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Climate Variability and Change in Mobile, Alabama

Final Report, Task 2

Impacts of Climate Change and Variability on Transportation Systems and Infrastructure

The Gulf Coast Study, Phase 2

Prepared for:
The USDOT Center for Climate Change and Environmental Forecasting

Project managed by:
Office of Planning, Environment, and Realty
Federal Highway Administration, USDOT
Robert Kafalenos, Robert Hyman

Prepared by:
ICF International
1725 Eye Street, NW
Washington, DC 20006

With contributions from
PB Americas

Date: September 2012 (Updated June 2013)
Contract No.: GS-10F-0124J
Report No.: FHWA-HEP-12-053

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The authors gratefully acknowledge the assistance from the following for providing data and/or guidance with this report: Dr. Scott Douglass and Dr. Bret Webb of South Coast Engineers who provided invaluable ADCIRC modeling expertise; Mr. Van Wilson and Dr. Zhong Lu of US Geological Survey (USGS) who provide analysis related to land uplift and subsidence in Mobile; Dr. Virginia Burkett of USGS for her comments on the report and her assistance in the development of the statistical downscaled temperature and precipitation data; Dr. Katharine Hayhoe and Dr. Anne Stoner of Texas Tech who provided the historical and statistically downscaled temperature and precipitation projections included in this report and some of the event data for the analysis; Dr. Tom Peterson of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Organization (NOAA) and Dr. Kelly Redmond of the Western Regional Climate Center for their guidance on the industry standard in processing observational data and selecting appropriate available data sets based on the intended use. Mr. Mike Flood, Mr. Justin Lennon, and Mr. Jake Keller of PB Americas who participated in streamflow discussions and assisted in defining appropriate temperature and precipitation variables applicable to the risk assessments.

We also gratefully acknowledge the time and effort provided by the peer reviewers of this report: Steve Hostetler, United States Geological Survey; Kenneth Kunkel, North Carolina State University; and Adam Parris, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Principal Authors and Reviewers (in alphabetical order):

Ms. Anne Choate, Ms. Wendy Jaglom, Dr. Rawlings Miller, Ms. Beth Rodehorst, Dr. Peter Schultz, and Ms. Cassandra Snow, of ICF International; Mr. Brian Beucler of the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA)

Other Contributing Authors (in alphabetical order):

Ms. Caitlin Churchill, Dr. Jonathan Cohen, Mr. Christopher Hogan, Ms. Angelica McKee, Mr. Kevin Palaia, Ms. Joanne Potter, Ms. Emily Rowan, Ms. Angela Wong, and Mr. Kevin Wright, of ICF International; Dr. Michael Meyer of PB Americas.

June 2013 Update

The following revisions were made in June 2013: Additional information was added on pages 130, 159, 164, 168, 192, 324, and 325 to provide further information about the sea level rise and storm surge analyses. In addition, the exposure statistics presented in Tables 3, 4, 20, 25, 47, 54, and 55 and accompanying text were revised to reflect refined GIS information developed under Task 3.

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Updated: 12/27/2016
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