Δ Vehicle trips | 0 | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ VMT | 0 |
MTA buses operate an average of 330 days and travel an average of 26,650 miles each year. (26,650 miles * 100 buses = 2,665,000 VMT) Because the buses will replace existing buses, there are no estimated travel impacts. |
Δ Speed | 0 | |
Δ Delay | 0 | |
Δ SOV | 0 | |
Δ CP/VP | 0 | |
Δ Transit | 0 | |
Δ Walk | 0 | |
Δ Bike | 0 |
Δ VOC | - 17.0 kg/day | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ NOx | - 188.9 kg/day |
|
Δ CO | NA | |
Δ PM10 | NA | |
Δ PM2.5 | NA | |
Δ Total | NA |
Project life: 4 yrs | Interest rate: 7% | ||||
CMAQ | NON-CMAQ | TOTAL | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital | $5.0 M | $21.5 M | $26.5 M |
Cost-effectiveness was not provided by sponsor. In order to calculate cost-effectiveness, estimate the remaining useful life of the older vehicles. |
|
Adm/oper | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||
Total | $5.0 M | $21.5 M | $26.5 M | ||
Total annualized public cost | $9,180,000 | ||||
Annual revenues | None | ||||
Net public cost | $26.5 M | ||||
Annual private cost | NA | ||||
Total net cost | $26.5 M |
NOTE: Emissions reductions that come from replacing an older vehicle with a newer, cleaner vehicle will not provide emissions reduction credit longer than the period of time that the older vehicle would have been kept in service without the replacement program (per EPA's Diesel Retrofit SIP and Conformity guidance, http://www.epa.gov/cleandiesel/publications.htm.) The duration of benefit will therefore depend on the remaining life of the vehicles. This causes some difficulty in calculating cost-effectiveness, since the buses will be used for perhaps another 12+ years (and will allow for continued transit services), but the emissions benefits associated with replacement may only last for a couple years.
Δ Vehicle trips | NA | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ VMT | + 45 bus miles/day |
Methodology does not account for any reduction in person motor vehicle travel, simply the replacement of existing buses. The methodology actually assumes an increase in VMT from the buses, as the new buses travel more. Average daily VMT for old buses = 77 VMT is the default value for 15-year old urban transit buses using MOBILE 6.2. Average daily VMT for new buses = 122 VMT is the default value for 1-year old urban transit buses using MOBILE 6.2. |
Δ Speed | NA | |
Δ Delay | NA | |
Δ SOV | NA | |
Δ CP/VP | NA | |
Δ Transit | NA | |
Δ Walk | NA | |
Δ Bike | NA |
Δ VOC | -9.639 kg/day | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ NOx | -35.530 kg/day |
Calculation used MOBILE 6.2 emissions factors for 15-year old and 1-year old urban transit buses operating on local streets.
Bus emissions are calculated by multiplying VMT by emissions factor.
|
Δ CO | -11.639 kg/day | |
Δ PM10 | NA | |
Δ PM2.5 | NA | |
Δ Total | NA |
Project life: 4 yrs | Interest rate: 7% | ||||
CMAQ | NON-CMAQ | TOTAL | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital | $4,864,440 | $2,084,760 | $6,949,200 |
A cost effectiveness calculation was not provided by the project sponsor. Emissions reductions that come from replacing an older vehicle with a newer, cleaner vehicle will not provide emissions reduction credit longer than the period of time that the older vehicle would have been kept in service without the replacement program (per EPA's Diesel Retrofit SIP and Conformity guidance.) The duration of benefit will therefore depend on the remaining life of the vehicles. This causes some difficulty in calculating cost-effectiveness, since the buses will be used for perhaps another 12+ years (and will allow for continued transit services). |
|
Adm/oper | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||
Total | $4,864,440 | $2,084,760 | $6,949,200 | ||
Total annualized public cost | $2,353,000 | ||||
Annual revenues | None | ||||
Net public cost | $6,949,200 | ||||
Annual private cost | NA | ||||
Total net cost | $6,949,200 |
NOTE: The methodology uses MOBILE6.2 defaults, but do not appear to be based on actual travel data for these buses. It is unclear why the new buses would travel more than the old buses, so this seems to be a very conservative assumption (reduces the amount of emissions benefit). Emissions reductions reported in the CMAQ database differ from estimates provided or calculated from sponsor-provided documentation (-1 kg/day VOC, -60 kg/day CO, and -22 kg/day NOx).
Δ Vehicle trips | NA | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ VMT | NA |
METRO's existing buses use an average of 32 gallons of diesel fuel per day.
