41.1	39.9
2040-2069	blank	43.7	43.1	42.2	45.2	43.5	41.7	44.3	42.6	40.8
2070-2099	blank	46.6	45.8	45.2	49.5	46.3	43.1	45.4	43.3	41.2
Fairhope
1980-2009	41.3	41.3	40.9	40.6	41.8	41.2	40.5	41.8	41.3	40.8
2010-2039	blank	42.5	42.2	41.7	43.1	42.5	41.9	43.2	42.2	41.2
2040-2069	blank	44.7	44.2	43.2	45.9	44.3	42.8	45.2	43.5	41.9
2070-2099	blank	47.7	46.7	46.0	49.9	47.0	44.1	46.1	44.2	42.3
Mobile
1980-2009	41.5	41.6	41.2	40.9	42.1	41.5	40.8	42.1	41.7	41.2
2010-2039	blank	42.8	42.5	42.0	43.4	42.8	42.2	43.5	42.4	41.4
2040-2069	blank	44.9	44.5	43.4	46.1	44.5	43.0	45.4	43.8	42.2
2070-2099	blank	48.2	47.0	46.2	49.9	47.1	44.3	46.3	44.4	42.5
Robertsdale
1980-2009	39.7	39.3	38.9	38.5	39.8	39.1	38.5	39.9	39.4	38.8
2010-2039	blank	40.5	40.2	39.7	41.2	40.5	39.9	41.3	40.2	39.1
2040-2069	blank	42.9	42.3	41.2	44.1	42.4	40.7	43.3	41.6	39.9
2070-2099	blank	45.9	44.9	44.3	48.2	45.2	42.1	44.2	42.2	40.3

Table 89: Coldest Four Days in Winter - 75th Percentile (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	48.0	48.5	47.9	47.6	48.5	47.8	47.1	48.5	48.0	47.5
2010-2039	blank	49.2	49.1	48.9	49.7	49.1	48.4	49.8	48.7	47.5
2040-2069	blank	51.4	50.8	50.6	52.3	50.8	49.2	52.1	50.1	48.1
2070-2099	blank	54.5	53.4	52.5	56.4	53.3	50.2	52.7	50.7	48.6
Coden
1980-2009	47.0	47.6	46.9	46.5	47.7	46.9	46.2	47.7	47.2	46.6
2010-2039	blank	48.5	48.2	47.9	49.3	48.5	47.6	49.3	48.0	46.7
2040-2069	blank	51.3	50.3	49.5	52.3	50.5	48.7	51.8	49.7	47.5
2070-2099	blank	53.6	53.2	52.6	57.0	53.4	49.8	52.7	50.4	48.1
Fairhope
1980-2009	47.5	48.6	48.0	47.6	48.6	47.9	47.2	48.6	48.1	47.6
2010-2039	blank	49.3	49.2	49.0	50.0	49.3	48.6	50.1	48.9	47.7
2040-2069	blank	52.1	51.1	50.7	52.9	51.2	49.6	52.5	50.5	48.4
2070-2099	blank	54.6	54.1	53.2	57.4	54.0	50.7	53.2	51.1	49.0
Mobile
1980-2009	48.0	49.0	48.4	47.9	48.9	48.2	47.5	49.0	48.4	47.9
2010-2039	blank	49.6	49.5	49.3	50.3	49.6	48.8	50.4	49.2	48.0
2040-2069	blank	52.3	51.4	51.1	53.1	51.4	49.8	52.8	50.7	48.6
2070-2099	blank	55.0	54.2	53.3	57.4	54.2	50.9	53.4	51.4	49.3
Robertsdale
1980-2009	46.5	46.9	46.3	45.9	46.8	46.1	45.4	47.0	46.4	45.8
2010-2039	blank	47.8	47.6	47.5	48.4	47.6	46.9	48.4	47.2	46.0
2040-2069	blank	50.8	49.6	49.1	51.3	49.6	47.9	51.0	48.9	46.7
2070-2099	blank	53.3	52.8	51.9	56.1	52.7	49.3	51.8	49.6	47.4

