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FHWA → Environment → Climate Change → Adaptation → Ongoing And Current Research → Gulf Coast Study → Phase 2/Task 2 → Mobile Variability → Appendix E

Climate Variability and Change in Mobile, Alabama

E.2. Precipitation Variables by Station, Part 2 of 2

Table 120: Annual 24-hour Precipitation - Probability of Occurrence of Historical 1% Event

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%
2010-2039	blank	32.2%	9.7%	1.4%	14.1%	7.6%	1.1%	17.3%	7.4%	-2.6%
2040-2069	blank	8.0%	5.3%	2.9%	11.3%	6.4%	1.5%	17.6%	7.7%	-2.2%
2070-2099	blank	12.6%	4.8%	1.1%	14.4%	7.8%	1.2%	21.2%	9.3%	-2.6%
Coden
1980-2009	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%
2010-2039	blank	16.1%	5.2%	1.3%	10.4%	6.0%	1.6%	17.8%	9.0%	0.1%
2040-2069	blank	5.1%	3.4%	2.0%	14.8%	9.3%	3.7%	19.2%	9.7%	0.2%
2070-2099	blank	11.2%	4.6%	1.2%	20.1%	11.8%	3.5%	23.0%	11.9%	0.9%
Fairhope
1980-2009	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%
2010-2039	blank	21.2%	6.4%	0.7%	8.4%	5.4%	2.4%	16.8%	7.0%	-2.9%
2040-2069	blank	16.4%	7.0%	1.2%	11.6%	7.2%	2.7%	17.4%	7.6%	-2.2%
2070-2099	blank	14.8%	5.7%	0.4%	19.9%	11.2%	2.5%	20.6%	10.6%	0.6%
Mobile
1980-2009	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%
2010-2039	blank	20.5%	6.5%	1.2%	10.2%	6.2%	2.2%	13.7%	6.4%	-0.9%
2040-2069	blank	6.5%	4.2%	1.6%	11.7%	7.5%	3.2%	12.8%	6.8%	0.8%
2070-2099	blank	5.3%	3.0%	1.0%	11.8%	7.9%	4.1%	19.4%	10.0%	0.6%
Robertsdale
1980-2009	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%	1.0%
2010-2039	blank	17.9%	6.0%	1.6%	17.8%	8.4%	-1.0%	19.0%	8.8%	-1.3%
2040-2069	blank	5.2%	3.4%	1.7%	15.2%	8.6%	2.1%	19.7%	10.0%	0.2%
2070-2099	blank	13.8%	7.5%	1.6%	20.4%	11.3%	2.3%	18.6%	10.4%	2.2%

Table 121: Annual 24-hour Precipitation - Probability of Occurrence of Historical 2% Event

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%
2010-2039	blank	38.5%	12.6%	2.8%	19.2%	11.0%	2.8%	21.8%	10.2%	-1.3%
2040-2069	blank	11.7%	8.3%	5.0%	15.8%	9.6%	3.4%	22.2%	10.7%	-0.7%
2070-2099	blank	17.5%	7.3%	2.2%	19.4%	11.2%	3.1%	26.3%	12.4%	-1.4%
Coden
1980-2009	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%
2010-2039	blank	21.8%	7.7%	2.6%	15.0%	9.2%	3.4%	23.2%	12.5%	1.8%
2040-2069	blank	8.2%	5.7%	3.8%	20.3%	13.4%	6.4%	24.7%	13.5%	2.3%
2070-2099	blank	16.1%	7.1%	2.3%	26.1%	16.2%	6.3%	28.7%	16.0%	3.4%
Fairhope
1980-2009	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%
2010-2039	blank	27.4%	8.9%	1.4%	12.4%	8.4%	4.4%	20.9%	9.7%	-1.4%
2040-2069	blank	22.3%	10.3%	2.3%	16.4%	10.7%	5.1%	22.2%	10.8%	-0.6%
2070-2099	blank	20.4%	8.5%	1.0%	25.7%	15.4%	5.0%	26.0%	14.5%	3.0%
Mobile
1980-2009	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%
2010-2039	blank	27.0%	9.3%	2.3%	14.6%	9.5%	4.3%	18.3%	9.3%	0.2%
2040-2069	blank	10.0%	7.0%	2.9%	16.9%	11.2%	5.5%	18.2%	10.3%	2.4%
2070-2099	blank	8.5%	5.1%	1.9%	17.2%	11.9%	6.5%	25.1%	13.9%	2.7%
Robertsdale
1980-2009	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%	2.0%
2010-2039	blank	23.9%	8.9%	3.0%	22.7%	11.5%	0.3%	23.5%	12.1%	0.7%
2040-2069	blank	8.5%	5.9%	3.3%	20.6%	12.4%	4.2%	25.5%	13.8%	2.1%
2070-2099	blank	18.8%	11.1%	3.1%	25.8%	15.4%	4.9%	24.5%	14.3%	4.2%

Table 122: Annual 24-hour Precipitation - Probability of Occurrence of Historical 5% Event

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%
2010-2039	blank	48.0%	18.6%	6.9%	28.5%	17.9%	7.3%	30.1%	16.2%	2.4%
2040-2069	blank	19.3%	15.2%	10.5%	24.7%	16.5%	8.2%	30.6%	17.0%	3.4%
2070-2099	blank	26.5%	12.9%	5.5%	28.8%	18.3%	7.9%	35.2%	18.8%	2.3%
Coden
1980-2009	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%
2010-2039	blank	32.0%	13.2%	6.3%	23.9%	16.0%	8.2%	32.9%	19.5%	6.1%
2040-2069	blank	15.1%	11.2%	8.4%	30.3%	21.5%	12.7%	34.6%	21.1%	7.7%
2070-2099	blank	25.4%	12.8%	5.5%	36.6%	24.6%	12.5%	38.4%	24.0%	9.5%
Fairhope
1980-2009	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%
2010-2039	blank	37.7%	14.3%	4.0%	20.8%	15.1%	9.4%	28.7%	15.7%	2.7%
2040-2069	blank	32.9%	17.2%	5.7%	25.6%	18.3%	10.9%	31.0%	17.6%	4.2%
2070-2099	blank	30.7%	14.5%	2.8%	35.7%	23.4%	11.0%	35.3%	22.0%	8.7%
Mobile
1980-2009	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%
2010-2039	blank	38.2%	15.2%	5.1%	23.6%	16.6%	9.7%	27.2%	15.6%	3.9%
2040-2069	blank	17.7%	13.4%	6.5%	26.7%	18.9%	11.1%	28.5%	17.9%	7.3%
2070-2099	blank	15.8%	10.3%	4.7%	27.8%	20.0%	12.2%	35.2%	21.7%	8.2%
Robertsdale
1980-2009	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%	5.0%
2010-2039	blank	34.5%	15.3%	7.0%	31.3%	18.0%	4.6%	31.9%	18.8%	5.7%
2040-2069	blank	16.2%	11.8%	8.1%	30.6%	20.0%	9.4%	35.8%	21.3%	6.9%
2070-2099	blank	28.1%	18.6%	7.3%	35.1%	23.2%	11.4%	34.9%	21.9%	9.0%

