The framework image illustrates the six key phases that agencies are likely to encounter when implementing the scenario planning process:
This graphic shows Phases 4, 5, and 6 of the FHWA Scenario Planning Guidebook.
Phase 4: What could the future look like?
Create trend and alternative scenarios.
Considerations: Scenario types, analysis tools, travel demand model.
Outputs: Identification of appropriate scenario analysis tool or refinement of travel demand model; trend and alternative scenarios.
Phase 5: What impacts will scenarios have?
Assess scenario impacts.
Considerations: Indicators to help evaluate scenario performance.
Outputs: Refined or calibrated analysis tool(s) or model(s) if necessary. List of indicators to compare scenario outcomes. Qualitative or quantitative assessment of scenario impacts.
Phase 6: How will we reach our desired future?
Craft the comprehensive vision; identify strategic actions and performance measures.
Considerations: Stakeholder feedback on scenarios and the future blueprint; potential actions, investments, or policies to lead the region or study area towards the future blueprint.
Outputs: Comprehensive vision; action steps; performance measures to assess progress; plan for monitoring progress.
