U.S. Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC 20590
202-366-4000
Federal Highway Administration Research and Technology
Coordinating, Developing, and Delivering Highway Transportation Innovations
This report is an archived publication and may contain dated technical, contact, and link information |
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Publication Number: FHWA-RD-03-094
Date: March 2005 |
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Estimating Cumulative Traffic Loads, Volume II: |
Year | AADT Truck Volumes | Projected Growth | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Historical | Monitoring | Projected | Percentage | Factor | |
1986 |
5 |
– |
6 |
– |
0.91 |
1987 |
10 |
– |
6 |
5.1 |
0.96 |
1988 |
6 |
– |
7 |
5.3 |
1.01 |
1989 |
6 |
– |
7 |
5.6 |
1.07 |
1990 |
7 |
– |
8 |
5.8 |
1.13 |
1991 |
8 |
– |
8 |
6.0 |
1.20 |
1992 |
9 |
2 |
9 |
6.3 |
1.27 |
1993 |
– |
9 |
9 |
6.5 |
1.36 |
1994 |
– |
9 |
10 |
6.7 |
1.45 |
1995 |
– |
6 |
10 |
6.9 |
1.55 |
1996 |
– |
12 |
11 |
7.1 |
1.66 |
1997 |
– |
– |
12 |
7.3 |
1.78 |
1998 |
OUT OF STUDY: 02/07/1997 |
Figure 19. Projected AADT truck volumes (initial) for site 473104.
Because RCOs are responsible for communicating with participating agencies and have detailed knowledge of local traffic data and issues acquired through long–standing cooperation with local agencies, the LTPP Traffic Feedback and Resolution Packages were first sent to RCOs for review and comments. Representatives of RCOs reviewed the packages, often providing written comments to the project team, and chose one of the following alternatives:
It was recognized early in Phase 1 that the involvement of the participating agencies in the traffic data assessment and traffic load projection process would be essential for meeting the project objectives. Specific issues requiring local agency involvement included trends in annual historical and monitoring truck volumes, changes in local traffic patterns due to changes in highway network, influence of predominant single–commodity traffic, existence of local truck weight and size regulations and truck operating permits, and the availability of local QA/QC information.
All LTPP Traffic Feedback and Resolution Packages were sent to the participating agencies by the end of March 2001. By the end of May 2001, the project team received responses from about 40 percent of participating agencies. These responses varied considerably. Some reviews may not have been as useful as was originally anticipated, while others were very useful, insightful, and even included additional supplemental traffic data.
Representatives of the participating agencies were asked specifically to respond to two items of the LTPP Traffic Feedback and Resolution Package: the initial overall feedback and resolution report and the Blue Sheet (figure 3) that was part of the initial site–specific report.
The initial overall feedback and resolution report contained general questions regarding the procedures used to classify vehicles and to measure axle loads; responses varied considerably. Regarding vehicle classification, some agencies assigned unclassified vehicles proportionally to all vehicle classes unless there was a clear indication that a Class 14 vehicle belonged to a particular class. Other agencies simply reported the existence of Class 14 vehicles. Regarding WIM calibration procedures, some agencies attempt to carry out periodic verification of the accuracy of WIM scales, while others had not calibrated their scales beyond the initial calibration. Some agencies reviewed traffic data before their submission to RCOs and some did not.
The Blue Sheet was the main means of communication between the participating agencies and the project team; it contains seven parts (figure 3):
This last activity consisted of three tasks:
A response letter was prepared for each agency that provided a review of the LTPP Traffic Feedback and Resolution Package. The response letter included a listing of specific changes, if any, that were made to the initial projections based on the agency's recommendations.
The preparation of revised projections also included the assignment of revised projection confidence codes. The revised projection confidence codes were assigned using the same guidelines as those used for the assignment of the initial projection confidence codes, but also utilized information supplied by the participating agencies.
Based on the comments received from the agencies, about 10 percent of the initial projections were revised and about 15 percent of the initial projection confidence codes were changed. Typically, the change was from "questionable" to "acceptable" code.
The projected traffic data that were placed into the computed parameter tables (these tables will become a part of the IMS database) included traffic projections with both acceptable and questionable projection confidence codes, whether or not they had been reviewed by the participating agencies. The projection confidence code and the review status information were included in the database. The description of computed parameter tables used to store the projected traffic data is provided in chapter 4.
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