State Highway Safety Report (2018) - New Jersey
The following provides a summary of the Highway Safety Improvement Program’s (HSIP) safety performance measures and State safety performance targets. As per the Safety PM Final Rule, States are required to set annual safety targets in the HSIP annual report for the number of fatalities, rate of fatalities per 100 million vehicle miles traveled (VMT), number of serious injuries, rate of serious injures per 100 million VMT, and number of non-motorized fatalities and serious injuries. The safety performance targets are based on 5-year rolling averages. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate. The agency encourages States to review data sets and trends and consider factors that may affect targets. The safety performance targets should be data-driven, realistic, and attainable and should align with the performance management framework and legislative intent.
A State Department of Transportation (DOT) has met or made significant progress towards meeting its safety performance targets when at least four of the five safety performance targets established under 23 CFR 490.209(a) have been met or the actual outcome is better than the baseline performance. The baseline performance is the 5-year average ending with the year prior to the establishment of the target.
The Basis for Target and Additional Comments are provided by the State in their HSIP Annual Report and have not been edited by FHWA. Any questions about individual State reports should be directed to the respective State DOT. For additional information about each State's HSIP, the complete reports are available at https://safety.fhwa.dot.gov/hsip/reports/.
The fatalities and serious injuries for the year 2016 in the Performance Target calculations don't match exactly with the fatalities and serious injuries for the General Trends. The safety targets were set in early May, 2017 prior to the time crash data for 2016 was closed. The NJSP data, as of January 24, 2017, were used for 2016 fatalities. The NJDOT data, as of January 26, 2017, was used for 2015 serious injuries and used to project an estimate of 2016 serious injuries based on the available crash data accumulated to date at that time. For the General Trends calculations, fatalities and serious injuries were taken from data as of 7/7/17.
For 2019 Target calculations: - Safety targets were developed based on statistical forecasting to project probable outcomes. - 2007-2015 Fatalities were based on available FARS data as of 3/19/2018. - 2016 & 2017 Fatalities were based on available NJ State Police Fatal Accident Investigation Unit as of 3/19/2018. - Serious Injuries were based on available NJDOT data as of 3/14/2018. 2017 numbers were estimated based on calculations using available data. - 2017, 2018 & 2019 VMTs were not available in March and were estimated based on calculations using available data. Note that 2008, 2012 and 2016 VMTs were adjusted for leap year. For General Highway Safety Trends: - 2009-2016 Fatalities, including non-motorized fatalities, are from FARS. - 2017 Fatalities, including non-motorized fatalities, are from NJ State Police Fatal Accident Investigation Unit as of 8/30/2018. - Serious Injury counts, including non-motorized serious injury counts, are from NJDOT/ARD database as of 7/16/2018. - 2017 VMT data is provided by NJDOT on 6/18/2018. - VMTs have been adjusted for leap years 2012 and 2016 and the rates have been recalculated.
For 2020 Target calculations: - Safety targets were developed based on statistical forecasting to project probable outcomes. - 2008-2017 Number of Fatalities is based on available FARS data as of 4/5/2019. - 2018 Number of Fatalities are based on available NJ State Police Fatal Accident Investigation Unit as of 4/5/2019. - Serious Injuries were based on available NJDOT data as of 4/5/19. 2018 numbers were estimated based on calculations using available data. - 2018, 2019 & 2020 VMTs were not available in March and were estimated based on calculations using available data. Note that 2012, 2016 and 2020 VMTs were adjusted for leap year. For General Highway Safety Trends: For fatalities and serious injuries: - 2010-2017 Fatal counts are FARS as of 6/17/2019. - 2018 Fatal counts are from NJSP: https://www.njsp.org/info/fatalacc/2018-stats.shtml as of 6/17/2019 - 2010-2018 Incapacitated counts are from NJDOT database as of 6/17/2019. - VMTs have been adjusted for leap years 2012 and 2016.
Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary
PLEASE NOTE: Each State’s safety performance target assessment is based on its own State-specific target methodology and program philosophy. Therefore, conclusions should not be drawn based only on the information in the Safety Performance Target Assessment Summary table. For example, the State may have set aggressive targets, and not met those targets, while another State may have set more easily attainable targets, and met those targets. FHWA understands that each State’s safety program is unique and therefore does not prescribe a methodology for States to set targets. States have the flexibility to use the methodology they deem most appropriate when setting their safety performance targets.
|Performance Measure||2014-2018 Target||2014-2018 Outcome||2012-2016 Baseline||Met Target?||Better Than Baseline?||Met or Made Significant Progress?|
|Number of Fatalities||586.0||581.4||570.0||Yes||N/A||YES|
|Rate of Fatalities||0.778||0.760||0.756||Yes||N/A|
|Number of Serious Injuries||1,105.0||1,112.2||1,112.4||No||Yes|
|Rate of Serious Injuries||1.467||1.454||1.480||Yes||N/A|
|Number of Non-Motorized Fatalities and Serious Injuries||386.5||394.0||390.4||No||No|