Table 123: Annual 24-hour Precipitation - Probability of Occurrence of Historical 10% Event

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%
2010-2039	blank	56.1%	25.9%	13.5%	38.1%	26.1%	14.0%	39.1%	23.5%	7.9%
2040-2069	blank	27.7%	23.7%	18.1%	34.5%	24.8%	15.1%	39.5%	24.6%	9.6%
2070-2099	blank	35.8%	20.3%	11.0%	38.5%	26.7%	14.9%	44.2%	26.2%	8.1%
Coden
1980-2009	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%
2010-2039	blank	42.1%	20.3%	11.6%	33.7%	24.4%	15.1%	43.0%	27.6%	12.3%
2040-2069	blank	23.6%	18.5%	15.4%	40.3%	30.7%	21.0%	44.5%	29.9%	15.2%
2070-2099	blank	35.4%	20.1%	10.5%	47.0%	33.6%	20.2%	48.0%	32.7%	17.4%
Fairhope
1980-2009	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%
2010-2039	blank	47.3%	21.3%	8.5%	30.4%	23.4%	16.5%	37.5%	23.2%	8.8%
2040-2069	blank	43.4%	25.4%	11.3%	35.5%	27.2%	19.0%	40.3%	25.9%	11.6%
2070-2099	blank	41.0%	21.8%	6.5%	45.3%	32.0%	18.8%	44.7%	30.4%	16.2%
Mobile
1980-2009	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%
2010-2039	blank	48.6%	22.7%	9.5%	33.6%	25.3%	17.0%	36.9%	23.3%	9.8%
2040-2069	blank	26.8%	21.7%	12.0%	37.1%	28.0%	18.8%	39.4%	27.1%	14.8%
2070-2099	blank	25.0%	17.3%	9.3%	39.1%	29.3%	19.5%	45.1%	30.6%	16.1%
Robertsdale
1980-2009	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%	10.0%
2010-2039	blank	44.7%	23.4%	13.2%	39.9%	25.8%	11.6%	41.0%	26.6%	12.3%
2040-2069	blank	26.0%	19.9%	15.7%	40.8%	28.7%	16.6%	46.0%	29.8%	13.6%
2070-2099	blank	39.1%	27.4%	13.7%	43.9%	31.8%	19.7%	45.2%	30.3%	15.4%

Table 124: Annual 24-hour Precipitation - Probability of Occurrence of Historical 20% Event

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%
2010-2039	blank	64.9%	37.5%	25.8%	50.7%	38.2%	25.6%	51.6%	34.5%	17.4%
2040-2069	blank	39.5%	36.5%	30.8%	47.8%	37.5%	27.1%	51.5%	36.2%	20.9%
2070-2099	blank	47.7%	32.4%	22.0%	51.4%	39.1%	26.8%	55.8%	37.5%	19.2%
Coden
1980-2009	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%
2010-2039	blank	54.3%	32.0%	21.4%	47.0%	37.1%	27.1%	55.9%	39.3%	22.7%
2040-2069	blank	36.5%	30.5%	26.4%	52.8%	43.5%	34.1%	57.1%	42.3%	27.5%
2070-2099	blank	48.4%	31.8%	20.0%	59.4%	45.7%	32.1%	59.8%	44.7%	29.6%
Fairhope
1980-2009	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%
2010-2039	blank	58.5%	33.0%	18.4%	43.7%	36.0%	28.2%	50.1%	34.8%	19.6%
2040-2069	blank	56.2%	37.8%	22.4%	48.6%	40.3%	32.1%	52.8%	38.7%	24.5%
2070-2099	blank	53.8%	33.2%	14.9%	56.8%	43.9%	30.9%	56.2%	42.2%	28.2%
Mobile
1980-2009	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%
2010-2039	blank	60.8%	34.4%	17.7%	47.4%	38.2%	28.9%	49.9%	35.3%	20.7%
2040-2069	blank	40.7%	34.8%	22.0%	50.6%	41.0%	31.4%	53.8%	40.9%	27.9%
2070-2099	blank	38.7%	28.9%	18.4%	53.7%	42.5%	31.2%	57.4%	43.2%	29.1%
Robertsdale
1980-2009	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%	20.0%
2010-2039	blank	56.9%	36.5%	24.9%	51.0%	37.7%	24.4%	53.4%	38.1%	22.9%
2040-2069	blank	40.7%	33.3%	30.0%	53.6%	41.1%	28.5%	58.6%	41.8%	25.0%
2070-2099	blank	54.7%	40.3%	25.7%	54.8%	43.7%	32.7%	57.9%	42.0%	26.2%

Table 125: Annual 24-hour Precipitation - Probability of Occurrence of Historical 50% Event

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
2010-2039	blank	77.8%	64.1%	51.4%	73.8%	63.6%	53.4%	74.4%	59.4%	44.4%
2040-2069	blank	65.9%	63.5%	60.6%	71.7%	64.3%	57.0%	73.1%	62.6%	52.0%
2070-2099	blank	68.4%	60.9%	54.3%	74.5%	64.5%	54.6%	75.8%	63.2%	50.5%
Coden
1980-2009	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
2010-2039	blank	74.2%	60.3%	48.5%	72.4%	63.8%	55.2%	77.7%	63.9%	50.0%
2040-2069	blank	63.1%	58.2%	52.7%	74.0%	67.9%	61.7%	77.7%	67.3%	56.9%
2070-2099	blank	71.0%	58.5%	47.3%	78.2%	68.5%	58.8%	78.9%	68.1%	57.4%
Fairhope
1980-2009	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
2010-2039	blank	75.7%	61.7%	50.8%	69.3%	62.5%	55.8%	74.2%	61.4%	48.5%
2040-2069	blank	76.4%	64.2%	54.1%	72.4%	66.5%	60.7%	75.9%	65.8%	55.7%
2070-2099	blank	74.7%	60.1%	45.6%	75.5%	66.4%	57.3%	75.2%	65.5%	55.8%
Mobile
1980-2009	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
2010-2039	blank	79.0%	61.2%	41.4%	73.2%	64.4%	55.6%	74.1%	62.2%	50.2%
2040-2069	blank	69.4%	63.4%	49.6%	73.7%	66.9%	60.1%	79.1%	68.8%	58.5%
2070-2099	blank	66.5%	56.6%	46.0%	77.7%	67.9%	58.2%	78.3%	68.3%	58.3%
Robertsdale
1980-2009	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
2010-2039	blank	76.1%	66.1%	56.3%	71.4%	63.8%	56.1%	75.8%	62.6%	49.4%
2040-2069	blank	70.0%	63.7%	58.9%	74.4%	66.0%	57.5%	78.9%	66.2%	53.5%
2070-2099	blank	79.8%	66.4%	57.5%	73.6%	66.6%	59.5%	77.7%	65.8%	53.9%

