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Pavement Health Track Remaining Service Life (RSL) Forecasting Models, Technical Information

Guidance on Setting Key Parameters

Performance Indicators Thresholds

Pavement RSL is determined for a given pavement type based on forecasted condition (characterized using individual distress and IRI). Recommended terminal threshold distress/IRI values that define end of service life are presented in Table 44 and Table 45 for new asphalt and asphalt overlaid asphalt pavements and new JPCP and bonded and unbonded JPCP overlays, respectively. Information presented was obtained from review of current highway agency practices and published literature on the subject matter.

Table 44. Recommended Terminal Threshold Distress and IRI (For new asphalt and asphalt overlaid asphalt pavements)
HPMS Surface Type Code Pavement TypeDistress Type and IRI
Alligator Cracking, percent lane area Rutting, in Transverse Cracking, ft/mi IRI, in/mi
High TypeOthers High TypeOthers High TypeOthers High TypeOthers
2, 6, & 7(2) Bituminous
(6) Asphalt overlay over existing asphalt pavement
(7) Asphalt overlay over existing jointed concrete pavement
23400.50.9100020001773000
Table 45. Recommended Terminal Threshold Distress and IRI (for new JPCP and bonded and unbonded JPCP overlays)
HPMS Surface Type Code Pavement Type Applicability of New Pavement Equations
Transverse Cracking, percent slabs crackedTransverse Joint Faulting, inIRI
High TypeOthers High TypeOthers High TypeOthers
3, 9(3) JPCP12200.170.3177300

Assigning Weights for Estimating Overall RSL

The PHT Tool determines overall RSL in two ways:

  1. Minimum of all estimated RSLs for all the individually computed RSLs computed for different performance measures used in analysis
  2. Weighted average of all individual RSLs computed.

Using a weighted average requires assignments of weights to the individual performance measures. Typically, weights are assigned in order to satisfy analysis objectives. Analysis objectives typically fall into the following categories:

  • Determine structural RSL
  • Determine functional RSL
  • Determine RSL that reflects both functional and structural condition (most common).

For the first case, RSL due to pavement smoothness is assigned a weight of zero, while all the other structural distresses are assigned weights that add up to 100.

For the second case, RSL due to pavement smoothness is assumed as the pavement RSL. The third and most common method assigned a weight to both functional (IRI) and structural (cracking, rutting, faulting) distresses based on the importance the agency attaches to them. An example of weights applied by Iowa DOT to transform flexible pavement distress data into pavement condition ratings (determined using expert opinion) is presented in Table 46.

Table 46. Automated Condition Rating Calculations
Pavement Distress WeightsRevised Weights for
PHT Tool Performance
Measures Only
IRI3540
Rutting2025
Alligator "fatigue" cracking*1025
Transverse cracking1010
Longitudinal cracking (non wheelpath)5 
Longitudinal "fatigue" cracking (wheelpath)*10 
Block cracking10 
Total100100

*Both are considered wheelpath fatigue cracking in the PHT Tool.

*Adapted after Resler, J. and O. Smadi. HWYNEEDS: A Sensitivity Analysis. Proceedings: Mid-Continent Transportation Symposium, Ames, Iowa, 2000).

Maximum Service Life

The PHT Tool assigns maximum service life based on pavement type. Computed RSL is replaced by maximum pavement service life if RSL is greater than the maximum service life of the given pavement. Typical maximum service life utilized by the PHT Tool is presented in Table 47.

Table 47. Recommended Maximum Pavement Service Life
Pavement TypeRecommended Maximum Service Life, years
New flexible20
New JPCP30
Thick AC overlaid AC10
Thin AC overlaid AC6
Thick AC overlaid JPCP10
Unbonded JPCP over rigid pavement25
Bond PCC over JPCP15
Updated: 10/18/2012