Table 90: Coldest Four Days in Winter - 95th Percentile (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	56.5	58.4	57.6	56.9	58.1	57.3	56.6	58.3	57.7	57.0
2010-2039	blank	61.1	59.2	58.5	59.3	58.7	58.0	59.9	58.5	57.1
2040-2069	blank	62.0	60.6	59.6	62.1	60.4	58.7	62.2	59.9	57.6
2070-2099	blank	64.6	63.6	62.5	66.1	62.9	59.7	62.7	60.3	57.9
Coden
1980-2009	55.5	57.7	56.8	56.0	57.4	56.6	55.7	57.6	56.9	56.2
2010-2039	blank	60.0	58.5	57.7	58.8	58.1	57.3	59.4	57.9	56.3
2040-2069	blank	61.7	60.1	58.7	62.1	60.1	58.1	61.9	59.5	57.0
2070-2099	blank	64.2	63.2	62.7	66.7	63.1	59.4	62.7	60.0	57.4
Fairhope
1980-2009	56.5	58.7	57.8	57.1	58.2	57.4	56.7	58.4	57.8	57.1
2010-2039	blank	61.3	59.5	58.8	59.7	59.0	58.2	60.2	58.8	57.3
2040-2069	blank	62.8	61.1	59.7	62.7	60.9	59.2	62.5	60.3	58.1
2070-2099	blank	65.6	64.3	63.6	66.9	63.7	60.4	63.2	60.8	58.4
Mobile
1980-2009	56.8	59.0	58.2	57.5	58.7	57.9	57.0	58.9	58.2	57.5
2010-2039	blank	61.9	60.0	59.1	60.2	59.4	58.6	60.7	59.2	57.7
2040-2069	blank	63.3	61.5	60.3	63.0	61.3	59.6	63.0	60.7	58.4
2070-2099	blank	66.2	64.8	63.9	67.4	64.1	60.9	63.5	61.2	58.8
Robertsdale
1980-2009	56.0	57.8	56.8	56.0	57.4	56.5	55.6	57.6	56.8	56.1
2010-2039	blank	60.7	58.8	58.0	59.0	58.1	57.3	59.4	57.9	56.4
2040-2069	blank	62.5	60.6	59.1	62.0	60.3	58.6	61.8	59.6	57.4
2070-2099	blank	65.7	64.1	63.4	66.7	63.4	60.2	62.5	60.2	57.8

Table 91: Coldest Winter in 30 years (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	13.0	14.3	12.7	11.1	17.2	13.1	8.9	16.1	13.9	11.8
2010-2039	blank	17.8	15.2	10.5	19.4	15.1	10.8	18.5	14.7	10.8
2040-2069	blank	23.2	19.6	14.2	19.9	16.1	12.2	19.9	17.6	15.3
2070-2099	blank	27.6	20.5	16.4	23.5	21.4	19.3	20.5	16.3	12.0
Coden
1980-2009	11.3	14.3	12.4	10.9	17.1	12.8	8.6	16.0	13.6	11.2
2010-2039	blank	18.2	15.1	11.9	19.1	15.3	11.4	18.3	14.7	11.1
2040-2069	blank	22.4	19.0	12.8	20.3	16.7	13.1	20.4	18.0	15.6
2070-2099	blank	26.6	20.3	16.9	24.0	21.9	19.9	20.8	16.4	12.0
Fairhope
1980-2009	12.7	15.2	13.6	12.7	18.2	13.9	9.6	17.1	15.0	12.8
2010-2039	blank	19.1	16.4	12.4	20.6	16.3	12.0	19.6	16.0	12.4
2040-2069	blank	23.7	20.6	15.1	21.2	17.6	14.1	21.3	19.2	17.2
2070-2099	blank	28.1	21.6	17.8	25.1	23.0	20.9	22.1	17.4	12.7
Mobile
1980-2009	12.7	15.0	13.3	11.8	17.7	13.3	8.8	16.9	14.5	12.1
2010-2039	blank	19.1	15.9	11.4	20.5	16.0	11.5	19.4	15.5	11.7
2040-2069	blank	24.0	20.7	15.6	21.0	17.2	13.5	21.3	18.9	16.6
2070-2099	blank	28.5	21.4	17.3	24.9	22.8	20.7	21.7	17.2	12.6
Robertsdale
1980-2009	13.2	14.4	12.7	11.4	17.1	13.1	9.1	16.3	13.9	11.5
2010-2039	blank	17.7	15.4	11.5	19.4	15.2	11.0	18.9	14.9	11.0
2040-2069	blank	22.2	18.3	10.1	19.7	16.5	13.3	20.1	18.0	15.9
2070-2099	blank	26.3	20.0	16.2	23.5	21.5	19.4	20.4	16.2	11.9