Table 126: Annual 4-Day Precipitation - 0.2% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	11.2	17.9	14.1	12.3	14.7	13.3	11.8	15.2	14.1	12.9
2010-2039	blank	30.9	18.8	12.4	24.4	18.8	13.3	21.5	17.2	13.0
2040-2069	blank	22.4	19.0	15.6	24.6	17.4	10.3	25.2	19.1	13.1
2070-2099	blank	26.7	17.4	13.9	23.2	18.2	13.2	25.5	19.0	12.5
Coden
1980-2009	11.8	15.7	14.1	12.5	16.0	14.1	12.2	15.6	14.2	12.7
2010-2039	blank	26.4	16.0	11.4	21.7	18.0	14.3	21.7	18.9	16.0
2040-2069	blank	21.1	17.1	14.1	26.8	20.6	14.4	23.7	19.0	14.3
2070-2099	blank	21.1	17.0	14.0	22.7	19.8	16.8	23.2	18.7	14.3
Fairhope
1980-2009	11.2	17.0	12.9	11.0	14.5	13.0	11.4	15.1	13.9	12.6
2010-2039	blank	23.3	15.0	11.2	19.7	16.9	14.0	21.7	17.2	12.6
2040-2069	blank	23.3	18.5	15.2	22.0	17.2	12.4	22.6	18.0	13.5
2070-2099	blank	18.9	16.1	13.0	22.9	18.7	14.4	23.9	19.2	14.5
Mobile
1980-2009	10.4	14.3	11.4	9.7	12.1	11.2	10.2	13.0	11.7	10.4
2010-2039	blank	16.5	12.4	10.1	16.2	13.8	11.4	15.7	13.3	11.0
2040-2069	blank	14.9	12.9	11.2	17.7	14.4	11.1	20.0	15.3	10.5
2070-2099	blank	15.4	13.0	10.7	16.2	14.1	12.1	19.1	15.1	11.0
Robertsdale
1980-2009	12.0	15.0	13.8	12.5	14.9	13.4	11.8	15.2	13.6	12.0
2010-2039	blank	21.3	16.1	11.5	19.6	16.8	14.1	24.6	19.3	14.0
2040-2069	blank	21.0	17.1	15.4	23.5	18.2	12.9	24.3	19.8	15.3
2070-2099	blank	23.7	17.8	14.7	24.9	19.7	14.6	24.6	19.3	14.0

Table 127: Annual 4-Day Precipitation - 1% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	6.8	8.0	7.5	6.9	8.6	7.9	7.2	8.4	7.8	7.2
2010-2039	blank	10.2	8.6	7.3	9.9	8.9	7.9	10.4	8.8	7.1
2040-2069	blank	9.7	8.9	7.7	10.4	9.1	7.7	10.4	9.1	7.7
2070-2099	blank	9.6	8.7	7.7	11.5	9.5	7.4	11.2	9.6	8.0
Coden
1980-2009	7.5	9.0	8.3	7.6	9.5	8.7	7.9	9.2	8.5	7.9
2010-2039	blank	12.0	9.6	8.3	10.7	9.6	8.5	12.3	10.3	8.3
2040-2069	blank	11.4	9.9	8.7	11.8	10.4	9.0	12.9	10.7	8.5
2070-2099	blank	9.5	9.5	9.5	12.4	10.9	9.5	13.4	11.2	9.0
Fairhope
1980-2009	6.5	8.4	7.8	7.2	8.8	8.0	7.3	8.5	7.9	7.4
2010-2039	blank	10.4	8.6	7.1	9.4	8.6	7.8	11.5	9.3	7.0
2040-2069	blank	10.2	9.2	8.2	10.1	9.2	8.2	11.1	9.4	7.7
2070-2099	blank	9.6	8.9	8.1	11.0	9.7	8.4	11.9	10.0	8.2
Mobile
1980-2009	6.6	7.8	7.0	6.4	7.9	7.3	6.7	7.7	7.2	6.8
2010-2039	blank	9.1	7.9	6.9	8.8	8.0	7.3	9.4	8.1	6.8
2040-2069	blank	8.8	8.3	7.8	9.2	8.3	7.4	9.7	8.4	7.1
2070-2099	blank	8.1	7.7	7.4	9.7	8.6	7.5	10.4	8.8	7.2
Robertsdale
1980-2009	7.2	8.3	8.0	7.4	8.7	8.0	7.2	8.6	8.1	7.5
2010-2039	blank	10.4	9.3	8.2	10.6	9.1	7.6	10.9	9.1	7.3
2040-2069	blank	9.9	9.2	8.2	10.3	9.2	8.1	11.6	9.8	8.0
2070-2099	blank	11.1	9.6	8.2	11.3	9.8	8.3	11.9	10.1	8.3

Table 128: Annual 4-Day Precipitation - 2% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	5.3	6.4	6.0	5.5	6.7	6.1	5.6	6.7	6.2	5.7
2010-2039	blank	7.5	6.8	6.1	7.2	6.7	6.1	7.4	6.6	5.8
2040-2069	blank	7.4	6.9	6.2	7.3	6.9	6.4	8.0	7.0	6.1
2070-2099	blank	7.5	6.9	6.4	7.9	7.0	6.0	8.5	7.4	6.3
Coden
1980-2009	6.0	6.8	6.4	6.1	7.3	6.7	6.2	7.2	6.7	6.2
2010-2039	blank	8.4	7.2	6.3	8.1	7.4	6.8	8.3	7.5	6.6
2040-2069	blank	8.4	7.5	6.8	8.5	7.8	7.1	9.3	8.0	6.6
2070-2099	blank	7.6	7.3	7.0	9.1	8.0	6.9	9.3	8.2	7.1
Fairhope
1980-2009	5.2	6.4	6.0	5.8	7.0	6.2	5.5	6.7	6.2	5.7
2010-2039	blank	7.4	6.5	5.8	7.1	6.6	6.1	7.4	6.6	5.9
2040-2069	blank	7.4	6.9	6.3	7.5	7.0	6.6	8.3	7.1	6.0
2070-2099	blank	7.1	6.8	6.5	8.2	7.2	6.2	8.3	7.3	6.4
Mobile
1980-2009	4.9	5.8	5.6	5.4	6.4	5.9	5.4	6.2	5.9	5.5
2010-2039	blank	6.9	6.3	5.7	6.8	6.2	5.7	6.9	6.2	5.5
2040-2069	blank	6.9	6.5	6.1	6.7	6.4	6.1	7.6	6.6	5.7
2070-2099	blank	6.4	6.2	6.1	7.6	6.7	5.9	7.7	6.9	6.0
Robertsdale
1980-2009	5.2	6.3	6.1	5.9	6.8	6.2	5.6	6.8	6.3	5.8
2010-2039	blank	7.5	6.9	6.4	7.5	6.9	6.2	7.6	6.8	6.0
2040-2069	blank	7.6	7.1	6.8	7.8	7.1	6.5	8.6	7.3	6.0
2070-2099	blank	8.0	7.3	6.6	8.3	7.2	6.0	8.7	7.5	6.3

