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Transportation Performance Management

 

State Highway Safety Report (2020) - Arizona

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The following provides a summary of the Highway Safety Improvement Program’s (HSIP) safety performance measures and State safety performance targets. As per the Safety PM Final Rule, States are required to set annual safety performance targets in the HSIP annual report for the number of fatalities, rate of fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles traveled (VMT), number of serious injuries, rate of serious injures per 100 million VMT, and number of non-motorized fatalities and serious injuries. The safety performance targets are based on 5-year rolling averages. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate. FHWA encourages States to review data sets and trends and consider factors that may affect targets. The safety performance targets should be data-driven, realistic, and attainable and should align with the performance management framework and legislative intent.

A State Department of Transportation (DOT) has met or made significant progress towards meeting its safety performance targets when at least four of the five safety performance targets established under 23 CFR 490.209(a) have been met or the actual outcome is better than the baseline performance. The baseline performance is the 5-year average ending with the year prior to the establishment of the target.

The Basis for Target and Additional Comments are provided by the State in their HSIP Annual Report and have not been edited by FHWA. Any questions about individual State reports should be directed to the respective State DOT. For additional information about each State's HSIP, the complete reports are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/reports/.

More information and resources on Safety Performance Management are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/spm/.

All State data used to populate the State Highway Safety Reports for 2020 are available for download at https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/tpm/reporting/state/tpm_dashboard_data.zip.

  • Number of Fatalities

  • Number of Fatalities 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 773 897 952 998 1,011 979 1,054
    5-Year Average 926.2 967.4 998.8
    Target (5-Year Average) 1,014.4 985.1 1,045.2
  • Basis for Number of Fatalities Target

    Arizona established our safety performance projections based on the 5-year rolling averages of statewide crash data. While the targets cover central areas of our State Strategic Highway Safety Plan, the projections do not reflect the goals of the plan which call for a 3-7 percent reduction in fatalities and serious injury crashes by the end of 2019.
    2021 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis and assumptions: Fatal crashes are showing higher than predicted declines from 2018 through first quarter 2020. 2019 Fatalities declined by 2.87%
    The 2022 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis: 2020 Fatalities are showing an increase from 2019. 2020 Fatalities increased by 7.86% from the year 2019 2021 fatality count is 408 as of June 2nd, 2021

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2014-2019 Final FARS, 2020 FARS Annual Report File
    Targets: 2019-2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Reports

  • Fatality Rate (per 100 million VMT)

  • Fatality Rate
    (per 100 million VMT)
    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 1.23 1.38 1.45 1.53 1.53 1.39 1.60
    5-Year Average 1.424 1.456 1.500
    Target (5-Year Average) 1.522 1.431 1.568
  • Basis for Fatality Rate Target

    Arizona established our safety performance projections based on the 5-year rolling averages of statewide crash data. While the targets cover central areas of our State Strategic Highway Safety Plan, the projections do not reflect the goals of the plan which call for a 3-7 percent reduction in fatalities and serious injury crashes by the end of 2019.
    2021 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis and assumptions: Fatal crashes are showing higher than predicted declines from 2018 through first quarter 2020. 2019 Fatalities declined by 2.87% 2020 first quarter (Jan 1 thru Mar 31) fatalities declined 2% compared to 2019 Q1 Statewide VMT expected to continue increasing by 1.6% per year
    Statewide VMT and crash data for 2020 as of June 2, 2021 are preliminary and subject to change

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2014-2019 Final FARS, 2020 FARS Annual Report File
    VMT: 2014-2020 FHWA Highway Statistics Series, VM-2 Table
    Targets: 2019-2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Reports

  • Number of Serious Injuries

  • Number of Serious Injuries 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 3,968 4,220 4,617 4,207 3,790 3,604 3,081
    5-Year Average 4,160.4 4,087.6 3,859.8
    Target (5-Year Average) 3,934.0 3,661.6 3,210.7
  • Basis for Number of Serious Injuries Target

