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Planning

Freight Planning

Logistics and Infrastructure: Challenges and Opportunities

Harry Caldwell
Federal Highway Administration
Office of Freight Management and Operations


Objectives
Challenges Placed on Infrastructure

Flowchart comparing shippers, transportation providers, and infrastructure providers


Logistics Productivity Factors
Logistics Expenditures and GDP
After a long improvement, expenditures have stalled at about 10%

Bar graph showing logistics expenditures as a percentage of PDG, comparing Administrative, Transportation, and Inventory between 1997 and 1998. Source: Cass/Pro Logis 10th Annual State of Logistics Report, 1998


Trade Outpacing Economic Growth

Far-flung supply chains lead to trade in components and parts.


Trucking Costs Have Dropped

Graph showing the decline in trucking costs since 1990.


Order Cycle Time Development

Graph showing information processing, physicial distribution, and manufacturing lead time increasing from 1980 to 1990


Inventories Are Shrinking

graph showing decrease in business inventory ratio to GDP between 1983 and 1997


Freight Trends and Issues: Themes
Presentation of trends and issues is organized around three sets of themes
Trends Shaping Demand for Transportation Services
From Push to Pull Logistics Systems

complex comparison of push to pull logistics systems


E-Commerce and Freight Movement
Shippers expect to use more parcel/express, LTL, local trucking, and /courier services

graph comparing E-Commerce and Freight Movement\


Modal Growth in Tonnage
Demand for reliable, high-speed service is growing

Bar graph showing annual modal growth , 1990 to 1998


Transportation Infrastructure is:

An Asset to contain costs and make products more competitive

Are we using it wisely?


Infrastructure Concerns add to delays and unnecessary costs

image showing days and miles for shipping goods


Top Gateways for International Freight Exports and imports in tons

Map of the USA showing top gateways for international freight.


Travel Rate Congestion Index
The average percentage growth in peak-period-travel-time compared to off-peak-travel-time in 68 large metro areas was 81%

graph showing increase in travel rate index between 1982 and 1997


System Mileage within the U.S.
Highway and air increased modestly; Class I rail lost mileage

bar graph comparing US system mileage increases between 1975 and 1996


NHS Intermodal Connectors -- Infrastructure Constraints

NHS Connectors


More Traffic on the Highways
Daily Vehicle Miles of Travel per Lane-Mile, 1987-1997
         
 
   
1987
1997
Annual Rate of Change
  Rural      
  Interstate 3,530 4,952 3.40%
  Other Principal Arterials 2,090 2,522 1.90%
     
  Urban      
  Interstate 11,230 13,696 2.00%
  OtherFreeway 9,240 10,620 1.40%
  Other Principal Arterials 5,010 5,768 1.40%

California Motor Carriers' Perception of Congestion and Response
Carriers are investing in technology to counter increasing congestion
  • 82% see congestion as serious or critical
    • Costs of slower speed
    • Scheduling problems
    • Driver morale
    • Accidents & insurance
    • Higher fuel & maintenance
  • 85% see congestion worsening over next five years
bar graph comparing carrier use

Regional GNP Growth Rates to 2010

estimated regional gnp growth 1998 to 2010


Growth by Major Region and Mode
(Tons in Millions)

bar chart showing estimated growth, 1998 to 2020, by region and mode


Capacity and the Nation's Infrastructure

capacity and the nation's infrastructure


From System Construction to System Optimization
From Modal to Multi-Modal Surface Transportation Policy

Freight Transportation Perspectives
State and MPO focus is regional and local; private sector focus is increasingly national and global

State and MPO focus is regional and local; private sector focus is increasingly national and global


Why Identified Projects Go Unprogrammed

North American readiness...

The Challenge


There Is A Role for the Public Sector

There is a role for the public sector.


The Evolution of Freight Policy
Efficiency (ISTEA 1991-1997) to Equity (TEA-21 1998-2003) to Effectiveness, 2004
Intermodalism
Innovative Finance
Funding Increase
State/local freight focus
Information Technology
Infrastructure Funding
(multimodal?) Institutional Development

 

 

 

 

 

 


Future Challenges
Future Challenges - 3 I's
Logistics Challenges...Policy Responses
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