Table 129: Annual 4-Day Precipitation - 5% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	3.5	4.5	4.3	4.1	4.6	4.3	3.9	4.7	4.3	3.9
2010-2039	blank	4.8	4.5	4.3	4.8	4.5	4.1	4.9	4.5	4.1
2040-2069	blank	5.2	4.7	4.2	5.0	4.7	4.3	5.3	4.7	4.1
2070-2099	blank	5.2	4.8	4.5	5.4	4.7	4.0	5.5	4.9	4.4
Coden
1980-2009	4.1	4.7	4.5	4.3	4.8	4.5	4.2	4.9	4.6	4.3
2010-2039	blank	5.1	4.8	4.3	5.3	4.9	4.5	5.1	4.8	4.5
2040-2069	blank	5.1	4.9	4.6	5.4	5.1	4.8	5.9	5.2	4.5
2070-2099	blank	5.1	5.0	4.8	5.9	5.1	4.4	5.9	5.3	4.7
Fairhope
1980-2009	3.5	4.5	4.3	4.1	4.5	4.2	3.9	4.6	4.3	3.9
2010-2039	blank	4.7	4.4	4.0	4.8	4.4	4.1	4.8	4.4	4.1
2040-2069	blank	4.7	4.5	4.3	5.0	4.7	4.3	5.4	4.8	4.2
2070-2099	blank	4.7	4.5	4.4	5.2	4.6	4.0	5.3	4.8	4.4
Mobile
1980-2009	3.5	4.3	4.1	4.0	4.4	4.1	3.8	4.4	4.1	3.8
2010-2039	blank	4.5	4.3	4.1	4.8	4.4	4.0	4.6	4.3	4.0
2040-2069	blank	4.5	4.4	4.2	4.8	4.5	4.2	5.1	4.5	4.0
2070-2099	blank	4.5	4.3	4.2	5.1	4.5	3.9	5.0	4.7	4.3
Robertsdale
1980-2009	3.7	4.5	4.3	4.2	4.7	4.3	4.0	4.7	4.3	4.0
2010-2039	blank	4.9	4.7	4.5	5.1	4.6	4.1	5.0	4.6	4.1
2040-2069	blank	5.1	4.8	4.5	5.2	4.8	4.4	5.5	4.9	4.2
2070-2099	blank	5.2	4.9	4.6	5.4	4.8	4.2	5.5	5.0	4.4

Table 130: Annual 4-Day Precipitation - 10% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	2.6	3.2	3.1	3.0	3.3	3.1	2.9	3.4	3.1	2.8
2010-2039	blank	3.2	3.1	3.1	3.5	3.2	2.9	3.5	3.2	2.9
2040-2069	blank	3.4	3.3	3.1	3.5	3.3	3.1	3.7	3.3	2.9
2070-2099	blank	3.7	3.3	3.1	3.8	3.3	2.9	3.8	3.4	3.1
Coden
1980-2009	2.9	3.3	3.2	3.0	3.4	3.2	3.1	3.4	3.2	3.0
2010-2039	blank	3.4	3.3	3.2	3.7	3.4	3.1	3.6	3.4	3.2
2040-2069	blank	3.5	3.4	3.3	3.8	3.5	3.3	4.0	3.6	3.2
2070-2099	blank	3.6	3.4	3.4	3.9	3.5	3.1	4.0	3.7	3.4
Fairhope
1980-2009	2.6	3.1	3.0	2.9	3.2	3.0	2.8	3.3	3.0	2.8
2010-2039	blank	3.2	3.1	2.8	3.4	3.1	2.9	3.3	3.1	2.9
2040-2069	blank	3.2	3.1	3.0	3.4	3.2	3.0	3.6	3.3	2.9
2070-2099	blank	3.3	3.2	3.0	3.5	3.2	2.9	3.6	3.3	3.0
Mobile
1980-2009	2.6	3.0	2.9	2.9	3.1	2.9	2.8	3.2	3.0	2.8
2010-2039	blank	3.1	3.0	2.9	3.4	3.1	2.8	3.3	3.1	2.8
2040-2069	blank	3.2	3.0	2.9	3.3	3.1	2.9	3.5	3.2	2.9
2070-2099	blank	3.2	3.0	2.9	3.5	3.1	2.8	3.4	3.2	3.0
Robertsdale
1980-2009	2.7	3.2	3.1	3.0	3.2	3.1	2.9	3.3	3.1	2.8
2010-2039	blank	3.4	3.2	3.2	3.6	3.2	2.9	3.5	3.2	2.9
2040-2069	blank	3.5	3.3	3.1	3.6	3.3	3.1	3.8	3.4	3.0
2070-2099	blank	3.8	3.4	3.1	3.7	3.3	2.9	3.7	3.4	3.1

