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National Scenario Planning Peer Exchange Report - July 8-10, 2012

Figure 1. FHWA/FTA Six-Phase Scenario Planning Framework

The figure shows a framework image that illustrates the six key phases that agencies are likely to encounter when implementing the scenario planning process:

• Phase 1: How Should We Get Started?
  Scope the effort and engage partners.
• Phase 2: Where Are We Now?
  Establish baseline analysis. Identify factors and trends that affect the state, region, community, or study area.
• Phase 3: Who Are We and Where Do We Want to Go?
  Establish future goals and aspirations based on values of the state, region, community, or study area.
• Phase 4: What Could the Future Look Like?
  Create baseline and alternative scenarios.
• Phase 5: What Impacts Will Scenarios Have?
  Assess scenario impacts, influences, and effects.
• Phase 6: How Will We Reach Our Desired Future?
  Craft the comprehensive vision. Identify strategic actions and performance measures.

Each phase includes several questions, considerations, steps, and strategies to help guide agencies in managing and implementing a comprehensive scenario planning effort. The framework also includes potential outputs from each phase. For example, a work plan is a potential output of Phase 1.