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Transportation Performance Management

 

State Highway Safety Report (2018) - texas

The following provides a summary of the Highway Safety Improvement Program’s (HSIP) safety performance measures and State safety performance targets. As per the Safety PM Final Rule, States are required to set annual safety targets in the HSIP annual report for the number of fatalities, rate of fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles traveled (VMT), number of serious injuries, rate of serious injures per 100 million VMT, and number of non-motorized fatalities and serious injuries. The safety performance targets are based on 5-year rolling averages. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate. The agency encourages States to review data sets and trends and consider factors that may affect targets. The safety performance targets should be data-driven, realistic, and attainable and should align with the performance management framework and legislative intent.

A State Department of Transportation (DOT) has met or made significant progress towards meeting its safety performance targets when at least four of the five safety performance targets established under 23 CFR 490.209(a) have been met or the actual outcome is better than the baseline performance. The baseline performance is the 5-year average ending with the year prior to the establishment of the target.

The Basis for Target and Additional Comments are provided by the State in their HSIP Annual Report and have not been edited by FHWA. Any questions about individual State reports should be directed to the respective State DOT. For additional information about each State's HSIP, the complete reports are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/reports/.

  • Number of Fatalities

  • Number of Fatalities 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
    Annual 3,408 3,389 3,536 3,582 3,797 3,732 3,642
    5-Year Average 3,542.4 3,607.2 3,657.8
    Target (5-Year Average) 3,703.8 3,791.0 3,840.0
  • Basis for Number of Fatalities Target

    The 2018 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year (Target or Actual Data) Source 2014(3,536)FARS 2015(3,516)ARF 2016(3,775)CRIS 2017(3,801)Target 2018(3,891)Target 2018 Target expressed as 5-year average= 3,703.8
    TxDOT uses a linear trend analysis to establish target(s), and analyzed the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts within each problem identification. While utilizing the linear trend analysis projections, the slope is determined to be a positive factor or negative factor. The short-term (2019) and long-term (2021) targets are consistent with the methodology used to establish State Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) targets, and therefore the short-term targets are identical to the Highway Safety Improvement Plan (HSIP) targets. TxDOT established its 2019 HSP performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT uses a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drills down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The SHSP uses a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams is to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target set will mirror the projection determined by the slope. The 2019 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year Target or Actual Data Source 2015 3,582 FARS 2016 3,776 ARF 2017 3,726 CRIS 2018 3,891 Target 2019 3,980 Target 2019 Target expressed as 5-year average: 3,791.0
    The SHSP used a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. TxDOT compared the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts in the SHSP within each problem identification. TxDOT established its 2020 performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data, and these targets are used in both the HSIP and HSP. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT used a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drilled down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams was to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target mirrors the projection determined by the slope.

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2012-2017 Final FARS, 2018 FARS Annual Report File
    Targets: 2017-2019 texas HSIP Annual Reports

  • Fatality Rate (per 100 million VMT)

  • Fatality Rate
    (per 100 million VMT)
    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
    Annual 1.43 1.39 1.45 1.39 1.40 1.37 1.29
    5-Year Average 1.412 1.400 1.380
    Target (5-Year Average) 1.432 1.414 1.406
  • Basis for Fatality Rate Target

    The 2018 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year (Target or Actual Data) Source 2014(1.45)FARS 2015(1.36)ARF 2016(1.44)CRIS 2017(1.45)Target 2018(1.46)Target 2018 Target expressed as 5-year average = 1.432
    TxDOT uses a linear trend analysis to establish target(s), and analyzed the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts within each problem identification. While utilizing the linear trend analysis projections, the slope is determined to be a positive factor or negative factor. The short-term (2019) and long-term (2021) targets are consistent with the methodology used to establish State Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) targets, and therefore the short-term targets are identical to the Highway Safety Improvement Plan (HSIP) targets. TxDOT established its 2019 HSP performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT uses a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drills down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The SHSP uses a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams is to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target set will mirror the projection determined by the slope. The 2019 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year Target or Actual Data Source 2015 1.39 FARS 2016 1.39 ARF 2017 1.36 CRIS 2018 1.46 Target 2019 1.47 Target 2019 Target expressed as 5-year average: 1.414
    The SHSP used a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. TxDOT compared the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts in the SHSP within each problem identification. TxDOT established its 2020 performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data, and these targets are used in both the HSIP and HSP. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT used a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drilled down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams was to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target mirrors the projection determined by the slope.

