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Office of Planning, Environment, & Realty (HEP)

Supporting Performance-Based Planning and Programming through Scenario Planning


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Technical Documentation

1. Report No.


2. Government Accession No.

3. Recipient’s Catalog No.

4. Title and Subtitle

5. Report Date

April 2016

Supporting Performance-Based Planning and Programming through Scenario Planning

6. Performing Organization Code

7. Authors

Hannah Twaddell (ICF), Alanna McKeeman (ICF), Michael Grant (ICF), Jessica Klion (ICF), Uri Avin, Kate Ange (Renaissance), Mike Callahan (Renaissance)

8. Performing Organization Report No.

9. Performing Organization Name and Address

10. Work Unit No. (TRAIS)

ICF International

9300 Lee Highway

Fairfax, VA 22031

Renaissance Planning Group

1901 North Moore Street, Suite 1204

Arlington, Virginia 22209

Uri Avin

National Center for Smart Growth, University of Maryland

College Park, MD 20742

11. Contract or Grant No.

12. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address

United States Department of Transportation

Federal Highway Administration

1200 New Jersey Avenue SE

Washington, DC 20590

13. Type of Report and Period Covered

14. Sponsoring Agency Code

15. Supplementary Notes

Ms. Rae Keasler, Federal Highway Administration

16. Abstract

This guidebook addresses how scenario planning can be used to support and advance the practice of performance-based planning and programming (PBPP). Scenario planning can use metrics, models, data sets, and tools to estimate and evaluate scenarios based on their ability to maximize system performance and support achievement of goals and performance targets. The guidebook presents a framework for connecting established scenario planning processes with the four phases of PBPP: direction, analysis, programming, and implementation. Three case studies provide examples of agencies of varying sizes that have used scenario planning in innovative ways to advance the practice of PBPP. A section and appendix of scenario planning and performance measurement tools that can be used in, or incorporated into, scenario planning is also provided.

17. Key Words

Scenario planning, performance-based planning, performance-based planning and programming, programming, planning, PBPP, scenarios, performance measures, land use, transportation, vision, goals, objectives, targets, case studies, system performance, tools, models, MPOs, State DOTs

18. Distribution Statement

No restrictions.

19. Security Classif. (of this report)


20. Security Classif. (of this page)


21. No of Pages


22. Price


Updated: 7/27/2016
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