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Transportation Performance Management

 

State Highway Safety Report (2020) - Minnesota

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The following provides a summary of the Highway Safety Improvement Program’s (HSIP) safety performance measures and State safety performance targets. As per the Safety PM Final Rule, States are required to set annual safety performance targets in the HSIP annual report for the number of fatalities, rate of fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles traveled (VMT), number of serious injuries, rate of serious injures per 100 million VMT, and number of non-motorized fatalities and serious injuries. The safety performance targets are based on 5-year rolling averages. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate. FHWA encourages States to review data sets and trends and consider factors that may affect targets. The safety performance targets should be data-driven, realistic, and attainable and should align with the performance management framework and legislative intent.

A State Department of Transportation (DOT) has met or made significant progress towards meeting its safety performance targets when at least four of the five safety performance targets established under 23 CFR 490.209(a) have been met or the actual outcome is better than the baseline performance. The baseline performance is the 5-year average ending with the year prior to the establishment of the target.

The Basis for Target and Additional Comments are provided by the State in their HSIP Annual Report and have not been edited by FHWA. Any questions about individual State reports should be directed to the respective State DOT. For additional information about each State's HSIP, the complete reports are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/reports/.

More information and resources on Safety Performance Management are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/spm/.

All State data used to populate the State Highway Safety Reports for 2020 are available for download at https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/tpm/reporting/state/tpm_dashboard_data.zip.

  • Number of Fatalities

  • Number of Fatalities 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 361 411 392 358 381 364 394
    5-Year Average 380.6 381.2 377.8
    Target (5-Year Average) 375.4 352.4 352.4
  • Basis for Number of Fatalities Target

    Projections of current annual percent reduction over the last THREE years (i.e. since the implementation of the new state crash reporting system) were used, 1.4% reduction annually.
    The forthcoming SHSP has established a mid-term goal of no more than 225 fatalities by 2025. A linear trend was derived from 2019 fatalities to the 2025 goal. The 2021 target was established by averaging the outcomes from 2017 through 2019 with the computed trend for 2020-2021. As a result, the target measures Minnesota's progress toward the SHSP goal.
    Target equal to 2021.

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2014-2019 Final FARS, 2020 FARS Annual Report File
    Targets: 2019-2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Reports

  • Fatality Rate (per 100 million VMT)

  • Fatality Rate
    (per 100 million VMT)
    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 0.63 0.72 0.66 0.60 0.63 0.60 0.76
    5-Year Average 0.648 0.642 0.650
    Target (5-Year Average) 0.626 0.582 0.582
  • Basis for Fatality Rate Target

    Projections of current annual percent reduction over the last THREE years (i.e. since the implementation of the new state crash reporting system) were used, 1.4% reduction annually, with an assumed conservative increase in VMT of 0.5% annually.
    The number of fatalities used the outcomes from 2017-2019 and the computed 2020-2021 trend; a conservative estimate of +0.5% vehicle miles traveled was used for the annual rates.
    Progression from 2019 to SHSP goal.

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2014-2019 Final FARS, 2020 FARS Annual Report File
    VMT: 2014-2020 FHWA Highway Statistics Series, VM-2 Table
    Targets: 2019-2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Reports

  • Number of Serious Injuries

  • Number of Serious Injuries 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 1,044 1,127 1,992 1,849 1,660 1,520 1,569
    5-Year Average 1,534.4 1,629.6 1,718.0
    Target (5-Year Average) 1,714.2 1,579.8 1,463.4
  • Basis for Number of Serious Injuries Target

    Projections of current annual percent reduction over the last THREE years (i.e. since the implementation of the new state crash reporting system) were used, 7.5% reduction annually.
    The forthcoming SHSP has established a mid-term goal of no more than 980 serious injuries by 2025. A linear trend was derived from 2019 serious injuries to the 2025 goal. The 2021 target was established by averaging the outcomes from 2017 through 2019 with the computed trend for 2020-2021. As a result, the target measures Minnesota's progress toward the SHSP goal.
    Target equal to 2021.

  • Data Sources:
    Serious Injuries: 2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Report
    Targets: 2019-2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Reports

  • Rate of Serious Injuries (per 100 million VMT)

  • Rate of Serious Injuries
    (per 100 million VMT)
    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 1.82 1.96 3.37 3.08 2.75 2.50 3.04
    5-Year Average 2.596 2.732 2.948
    Target (5-Year Average) 2.854 2.606 2.470
  • Basis for Serious Injury Rate Target

    Projections of current annual percent reduction over the last THREE years (i.e. since the implementation of the new state crash reporting system) were used, 7.5% reduction annually, with an assumed conservative increase in VMT of 0.5% annually.
    The number of serious injuries used the outcomes from 2017-2019 and the computed 2020-2021 trend; a conservative estimate of +0.5% vehicle miles traveled was used for the annual rates.
    Progression from 2019 to SHSP goal.

  • Data Sources:
    Serious Injuries: 2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Report
    VMT: 2014-2020 FHWA Highway Statistics Series, VM-2 Table
    Targets: 2019-2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Reports

  • Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries

  • Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities
    and Serious Injuries
    2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
    Annual 148 209 358 324 270 262 258
    5-Year Average 261.8 284.6 294.4
    Target (5-Year Average) 317.0 281.2 258.4
  • Basis for Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries Target

    Based on halting the current increasing trends in non-motorist fatalities and serious injuries (i.e. 0% reductions annually); as a state, Minnesota is not comfortable setting a safety goal that INCREASES.
    The derived fatality linear trends for 2020-2021 were scaled by the percent of fatalities involving a non-motorist for the prior five years (i.e. 2014-2018). Similarly, the serious injury trends for 2020-2021 were scaled by the percent of serious injuries involving a non-motorist. The target measures Minnesota's progress toward the SHSP goal if the prevalence of non-motorists in traffic fatalities and serious injuries remains unchanged.
    Progression from 2019 to SHSP goal.

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2014-2019 Final FARS, 2020 FARS Annual Report File
    Serious Injuries: 2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Report
    Targets: 2019-2021 Minnesota HSIP Annual Reports


Additional Comments

2021 Comments:

Minnesota recognized that by using simple projections from prior years, the targets may increase: this was not acceptable. A new methodology for establishing safety targets was necessary to track progress towards our SHSP goals. This method utilizes quality data from the State Crash Database and current outcomes from 2019 to establish meaningful targets.

Safety Performance Target Assessment

PLEASE NOTE: Each State’s safety performance target assessment is based on its own State-specific target methodology and program philosophy. Therefore, conclusions should not be drawn based only on the information in the Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary table. For example, the State may have set aggressive targets, and not met those targets, while another State may have set more easily attainable targets, and met those targets. FHWA understands that each State’s safety program is unique and therefore does not prescribe a methodology for States to set targets. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate when setting their safety performance targets.

Minnesota 2020 Safety Performance Target Assessment
Performance Measure 2016-2020 Target 2016-2020 Actual 2014-2018 Baseline Met Target? Better Than Baseline? Met or Made Significant Progress?
Number of Fatalities 375.4 377.8 380.6 NO YES NO
Rate of Fatalities 0.626 0.650 0.648 NO NO
Number of Serious Injuries 1,714.2 1,718.0 1,534.4 NO NO
Rate of Serious Injuries 2.854 2.948 2.596 NO NO
Number of non-motorized fatalities and non-motorized serious injuries 317.0 294.4 261.8 YES N/A

Updated: 04/19/2022
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