Table 131: Annual 4-Day Precipitation - 20% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	1.7	2.0	2.0	1.9	2.1	2.0	1.9	2.1	2.0	1.9
2010-2039	blank	2.1	2.0	1.9	2.3	2.1	1.9	2.3	2.1	1.9
2040-2069	blank	2.2	2.1	1.9	2.2	2.1	1.9	2.4	2.1	1.9
2070-2099	blank	2.5	2.1	1.8	2.3	2.1	1.8	2.4	2.2	2.0
Coden
1980-2009	1.9	2.1	2.1	2.0	2.2	2.1	2.0	2.2	2.1	2.0
2010-2039	blank	2.1	2.1	2.1	2.3	2.2	2.0	2.3	2.2	2.0
2040-2069	blank	2.2	2.1	2.0	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.5	2.2	2.0
2070-2099	blank	2.4	2.1	1.9	2.4	2.2	2.0	2.4	2.3	2.2
Fairhope
1980-2009	1.7	1.9	1.9	1.8	2.0	1.9	1.8	2.0	1.9	1.8
2010-2039	blank	2.0	1.9	1.8	2.1	2.0	1.8	2.1	1.9	1.8
2040-2069	blank	1.9	1.9	1.8	2.1	2.0	1.8	2.2	2.0	1.8
2070-2099	blank	2.1	1.9	1.7	2.2	2.0	1.8	2.2	2.0	1.8
Mobile
1980-2009	1.7	1.9	1.8	1.7	1.9	1.9	1.8	2.0	1.9	1.8
2010-2039	blank	1.9	1.9	1.8	2.1	1.9	1.8	2.1	1.9	1.8
2040-2069	blank	1.9	1.8	1.8	2.0	1.9	1.8	2.2	2.0	1.8
2070-2099	blank	2.0	1.8	1.6	2.1	1.9	1.7	2.2	2.0	1.9
Robertsdale
1980-2009	1.7	1.9	1.9	1.8	2.0	2.0	1.9	2.1	1.9	1.8
2010-2039	blank	2.1	2.0	1.9	2.2	2.0	1.9	2.2	2.0	1.8
2040-2069	blank	2.3	2.0	1.9	2.2	2.0	1.9	2.4	2.1	1.8
2070-2099	blank	2.4	2.0	1.8	2.2	2.0	1.8	2.3	2.1	2.0

Table 132: Annual 4-Day Precipitation - 50% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6
2010-2039	blank	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6
2040-2069	blank	0.8	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.6
2070-2099	blank	0.8	0.6	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.6
Coden
1980-2009	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.7
2010-2039	blank	0.7	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.7
2040-2069	blank	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.7	0.7
2070-2099	blank	0.9	0.7	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.7
Fairhope
1980-2009	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5
2010-2039	blank	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5
2040-2069	blank	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.5
2070-2099	blank	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.5
Mobile
1980-2009	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.5
2010-2039	blank	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5
2040-2069	blank	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.5
2070-2099	blank	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.5
Robertsdale
1980-2009	0.7	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6
2010-2039	blank	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.6	0.6
2040-2069	blank	0.8	0.6	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.6
2070-2099	blank	0.8	0.6	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.6

Table 133: Annual 2-Day Precipitation - 0.2% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	10.1	11.1	10.2	9.2	11.6	10.2	8.9	11.9	10.4	9.0
2010-2039	blank	29.6	15.8	11.1	19.4	14.8	10.2	17.8	13.6	9.3
2040-2069	blank	19.5	15.8	13.0	20.4	14.1	7.8	17.8	14.1	10.4
2070-2099	blank	17.8	12.8	10.2	20.5	15.6	10.8	21.2	15.2	9.2
Coden
1980-2009	9.6	12.8	11.3	10.5	11.5	10.2	8.9	12.2	10.9	9.7
2010-2039	blank	20.8	13.1	10.0	16.7	14.0	11.4	18.2	15.4	12.6
2040-2069	blank	17.1	14.1	12.8	20.5	16.0	11.5	17.7	15.1	12.5
2070-2099	blank	17.8	13.6	10.3	19.0	15.9	12.8	18.8	15.7	12.5
Fairhope
1980-2009	9.0	10.8	9.7	9.1	11.0	9.9	8.9	10.8	10.2	9.5
2010-2039	blank	21.8	12.7	9.0	14.9	12.7	10.4	18.4	13.7	9.0
2040-2069	blank	19.0	14.5	12.1	17.7	13.8	9.8	16.6	13.7	10.7
2070-2099	blank	16.0	12.3	10.5	16.9	13.8	10.8	19.6	15.6	11.6
Mobile
1980-2009	8.3	9.2	8.5	7.7	9.0	8.1	7.3	9.3	8.4	7.5
2010-2039	blank	15.3	10.4	8.2	11.8	10.5	9.2	12.6	10.3	8.0
2040-2069	blank	12.9	10.4	9.2	14.0	11.3	8.6	14.4	11.5	8.7
2070-2099	blank	11.9	9.4	8.3	12.7	10.9	9.0	15.6	11.9	8.2
Robertsdale
1980-2009	9.4	11.3	10.6	9.8	11.3	9.8	8.3	11.6	10.4	9.1
2010-2039	blank	19.7	13.1	9.8	15.3	12.8	10.3	21.7	15.3	8.8
2040-2069	blank	16.1	14.2	12.2	18.1	14.2	10.3	18.5	15.2	12.0
2070-2099	blank	20.6	14.4	10.8	19.7	16.1	12.5	18.1	15.0	11.9

Table 134: Annual 2-Day Precipitation - 1% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	5.3	5.9	5.6	5.0	6.1	5.7	5.3	6.0	5.7	5.3
2010-2039	blank	7.4	6.4	5.8	7.1	6.4	5.8	7.2	6.2	5.3
2040-2069	blank	7.3	6.5	5.9	7.6	6.7	5.9	7.7	6.7	5.7
2070-2099	blank	6.7	6.4	5.6	7.7	6.8	5.8	8.2	7.1	6.0
Coden
1980-2009	6.4	6.9	6.3	5.9	7.1	6.5	6.0	7.1	6.5	6.0
2010-2039	blank	9.4	7.2	6.3	8.0	7.3	6.6	9.1	7.8	6.4
2040-2069	blank	8.4	7.3	6.7	8.7	7.8	6.9	9.4	8.0	6.5
2070-2099	blank	7.2	6.9	6.3	9.4	8.3	7.3	9.8	8.3	6.8
Fairhope
1980-2009	5.3	6.2	5.7	5.4	6.4	5.9	5.4	6.1	5.8	5.4
2010-2039	blank	7.7	6.5	5.7	6.7	6.3	5.8	7.4	6.4	5.4
2040-2069	blank	6.7	6.6	6.4	7.4	6.8	6.2	8.0	6.9	5.7
2070-2099	blank	6.6	6.4	6.1	8.0	7.1	6.2	8.0	7.1	6.2
Mobile
1980-2009	5.1	5.5	5.1	5.0	5.8	5.4	5.0	5.6	5.3	5.1
2010-2039	blank	6.9	6.0	5.4	6.3	5.9	5.5	6.5	5.8	5.1
2040-2069	blank	6.5	6.2	5.8	6.6	6.2	5.8	7.2	6.3	5.3
2070-2099	blank	6.2	5.7	5.4	7.2	6.5	5.9	7.2	6.5	5.7
Robertsdale
1980-2009	5.3	5.9	5.7	5.5	6.1	5.7	5.3	6.2	5.8	5.4
2010-2039	blank	7.5	6.8	6.3	7.4	6.5	5.7	7.9	6.7	5.5
2040-2069	blank	6.8	6.7	6.5	7.4	6.7	6.1	8.4	7.0	5.6
2070-2099	blank	7.7	7.0	6.4	7.8	6.9	5.9	8.5	7.3	6.0