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2012-2017 Final FARS, 2018 FARS Annual Report File
    VMT: 2012-2018 FHWA Highway Statistics Series, VM-2 Table
    Targets: 2017-2019 texas HSIP Annual Reports

  • Number of Serious Injuries

  • Number of Serious Injuries 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
    Annual 16,168 16,785 17,134 17,110 17,602 17,546 14,892
    5-Year Average 16,959.8 17,235.4 16,856.8
    Target (5-Year Average) 17,565.4 17,751.0 17,394.0
  • Basis for Number of Serious Injuries Target

    The 2018 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year(Target or Actual Data) Source 2014(17,133)CRIS 2015(17,096)CRIS 2016(17,578)CRIS 2017(17,890)Target 2018(18,130)Target 2018 Target expressed as 5-year average = 17,565.4
    TxDOT uses a linear trend analysis to establish target(s), and analyzed the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts within each problem identification. While utilizing the linear trend analysis projections, the slope is determined to be a positive factor or negative factor. The short-term (2019) and long-term (2021) targets are consistent with the methodology used to establish State Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) targets, and therefore the short-term targets are identical to the Highway Safety Improvement Plan (HSIP) targets. TxDOT established its 2019 HSP performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT uses a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drills down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The SHSP uses a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams is to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target set will mirror the projection determined by the slope. The 2019 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year Target or Actual Data Source 2015 17,110 CRIS 2016 17,602 CRIS 2017 17,546 CRIS 2018 18,130 Target 2019 18,367 Target 2019 Target expressed as 5-year average: 17,751.0
    The SHSP used a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. TxDOT compared the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts in the SHSP within each problem identification. TxDOT established its 2020 performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data, and these targets are used in both the HSIP and HSP. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT used a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drilled down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams was to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target mirrors the projection determined by the slope.

  • Data Sources:
    Serious Injuries: 2019 texas HSIP Annual Report
    Targets: 2017-2019 texas HSIP Annual Reports

  • Rate of Serious Injuries (per 100 million VMT)

  • Rate of Serious Injuries
    (per 100 million VMT)
    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
    Annual 6.80 6.86 7.05 6.63 6.49 6.43 5.28
    5-Year Average 6.766 6.692 6.376
    Target (5-Year Average) 6.740 6.550 6.286
  • Basis for Serious Injury Rate Target

    The 2018 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year(Target or Actual Data) Source 2014(17,133)CRIS 2015(17,096)CRIS 2016(17,578)CRIS 2017(17,890)Target 2018(18,130)Target 2018 Target expressed as 5-year average = 17,565.4
    TxDOT uses a linear trend analysis to establish target(s), and analyzed the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts within each problem identification. While utilizing the linear trend analysis projections, the slope is determined to be a positive factor or negative factor. The short-term (2019) and long-term (2021) targets are consistent with the methodology used to establish State Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) targets, and therefore the short-term targets are identical to the Highway Safety Improvement Plan (HSIP) targets. TxDOT established its 2019 HSP performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT uses a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drills down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The SHSP uses a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams is to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target set will mirror the projection determined by the slope. The 2019 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year Target or Actual Data Source 2015 17,110 CRIS 2016 17,602 CRIS 2017 17,546 CRIS 2018 18,130 Target 2019 18,367 Target 2019 Target expressed as 5-year average: 17,751.0
    The SHSP used a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. TxDOT compared the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts in the SHSP within each problem identification. TxDOT established its 2020 performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data, and these targets are used in both the HSIP and HSP. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT used a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drilled down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams was to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target mirrors the projection determined by the slope.