|
Δ Speed | NA | |
Δ Delay | NA | |
Δ SOV | NA | |
Δ CP/VP | NA | |
Δ Transit | NA | |
Δ Walk | NA | |
Δ Bike | NA |
Δ VOC | - 2.768 kg/day | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ NOx | - 2.13 kg/day |
|
Δ CO | NA | |
Δ PM10 | NA | |
Δ PM2.5 | NA | |
Δ Total | -4.90 kg/day (0.0054 tpd) |
Project life: 12 yrs | Interest rate: 7% | ||||
CMAQ | NON-CMAQ | TOTAL | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital | $150,000 | $1,155,903 | $1,305,903 | ||
Adm/oper | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||
Total | $150,000 | $1,155,903 | $1,305,903 | ||
Total annualized public cost | $192,912 | ||||
Annual revenues | None | ||||
Net public cost | $1,305,903 | ||||
Annual private cost | NA | ||||
Total net cost | $1,305,903 |
Δ Vehicle trips | NA | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ VMT | NA |
The 12 buses being retired used diesel fuel and had an annual 27,207 vehicle revenue miles per bus. The 12 replacement buses are hybrid/electric vehicles and will still have an annual 27,207 vehicle revenue miles per bus. Total revenue miles are multiplied by a 1.15 deadhead factor to account for vehicle travel to and from the programmed bus routes. |
Δ Speed | NA | |
Δ Delay | NA | |
Δ SOV | NA | |
Δ CP/VP | NA | |
Δ Transit | NA | |
Δ Walk | NA | |
Δ Bike | NA |
Δ VOC | - 3.0 kg/day | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ NOx | - 91.0 kg/day |
Emissions factors were calculated from the Mobile model using an average running speed of 13.5 mph for both conventional and replacement buses. Emissions reductions were calculated for the year 2002, assuming operation 250 days per year using an interim version of PAQONE created specifically for DVRPC to calculate air quality benefits. A diesel fuel type was selected for the older buses and a CNG fuel type for the newer ones. |
Δ CO | - 12.0 kg/day | |
Δ PM10 | NA | |
Δ PM2.5 | NA | |
Δ Total | -94 kg/day (0.1035 tpd) |
Project life: 4 yrs | Interest rate: 7% | ||||
CMAQ | NON-CMAQ | TOTAL | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital | $5.608 M | $1.402 M | $7.010 M |
Cost-effectiveness was not provided by sponsor. |
|
Adm/oper | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||
Total | $5.608 M | $1.402 M | $7.010 M | ||
Total annualized public cost | $2,428,000 | ||||
Annual revenues | None | ||||
Net public cost | $7,010,000 | ||||
Annual private cost | NA | ||||
Total net cost | $7,010,000 |
NOTE: The calculations provided in the documentation are unclear and might suggest that the formula for vehicle travel to/from bus routes = 108.8 daily mileage per bus x 12 buses x difference in emissions rates x 1.15 deadhead factor. Emissions reductions that come from replacing an older vehicle with a newer, cleaner vehicle will not provide emissions reduction credit longer than the period of time that the older vehicle would have been kept in service without the replacement program (per EPA's Diesel Retrofit SIP and Conformity guidance). The duration of benefit will therefore depend on the remaining life of the vehicles.
Δ Vehicle trips | NA | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ VMT | NA |
|
Δ Speed | NA | |
Δ Delay | NA | |
Δ SOV | NA | |
Δ CP/VP | NA | |
Δ Transit | NA | |
Δ Walk | NA | |
Δ Bike | NA |
Δ VOC | - 6.75 kg/day | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ NOx | -12.49 kg/day |
Emissions reduction benefits calculated using the Department of Energy's "AirCRED" model, with variables such as the number of vehicles, the type of vehicles, an estimate of average daily distance driven, and the average number of days per week the vehicle is used, entered into the model. NY/NJ/CT Moderate Ozone Non-Attainment Area:
Greater Connecticut Moderate Ozone Non-Attainment Area:
|
Δ CO | NA | |
Δ PM10 | NA | |
Δ PM2.5 | NA | |
Δ Total | -19.2 kg/day |
Project life: 7 yrs | Interest rate: 7% | ||||
CMAQ | NON-CMAQ | TOTAL | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital | $688,800 | $172,200 | $861,000 |
Assumes benefits for 153 days/year. A cost effectiveness calculation was not provided by the project sponsor. |
|
Adm/oper | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||
Total | $688,800 | $172,200 | $861,000 | ||
Total annualized public cost | $172,670 | ||||
Annual revenues | None | ||||
Net public cost | $861,000 | ||||
Annual private cost | NA | ||||
Total net cost | $861,000 |
NOTE: Emissions reductions reported in CMAQ database (-11.4 kg/day VOC, -40.3 kg/day NOx) differ from estimates provided or calculated from sponsor-provided documentation.
Δ Vehicle trips | NA | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: |
---|---|---|
Δ VMT | NA |
The three buses being replaced are 1997 CNG buses which average 14 mph. Each bus travels 160 miles each day and operates 360 days per year. |
Δ Speed | NA | |
Δ Delay | NA | |
Δ SOV | NA | |
Δ CP/VP | NA | |
Δ Transit | NA | |
Δ Walk | NA | |
Δ Bike | NA |
Δ VOC | - 1.50 kg/day | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Δ NOx | - 4.34 kg/day |
"After" analysis conducted using CO, VOC, and PM emissions factors from a 2004 model year 6081H John Deere engine test conducted by University of West Virginia for Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority (WMATA). "Before" emissions factors for CO, NOx, and VOC derived from 1990 and 2000 NYSDOT emissions factor tables for Nassau County. "Before" emissions factors for PM10 and PM2.5 are default 2000 values from the CMAQtraq program from NYSDOT.
| ||||||||||||||||||
Δ CO | - 7.62 kg/day | |||||||||||||||||||
Δ PM10 | NA | |||||||||||||||||||
Δ PM2.5 | - 1.40 kg/day | |||||||||||||||||||
Δ Total | NA |
Project life: yrs | Interest rate: % | ||||
CMAQ | NON-CMAQ | TOTAL | METHODOLOGY/ASSUMPTIONS: | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capital | $1.0 M | $250,000 | $1.25 M |
The project life of the new CNG buses is 8 years. However, since comparison is against old buses which are near the end of their useful life, the cost-effectiveness analysis in this study accounts for fewer years. No cost effectiveness calculations were provided by the project sponsor. |
|
Adm/oper | $0 | $0 | $0 | ||
Total | $1.0 M | $250,000 | $1.25 M | ||
Total annualized public cost | $375,700 | ||||
Annual revenues | None | ||||
Net public cost | $1.25 M | ||||
Annual private cost | NA | ||||
Total net cost | $1.25 M |
NOTE: Typically, replacement projects should only account for remaining useful life of the old buses, or the different in cost and emissions associated with a CNG bus vs. a conventional diesel bus.