Table 135: Annual 2-Day Precipitation - 2% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	3.9	4.6	4.4	4.3	4.7	4.4	4.2	4.7	4.4	4.2
2010-2039	blank	5.3	4.8	4.5	5.0	4.7	4.3	5.1	4.7	4.3
2040-2069	blank	5.4	4.9	4.6	5.2	4.9	4.6	5.6	4.9	4.3
2070-2099	blank	5.4	5.0	4.8	5.6	5.0	4.3	5.9	5.3	4.6
Coden
1980-2009	4.6	4.9	4.8	4.7	5.2	4.9	4.7	5.2	4.9	4.6
2010-2039	blank	6.5	5.5	4.8	5.8	5.4	5.0	5.9	5.3	4.8
2040-2069	blank	5.9	5.4	5.2	6.2	5.7	5.2	6.8	5.9	4.9
2070-2099	blank	5.5	5.3	5.2	6.7	5.9	5.1	6.8	6.0	5.2
Fairhope
1980-2009	4.1	4.7	4.4	4.3	4.9	4.5	4.2	4.7	4.5	4.2
2010-2039	blank	5.6	4.9	4.2	5.0	4.7	4.5	5.1	4.7	4.3
2040-2069	blank	5.2	5.0	4.7	5.5	5.1	4.7	6.0	5.2	4.5
2070-2099	blank	5.1	4.9	4.7	5.9	5.2	4.5	5.8	5.2	4.6
Mobile
1980-2009	3.9	4.4	4.2	4.1	4.7	4.4	4.0	4.4	4.2	4.0
2010-2039	blank	5.2	4.7	4.3	4.9	4.6	4.3	4.9	4.5	4.1
2040-2069	blank	4.7	4.7	4.7	5.0	4.8	4.5	5.3	4.8	4.3
2070-2099	blank	4.7	4.6	4.5	5.5	4.9	4.3	5.3	4.9	4.5
Robertsdale
1980-2009	4.3	4.6	4.5	4.4	4.8	4.6	4.3	4.8	4.5	4.3
2010-2039	blank	5.6	5.2	5.0	5.3	4.9	4.5	5.4	4.9	4.3
2040-2069	blank	5.3	5.2	5.1	5.6	5.2	4.7	6.1	5.3	4.5
2070-2099	blank	5.7	5.2	4.9	5.9	5.2	4.5	6.1	5.3	4.6

Table 136: Annual 2-Day Precipitation - 5% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	2.6	3.3	3.1	3.0	3.3	3.1	3.0	3.3	3.1	2.9
2010-2039	blank	3.5	3.3	3.2	3.4	3.3	3.1	3.5	3.2	3.0
2040-2069	blank	3.6	3.4	3.4	3.5	3.3	3.1	3.7	3.3	3.0
2070-2099	blank	3.8	3.5	3.4	3.7	3.3	3.0	3.8	3.5	3.2
Coden
1980-2009	3.2	3.5	3.4	3.2	3.5	3.4	3.3	3.6	3.4	3.3
2010-2039	blank	3.8	3.5	3.3	3.8	3.6	3.4	3.8	3.6	3.4
2040-2069	blank	4.0	3.7	3.5	3.9	3.7	3.5	4.2	3.8	3.4
2070-2099	blank	3.7	3.7	3.5	4.2	3.8	3.3	4.2	3.9	3.5
Fairhope
1980-2009	2.7	3.3	3.1	3.0	3.2	3.1	3.0	3.3	3.1	2.9
2010-2039	blank	3.3	3.1	2.9	3.4	3.2	3.0	3.4	3.2	3.0
2040-2069	blank	3.4	3.3	3.3	3.5	3.3	3.1	3.7	3.4	3.0
2070-2099	blank	3.5	3.3	3.3	3.6	3.3	3.0	3.6	3.4	3.2
Mobile
1980-2009	2.7	3.1	3.0	2.9	3.2	3.0	2.8	3.1	3.0	2.8
2010-2039	blank	3.2	3.1	2.9	3.3	3.1	2.9	3.2	3.1	3.0
2040-2069	blank	3.3	3.2	3.1	3.3	3.2	3.0	3.5	3.2	2.9
2070-2099	blank	3.2	3.2	3.1	3.5	3.2	2.9	3.4	3.3	3.1
Robertsdale
1980-2009	2.9	3.3	3.2	3.1	3.3	3.2	3.0	3.3	3.1	3.0
2010-2039	blank	3.6	3.3	3.2	3.6	3.3	3.1	3.5	3.3	3.1
2040-2069	blank	3.6	3.5	3.4	3.6	3.4	3.2	3.8	3.4	3.1
2070-2099	blank	3.9	3.5	3.4	3.7	3.4	3.0	3.8	3.5	3.2

Table 137: Annual 2-Day Precipitation - 10% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	2.0	2.4	2.3	2.2	2.3	2.3	2.2	2.4	2.3	2.2
2010-2039	blank	2.4	2.3	2.3	2.4	2.3	2.2	2.5	2.3	2.2
2040-2069	blank	2.5	2.4	2.3	2.5	2.4	2.3	2.6	2.4	2.2
2070-2099	blank	2.7	2.4	2.2	2.6	2.4	2.2	2.6	2.5	2.3
Coden
1980-2009	2.3	2.5	2.4	2.4	2.5	2.4	2.3	2.5	2.4	2.4
2010-2039	blank	2.6	2.5	2.4	2.7	2.6	2.4	2.7	2.5	2.4
2040-2069	blank	2.5	2.5	2.5	2.7	2.6	2.5	2.8	2.6	2.4
2070-2099	blank	2.7	2.6	2.5	2.8	2.6	2.4	2.8	2.7	2.5
Fairhope
1980-2009	1.9	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.3	2.2	2.1
2010-2039	blank	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.4	2.3	2.1	2.3	2.2	2.1
2040-2069	blank	2.3	2.2	2.2	2.4	2.3	2.2	2.5	2.3	2.1
2070-2099	blank	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.5	2.3	2.1	2.5	2.3	2.2
Mobile
1980-2009	2.0	2.3	2.1	2.0	2.2	2.1	2.0	2.2	2.1	2.0
2010-2039	blank	2.2	2.2	2.1	2.4	2.2	2.1	2.3	2.2	2.1
2040-2069	blank	2.2	2.2	2.2	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.4	2.3	2.1
2070-2099	blank	2.3	2.2	2.0	2.4	2.2	2.1	2.4	2.3	2.2
Robertsdale
1980-2009	2.0	2.3	2.2	2.2	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.3	2.2	2.1
2010-2039	blank	2.4	2.3	2.3	2.5	2.3	2.2	2.4	2.3	2.2
2040-2069	blank	2.6	2.4	2.3	2.5	2.4	2.2	2.6	2.4	2.2
2070-2099	blank	2.7	2.4	2.2	2.5	2.4	2.2	2.6	2.4	2.3