Table 92: Warmest Four Days in Summer - Mean (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	89.9	90.4	90.2	89.9	90.7	90.3	89.9	90.7	90.3	90.0
2010-2039	blank	92.2	91.5	90.6	92.2	91.6	90.9	92.3	91.6	90.9
2040-2069	blank	95.4	94.3	93.6	94.4	93.5	92.5	93.0	92.3	91.6
2070-2099	blank	98.0	96.8	95.9	97.6	95.9	94.2	93.9	92.8	91.8
Coden
1980-2009	88.2	89.4	89.2	88.8	89.6	89.2	88.8	89.6	89.3	88.9
2010-2039	blank	91.2	90.5	89.7	91.2	90.5	89.8	91.2	90.5	89.8
2040-2069	blank	94.3	93.3	92.5	93.3	92.3	91.3	91.9	91.2	90.5
2070-2099	blank	96.7	95.7	94.8	96.5	94.7	92.9	92.7	91.7	90.7
Fairhope
1980-2009	90.0	90.4	90.2	89.9	90.6	90.2	89.9	90.7	90.3	90.0
2010-2039	blank	92.1	91.4	90.6	92.2	91.5	90.8	92.2	91.5	90.9
2040-2069	blank	95.1	94.2	93.5	94.3	93.3	92.3	92.9	92.2	91.6
2070-2099	blank	97.8	96.6	95.9	97.4	95.7	94.0	93.7	92.7	91.8
Mobile
1980-2009	90.3	91.0	90.8	90.5	91.2	90.8	90.4	91.3	90.9	90.6
2010-2039	blank	92.8	92.1	91.2	92.8	92.2	91.5	92.9	92.2	91.5
2040-2069	blank	96.0	95.0	94.4	95.0	94.1	93.1	93.7	92.9	92.2
2070-2099	blank	98.6	97.5	97.0	98.3	96.5	94.8	94.5	93.5	92.4
Robertsdale
1980-2009	90.0	90.7	90.5	90.1	91.0	90.5	90.1	91.0	90.6	90.2
2010-2039	blank	92.6	91.8	90.8	92.7	91.9	91.2	92.7	91.9	91.2
2040-2069	blank	95.8	94.8	94.0	94.9	93.8	92.8	93.4	92.7	92.0
2070-2099	blank	98.6	97.3	96.5	98.4	96.4	94.5	94.3	93.2	92.2

Table 93: Warmest Four Days in Summer - 5th Percentile (°F)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	84.0	85.3	84.4	83.4	85.5	84.6	83.8	85.4	84.7	83.9
2010-2039	blank	86.6	85.7	84.0	87.3	86.1	84.9	87.1	86.0	84.9
2040-2069	blank	89.5	88.8	88.0	89.3	87.8	86.2	88.2	86.9	85.6
2070-2099	blank	93.0	91.2	89.9	92.4	90.1	87.9	89.4	87.5	85.6
Coden
1980-2009	83.3	84.9	84.0	82.9	85.1	84.3	83.6	85.0	84.4	83.7
2010-2039	blank	86.0	85.2	83.6	86.7	85.6	84.6	86.5	85.5	84.6
2040-2069	blank	89.0	88.2	87.3	88.6	87.2	85.8	87.5	86.4	85.3
2070-2099	blank	92.2	90.7	89.5	91.7	89.5	87.3	88.6	86.9	85.2
Fairhope
1980-2009	84.5	85.6	84.8	83.8	86.0	85.1	84.2	85.9	85.2	84.4
2010-2039	blank	87.0	86.3	84.5	87.8	86.6	85.4	87.5	86.5	85.5
2040-2069	blank	90.0	89.3	88.5	89.6	88.2	86.8	88.6	87.4	86.3
2070-2099	blank	93.0	91.6	90.6	92.6	90.5	88.4	89.8	88.0	86.3
Mobile
1980-2009	85.0	85.8	84.9	83.9	86.3	85.3	84.4	86.1	85.4	84.6
2010-2039	blank	87.2	86.4	84.6	88.0	86.8	85.6	87.8	86.8	85.7
2040-2069	blank	90.4	89.7	88.8	90.1	88.5	87.0	88.9	87.7	86.4
2070-2099	blank	93.9	92.1	91.2	93.3	91.0	88.7	90.2	88.3	86.4
Robertsdale
1980-2009	84.0	85.5	84.7	83.7	85.9	85.0	84.1	85.9	85.1	84.2
2010-2039	blank	87.1	86.3	84.4	87.9	86.6	85.4	87.7	86.5	85.4
2040-2069	blank	90.4	89.6	88.7	90.0	88.4	86.8	88.8	87.5	86.3
2070-2099	blank	93.7	92.1	91.1	93.3	90.9	88.6	90.1	88.2	86.3

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