State Highway Safety Report (2020) - Vermont
The following provides a summary of the Highway Safety Improvement Program’s (HSIP) safety performance measures and State safety performance targets. As per the Safety PM Final Rule, States are required to set annual safety performance targets in the HSIP annual report for the number of fatalities, rate of fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles traveled (VMT), number of serious injuries, rate of serious injures per 100 million VMT, and number of non-motorized fatalities and serious injuries. The safety performance targets are based on 5-year rolling averages. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate. FHWA encourages States to review data sets and trends and consider factors that may affect targets. The safety performance targets should be data-driven, realistic, and attainable and should align with the performance management framework and legislative intent.
A State Department of Transportation (DOT) has met or made significant progress towards meeting its safety performance targets when at least four of the five safety performance targets established under 23 CFR 490.209(a) have been met or the actual outcome is better than the baseline performance. The baseline performance is the 5-year average ending with the year prior to the establishment of the target.
The Basis for Target and Additional Comments are provided by the State in their HSIP Annual Report and have not been edited by FHWA. Any questions about individual State reports should be directed to the respective State DOT. For additional information about each State's HSIP, the complete reports are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/reports/.
More information and resources on Safety Performance Management are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/spm/.
All State data used to populate the State Highway Safety Reports for 2020 are available for download at https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/tpm/reporting/state/tpm_dashboard_data.zip.
The target for the number of serious injuries in this HSIP report is different from the one submitted for the HSP. The reason is that an error was detected and the wrong number was provided in the HSP. A revised target for the HSP will be provided to NHSTA by the State Highway Safety Office.
With the exception of the target for serious injuries, all the other targets are the same as the 2020 targets. All targets, with the exception of the one for the number of fatalities, have been set between the 2021 trend value and the 2019 actual 5-year average. The target for the number of fatalities was set slightly lower than the trend line to match the 2020 target which VTrans felt was a better target to aim for. The targets for the number of fatalities and for the number of serious injuries in this HSIP report are different from the ones submitted for the HSP. The wrong numbers were provided in the HSP. VTrans is working with NHTSA to correct the numbers in the HSP.
VTrans has attempted to align the 2020 safety performance targets with the overall five-year goal of the SHSP rather than by trend lines. VTrans believes that this approach is more useful for making decisions towards investments. VTrans endeavored to determine what the safety targets should be in order to make progress towards a 10% SHSP overall reduction in the of fatal and serious injury crashes five-year average over five years (assuming that the 10% goal from the previous SHSP will be continued in the next SHSP update). The year 2022 will be the first year of VTrans’ updated SHSP. To keep it simple, VTrans assumed a 2% reduction per year. The 10% reduction should be from the 2021 averages, but because these are unknown for now, VTrans assumed a 4% reduction from the 2020 actual values. VTrans used Excel trend lines and generated predictions with ARIMA models for the year 2022 for all five five-year average safety targets as reference points.
Safety Performance Target Assessment
PLEASE NOTE: Each State’s safety performance target assessment is based on its own State-specific target methodology and program philosophy. Therefore, conclusions should not be drawn based only on the information in the Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary table. For example, the State may have set aggressive targets, and not met those targets, while another State may have set more easily attainable targets, and met those targets. FHWA understands that each State’s safety program is unique and therefore does not prescribe a methodology for States to set targets. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate when setting their safety performance targets.
|Performance Measure||2016-2020 Target||2016-2020 Actual||2014-2018 Baseline||Met Target?||Better Than Baseline?||Met or Made Significant Progress?|
|Number of Fatalities||58.0||61.6||60.0||NO||NO||NO|
|Rate of Fatalities||0.820||0.874||0.820||NO||NO|
|Number of Serious Injuries||275.0||265.6||283.4||YES||N/A|
|Rate of Serious Injuries||3.700||3.746||3.880||NO||YES|
|Number of non-motorized fatalities and non-motorized serious injuries||36.0||36.4||38.2||NO||YES|