Table 138: Annual 2-Day Precipitation - 20% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.4	1.5	1.4	1.4	1.5	1.4	1.4
2010-2039	blank	1.5	1.4	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.4
2040-2069	blank	1.6	1.5	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.4
2070-2099	blank	1.8	1.5	1.3	1.6	1.5	1.3	1.6	1.6	1.5
Coden
1980-2009	1.5	1.6	1.5	1.5	1.6	1.6	1.5	1.6	1.6	1.5
2010-2039	blank	1.6	1.6	1.5	1.7	1.6	1.6	1.7	1.6	1.6
2040-2069	blank	1.7	1.6	1.5	1.7	1.6	1.6	1.8	1.7	1.5
2070-2099	blank	1.8	1.6	1.5	1.8	1.6	1.5	1.8	1.7	1.6
Fairhope
1980-2009	1.2	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.4	1.4	1.3
2010-2039	blank	1.4	1.3	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3
2040-2069	blank	1.4	1.3	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3
2070-2099	blank	1.5	1.4	1.2	1.5	1.4	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3
Mobile
1980-2009	1.2	1.3	1.3	1.2	1.4	1.3	1.3	1.4	1.3	1.3
2010-2039	blank	1.3	1.3	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3	1.4	1.4	1.3
2040-2069	blank	1.3	1.3	1.2	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.5	1.4	1.3
2070-2099	blank	1.4	1.3	1.1	1.4	1.3	1.2	1.5	1.4	1.3
Robertsdale
1980-2009	1.3	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.4	1.4	1.4	1.5	1.4	1.4
2010-2039	blank	1.5	1.4	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.4	1.5	1.4	1.4
2040-2069	blank	1.6	1.4	1.3	1.6	1.5	1.4	1.6	1.5	1.3
2070-2099	blank	1.7	1.5	1.3	1.6	1.4	1.3	1.6	1.5	1.4

Table 139: Annual 2-Day Precipitation - 50% Exceedance Probability (inches)

	Observed Mean	A1FI Max	A1FI Mean	A1FI Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2- σ	B1+ σ	B1 Mean	B1- σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4
2010-2039	blank	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4
2040-2069	blank	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4
2070-2099	blank	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.4
Coden
1980-2009	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.5
2010-2039	blank	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.5
2040-2069	blank	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.5
2070-2099	blank	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.5
Fairhope
1980-2009	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
2010-2039	blank	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
2040-2069	blank	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
2070-2099	blank	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
Mobile
1980-2009	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
2010-2039	blank	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
2040-2069	blank	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
2070-2099	blank	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
Robertsdale
1980-2009	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4
2010-2039	blank	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4
2040-2069	blank	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4
2070-2099	blank	0.5	0.4	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4

Table 140: Seasonal Maximum 3-Day Precipitation Total (inches)