  • Data Sources:
    Serious Injuries: 2019 texas HSIP Annual Report
    VMT: 2012-2018 FHWA Highway Statistics Series, VM-2 Table
    Targets: 2017-2019 texas HSIP Annual Reports

  • Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries

  • Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities
    and Serious Injuries
    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
    Annual 1,802 1,859 1,906 2,049 2,316 2,155 2,109
    5-Year Average 1,986.4 2,057.0 2,107.0
    Target (5-Year Average) 2,150.6 2,237.6 2,285.0
  • Basis for Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries Target

    The 2018 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows:Year (Target or Actual Data) Source 2014(1,893)FARS-CRIS 2015(2,023)FARS-CRIS 2016(2,304)CRIS 2017(2,224)Target 2018(2,309)Target 2018 Target expressed as 5-year average = 2150.6
    TxDOT uses a linear trend analysis to establish target(s), and analyzed the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts within each problem identification. While utilizing the linear trend analysis projections, the slope is determined to be a positive factor or negative factor. The short-term (2019) and long-term (2021) targets are consistent with the methodology used to establish State Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) targets, and therefore the short-term targets are identical to the Highway Safety Improvement Plan (HSIP) targets. TxDOT established its 2019 HSP performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT uses a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drills down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The SHSP uses a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams is to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target set will mirror the projection determined by the slope. The 2019 Target expressed as a 5-year average would be as follows: Year Target or Actual Data Source 2015 2,036 FARS-CRIS 2016 2,301 ARF-CRIS 2017 2,148 CRIS 2018 2,309 Target 2019 2,394 Target 2019 Target expressed as 5-year average: 2,237.6
    The SHSP used a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. TxDOT compared the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. The “R” Values are contained on the charts in the SHSP within each problem identification. TxDOT established its 2020 performance targets based on data projections using the 2017-2022 SHSP which included 2011-2015 FARS data or 2012-2016 CRIS data, and these targets are used in both the HSIP and HSP. Also included was discussion of other relevant factors including the availability of funds, the State’s improved economic conditions, oil and gas industry-related population growth in the entire State, gas prices, increases in non-motorized modes of transportation, and expected increases in miles driven and speed. TxDOT used a comprehensive review of general trends statewide, and then drilled down to the county and local detail level to determine the best use of available resources. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams was to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year Reduction 2017 0.0% 2018 0.4% 2019 0.8% 2020 1.2% 2021 1.6% 2022 2.0% When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target mirrors the projection determined by the slope.

  • Data Sources:
    Fatalities: 2012-2017 Final FARS, 2018 FARS Annual Report File
    Serious Injuries: 2019 texas HSIP Annual Report
    Targets: 2017-2019 texas HSIP Annual Reports


Additional Comments

2018 Comments:

TxDOT used a linear trend analysis to establish target(s), and analyzed the linear trend analysis of different data sets including three to five years of raw data as well as the moving averages for those data sets. While utilizing the linear trend analysis projections, the slope is determined to be a positive factor or negative factor. The targets are consistent with the methodology used to establish Strategic Highway Safety Plan (SHSP) targets, and therefore the targets are identical to the Highway Safety Plan (HSP) targets. The SHSP uses a data-driven, multi-year collaborative process to establish safety targets. The consensus of the SHSP stakeholder and executive teams is to utilize a methodology of establishing targets that would result in a 2% reduction from the original trend line projection in 2022. The proposed reduction of 2% by 2022, which only applies to positive slope projection trends, would be achieved by reducing each intermediate year by the following reduction percentages: Year (Reduction) 2017 (0.0%) 2018 (0.4%) 2019 (0.8%) 2020 (1.2%) 2021 (1.6%) 2022 (2.0%) When the slope analysis projects a negative slope, the target set will mirror the projection determined by the slope.

2020 Comments:

The narratives have been updated, but the targets are correct; these are the targets as they were set during the development of the current SHSP.

Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary

PLEASE NOTE: Each State’s safety performance target assessment is based on its own State-specific target methodology and program philosophy. Therefore, conclusions should not be drawn based only on the information in the Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary table. For example, the State may have set aggressive targets, and not met those targets, while another State may have set more easily attainable targets, and met those targets. FHWA understands that each State’s safety program is unique and therefore does not prescribe a methodology for States to set targets. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate when setting their safety performance targets.

texas Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary
Performance Measure 2014-2018 Target 2014-2018 Outcome 2012-2016 Baseline Met Target? Better Than Baseline? Met or Made Significant Progress?
Number of Fatalities 3,703.8 3,657.8 3,542.4 Yes N/A YES
Rate of Fatalities 1.432 1.380 1.412 Yes N/A
Number of Serious Injuries 17,565.4 16,856.8 16,959.8 Yes N/A
Rate of Serious Injuries 6.740 6.376 6.766 Yes N/A
Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries 2,150.6 2,107.0 1,986.4 Yes N/A

Updated: 08/11/2020
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