Mid-Region Metropolitan Planning Organization Scenario Planning Peer Exchange Workshop

Figure 2 Text Description

The framework image illustrates the six key phases that agencies are likely to encounter when implementing the scenario planning process:

Phase 1: How Should We Get Started?
Scope the effort and engage partners.
Phase 2: Where Are We Now?
Establish baseline analysis. Identify factors and trends that affect the state, region, community, or study area.
Phase 3: Who Are We and Where Do We Want to Go?
Establish future goals and aspirations based on values of the state, region, community, or study area.
Phase 4: What Could the Future Look Like?
Create baseline and alternative scenarios.
Phase 5: What Impacts Will Scenarios Have?
Assess scenario impacts, influences, and effects.
Phase 6: How Will We Reach Our Desired Future?
Craft the comprehensive vision. Identify strategic actions and performance measures.

Each phase lists considerations and outputs to help guide agencies in managing and implementing a comprehensive scenario planning effort. The considerations and outputs identified under each phase are as follows:

Phase 1: How Should We Get Started?

Considerations: Process goals, objectives, budget, and stakeholder roles and responsibilities.

Output: Work plan.

Phase 2: Where Are We Now?

Considerations: Transportation and land supply, suitability, and demand. State, regional, community, or study area trends.

Outputs: Transportation systems inventory, land suitability analysis, evaluation of historical trends.

Phase 3: Who Are We and Where Do We Want to Go?

Considerations: Key values and priorities for the state, community, region, or study area.

Outputs: Set of working principles that document broad state, community, region, or study area goals and preferences.

Phase 4: What Could the Future Look Like?

Considerations: Scenario types, analysis tools, travel demand model.

Outputs: Identification of appropriate scenario analysis tool or refinement of travel demand model; baseline and alternative scenarios.

Phase 5: What Impacts Will Scenarios Have?

Considerations: Indicators to help evaluate scenario performance.

Outputs: Refined or calibrated analysis tool(s) or model(s) if necessary; list of indicators to compare scenario outcomes; qualitative or quantitative assessment of scenario impacts.

Phase 6: How Will We Reach Our Desired Future?

Considerations: Stakeholder feedback on scenarios and the future blueprint; potential actions, investments, or policies to lead the state, community, region, or study area toward the comprehensive vision

Outputs: Comprehensive vision; action steps; performance measures to assess progress; plan for monitoring progress.

Lastly, the framework image indicates the phases that involve data collection (phases 1 and 2); identification, preparation, and refinement of analysis tools (phases 1 through 4); and stakeholder involvement (all phases).

Return to report.