		Observed Mean	Max	A1FI Mean	A1I Min	A2 +σ	A2 Mean	A2 - σ	B1 + σ	B1 Mean	B1 - σ
Bay-Minette
1980-2009	Winter	3.6	4.4	4.0	3.4	4.4	4.0	3.7	4.4	4.1	3.7
1980-2009	Spring	4.9	5.4	5.0	4.7	5.4	4.9	4.3	5.4	4.9	4.5
1980-2009	Summer	5.3	6.5	5.9	5.4	6.9	6.0	5.1	6.5	5.8	5.1
1980-2009	Fall	5.1	5.2	4.7	4.3	5.7	5.0	4.2	5.4	5.1	4.8
2010-2039	Winter	blank	4.9	4.5	4.1	4.8	4.3	3.8	5.3	4.7	4.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	6.3	5.3	4.6	6.6	5.5	4.5	6.9	5.6	4.4
2010-2039	Summer	blank	10.4	6.7	4.3	8.4	6.8	5.2	7.5	6.3	5.0
2010-2039	Fall	blank	8.2	6.3	5.2	6.6	5.7	4.8	6.6	5.5	4.4
2040-2069	Winter	blank	5.6	4.6	3.8	5.3	4.7	4.1	5.3	4.7	4.0
2040-2069	Spring	blank	7.0	5.7	4.6	6.7	5.5	4.4	6.4	5.3	4.3
2040-2069	Summer	blank	7.8	6.7	4.8	9.1	6.9	4.7	8.6	7.0	5.4
2040-2069	Fall	blank	7.4	6.3	5.6	6.2	5.5	4.8	7.5	6.2	4.9
2070-2099	Winter	blank	4.7	4.3	3.7	5.6	5.0	4.3	5.4	4.8	4.2
2070-2099	Spring	blank	7.2	5.5	4.4	7.2	5.6	4.0	7.6	5.9	4.2
2070-2099	Summer	blank	8.0	6.1	4.5	8.3	6.3	4.3	8.2	6.6	5.0
2070-2099	Fall	blank	8.4	6.3	4.4	6.9	5.6	4.3	7.8	6.5	5.2
Coden
1980-2009	Winter	3.8	4.7	4.0	3.5	4.6	4.3	3.9	4.7	4.2	3.8
1980-2009	Spring	4.1	5.1	4.9	4.5	5.0	4.6	4.2	5.4	4.8	4.3
1980-2009	Summer	4.6	6.5	5.9	5.5	7.1	6.2	5.4	6.8	5.9	5.1
1980-2009	Fall	3.9	5.2	4.9	4.3	5.9	5.2	4.4	5.8	5.4	5.1
2010-2039	Winter	blank	4.9	4.5	4.3	5.6	4.8	4.0	6.0	5.2	4.4
2010-2039	Spring	blank	6.4	5.2	4.5	5.7	5.1	4.5	6.3	5.3	4.3
2010-2039	Summer	blank	9.8	6.4	4.4	8.3	6.9	5.4	8.0	6.6	5.2
2010-2039	Fall	blank	7.8	6.0	4.8	6.6	5.7	4.9	7.1	5.9	4.8
2040-2069	Winter	blank	5.7	4.7	4.0	6.2	5.0	3.8	6.2	5.3	4.4
2040-2069	Spring	blank	6.2	5.4	4.6	6.1	5.2	4.3	6.4	5.4	4.5
2040-2069	Summer	blank	8.1	6.5	4.5	9.7	7.4	5.1	9.0	7.3	5.5
2040-2069	Fall	blank	6.4	5.6	4.7	7.0	6.0	5.0	7.1	6.3	5.6
2070-2099	Winter	blank	5.4	4.5	3.8	7.3	5.8	4.4	6.4	5.7	4.9
2070-2099	Spring	blank	7.1	5.2	4.2	6.7	5.2	3.7	6.9	5.7	4.6
2070-2099	Summer	blank	7.5	5.9	3.8	8.6	6.5	4.5	9.1	7.1	5.1
2070-2099	Fall	blank	8.2	5.9	4.9	6.9	5.8	4.6	7.9	6.7	5.4
Fairhope
1980-2009	Winter	3.9	4.6	4.1	3.4	4.6	4.2	3.8	4.4	4.1	3.8
1980-2009	Spring	4.9	5.0	4.7	4.3	5.1	4.7	4.3	5.6	5.0	4.5
1980-2009	Summer	5.2	6.6	5.8	5.5	7.1	6.1	5.2	6.7	5.9	5.0
1980-2009	Fall	4.6	5.4	5.0	4.6	5.5	4.9	4.3	5.3	5.0	4.8
2010-2039	Winter	blank	5.3	4.6	3.9	5.4	4.6	3.8	6.0	5.0	4.0
2010-2039	Spring	blank	6.2	5.0	4.1	5.8	5.2	4.5	5.9	5.0	4.1
2010-2039	Summer	blank	9.8	6.4	4.2	8.2	6.8	5.3	8.3	6.7	5.1
2010-2039	Fall	blank	7.0	5.9	5.1	5.8	5.2	4.6	6.1	5.3	4.5
2040-2069	Winter	blank	5.8	5.0	4.0	5.9	4.9	3.8	5.9	5.0	4.1
2040-2069	Spring	blank	6.1	4.8	4.0	6.2	5.2	4.1	5.9	5.2	4.6
2040-2069	Summer	blank	7.8	6.5	4.6	9.2	7.1	4.9	9.1	7.3	5.4
2040-2069	Fall	blank	7.3	6.1	5.3	6.2	5.4	4.6	6.3	5.7	5.2
2070-2099	Winter	blank	5.1	4.5	3.8	7.2	5.7	4.1	6.2	5.3	4.4
2070-2099	Spring	blank	7.0	5.2	4.3	6.6	5.2	3.9	6.6	5.6	4.6
2070-2099	Summer	blank	8.1	6.1	4.2	8.2	6.3	4.4	9.4	7.1	4.7
2070-2099	Fall	blank	7.5	6.0	4.8	6.1	5.2	4.3	6.9	6.1	5.4
Mobile
1980-2009	Winter	3.8	4.2	3.9	3.3	4.5	4.1	3.7	4.4	4.1	3.7
1980-2009	Spring	5.3	5.5	4.9	4.5	5.1	4.7	4.3	5.2	4.7	4.3
1980-2009	Summer	4.5	5.7	5.3	4.8	6.1	5.4	4.6	5.8	5.1	4.5
1980-2009	Fall	4.6	4.7	4.4	4.0	5.2	4.6	4.0	5.0	4.7	4.5
2010-2039	Winter	blank	4.9	4.4	4.1	5.0	4.4	3.8	5.0	4.6	4.1
2010-2039	Spring	blank	5.8	4.8	4.4	5.9	5.2	4.4	5.6	5.0	4.3
2010-2039	Summer	blank	8.2	5.6	3.8	7.0	5.8	4.6	6.8	5.7	4.5
2010-2039	Fall	blank	6.4	5.4	4.5	5.7	5.0	4.4	5.9	5.1	4.3
2040-2069	Winter	blank	6.2	4.9	4.0	5.5	4.6	3.7	5.3	4.7	4.2
2040-2069	Spring	blank	5.5	4.8	4.3	5.8	5.0	4.3	5.8	5.0	4.3
2040-2069	Summer	blank	6.9	5.6	4.2	7.6	5.9	4.3	7.7	6.2	4.7
2040-2069	Fall	blank	5.8	5.5	5.1	5.8	5.3	4.7	6.4	5.6	4.8
2070-2099	Winter	blank	5.0	4.4	3.7	5.8	5.0	4.2	5.3	4.8	4.3
2070-2099	Spring	blank	6.1	5.0	4.0	6.5	5.1	3.7	6.1	5.2	4.4
2070-2099	Summer	blank	6.5	4.9	3.8	6.9	5.4	3.9	8.1	6.1	4.2
2070-2099	Fall	blank	6.8	5.2	4.6	6.0	5.1	4.3	6.6	5.9	5.2
Robertsdale
1980-2009	Winter	3.6	4.4	4.0	3.3	4.5	4.1	3.7	4.3	4.0	3.7
1980-2009	Spring	4.6	5.1	4.8	4.5	5.2	4.6	4.1	5.4	4.9	4.4
1980-2009	Summer	5.0	6.3	5.7	5.1	6.7	5.9	5.1	6.5	5.7	5.0
1980-2009	Fall	5.1	5.5	5.2	4.8	5.8	5.2	4.6	5.8	5.5	5.1
2010-2039	Winter	blank	5.0	4.7	4.6	5.7	4.7	3.8	6.3	5.2	4.2
2010-2039	Spring	blank	6.3	5.3	4.5	6.0	5.2	4.3	6.5	5.3	4.1
2010-2039	Summer	blank	8.5	6.4	4.3	7.4	6.3	5.2	7.3	6.2	5.1
2010-2039	Fall	blank	7.4	6.3	5.3	6.6	5.9	5.2	7.2	5.9	4.6
2040-2069	Winter	blank	5.9	4.7	3.7	6.4	5.0	3.5	6.2	5.1	4.1
2040-2069	Spring	blank	6.5	5.4	4.6	6.2	5.2	4.2	6.7	5.5	4.4
2040-2069	Summer	blank	7.5	6.3	4.6	7.7	6.4	5.0	8.2	6.7	5.2
2040-2069	Fall	blank	8.0	6.6	5.9	7.4	6.1	4.9	7.3	6.4	5.5
2070-2099	Winter	blank	6.0	4.8	3.7	7.3	5.7	4.0	6.4	5.4	4.4
2070-2099	Spring	blank	6.7	5.4	4.5	6.7	5.3	3.9	6.7	5.6	4.4
2070-2099	Summer	blank	7.8	6.1	4.3	7.5	5.9	4.4	8.3	6.6	4.9
2070-2099	Fall	blank	8.8	7.0	5.0	7.1	5.9	4.7	7.8	6.8	5.7