    Arizona established our safety performance projections based on the 5-year rolling averages of statewide crash data. While the targets cover central areas of our State Strategic Highway Safety Plan, the projections do not reflect the goals of the plan which call for a 3-7 percent reduction in fatalities and serious injury crashes by the end of 2019.
    2021 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis and assumptions: Serious injury crashes are showing higher than predicted declines from 2018 through first quarter 2020. 2019 Serious injuries declined by 5.79%
    The 2022 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis: 2020 Serious injury crashes are showing higher than predicted declines from 2019. 2020 Serious injuries declined by 14.25% from 2019 2021 Serious injuries count is 1066 as of June 2nd, 2021

  • Data Sources:
    Serious Injuries: 2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Report
    Targets: 2019-2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Reports

  • Rate of Serious Injuries (per 100 million VMT)

  • Rate of Serious Injuries
    (per 100 million VMT)
    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 6.34 6.49 7.02 6.47 5.73 5.13 4.69
    5-Year Average 6.410 6.168 5.808
    Target (5-Year Average) 5.936 5.353 4.797
  • Basis for Serious Injury Rate Target

    Arizona established our safety performance projections based on the 5-year rolling averages of statewide crash data. While the targets cover central areas of our State Strategic Highway Safety Plan, the projections do not reflect the goals of the plan which call for a 3-7 percent reduction in fatalities and serious injury crashes by the end of 2019.
    2021 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis and assumptions: Serious injury crashes are showing higher than predicted declines from 2018 through first quarter 2020. 2019 Serious injuries declined by 5.79% Statewide VMT expected to continue increasing by 1.6% per year
    Statewide VMT and crash data for 2020 as of June 2, 20201 are preliminary and subject to change.

  • Data Sources:
    Serious Injuries: 2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Report
    VMT: 2014-2020 FHWA Highway Statistics Series, VM-2 Table
    Targets: 2019-2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Reports

  • Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries

  • Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities
    and Serious Injuries
    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 670 684 877 832 829 774 696
    5-Year Average 778.4 799.2 801.6
    Target (5-Year Average) 865.4 781.9 736.2
  • Basis for Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries Target

    Arizona established our safety performance projections based on the 5-year rolling averages of statewide crash data. While the targets cover central areas of our State Strategic Highway Safety Plan, the projections do not reflect the goals of the plan which call for a 3-7 percent reduction in fatalities and serious injury crashes by the end of 2019.
    2021 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis and assumptions: Fatal and serious injury crashes are showing higher than predicted declines from 2018 through first quarter 2020. 2019 Fatalities declined by 2.87% 2019 Serious injuries declined by 5.79% 2020 first quarter (Jan 1 thru Mar 31) fatalities declined 2% compared to 2019 Q1
    The 2022 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) created using the following analysis: The 2020 Non Motorized fatalities and serious injuries declined by 7.89% from 2019

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2014-2019 Final FARS, 2020 FARS Annual Report File
    Serious Injuries: 2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Report
    Targets: 2019-2021 Arizona HSIP Annual Reports


Additional Comments

2021 Comments:

Arizona STSP Vision: Toward zero deaths by reducing crashes for safer Arizona. STSP Goal: Reduce traffic fatalities on Arizona's Roadways 2019 number of fatalities was 982 and 2018 number of fatalities was 1011

2022 Comments:

The 2022 Safety Performance Projections (Targets) was completed on June 2, 2021. Statewide VMT and crash data for 2020 was preliminary and subject to change.

Safety Performance Target Assessment

PLEASE NOTE: Each State’s safety performance target assessment is based on its own State-specific target methodology and program philosophy. Therefore, conclusions should not be drawn based only on the information in the Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary table. For example, the State may have set aggressive targets, and not met those targets, while another State may have set more easily attainable targets, and met those targets. FHWA understands that each State’s safety program is unique and therefore does not prescribe a methodology for States to set targets. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate when setting their safety performance targets.

Arizona 2020 Safety Performance Target Assessment
Performance Measure 2016-2020 Target 2016-2020 Actual 2014-2018 Baseline Met Target? Better Than Baseline? Met or Made Significant Progress?
Number of Fatalities 1,014.4 998.8 926.2 YES N/A YES
Rate of Fatalities 1.522 1.500 1.424 YES N/A
Number of Serious Injuries 3,934.0 3,859.8 4,160.4 YES N/A
Rate of Serious Injuries 5.936 5.808 6.410 YES N/A
Number of non-motorized fatalities and non-motorized serious injuries 865.4 801.6 778.4 YES N/A

Updated: 04/19/2022
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