U.S. Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
Washington, DC 20590
202-366-4000


Skip to content
Facebook iconYouTube iconTwitter iconFlickr iconLinkedInInstagram

Federal Highway Administration Research and Technology
Coordinating, Developing, and Delivering Highway Transportation Innovations

 
REPORT
This report is an archived publication and may contain dated technical, contact, and link information
Back to Publication List        
Publication Number:  FHWA-HRT-15-019    Date:  May 2015
Publication Number: FHWA-HRT-15-019
Date: May 2015

 

Evaluation of Long-Term Pavement Performance (LTPP) Climatic Data for Use in Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) Calibration and Other Pavement Analysis

References

  1. Schwartz, C.W., Elkins, G.E., Li, R., Visintine, B.A., Forman, B., Rada, G., and Groeger, J.L. Evaluation of LTPP Climatic Data for Use In Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide (MEPDG) Calibration and other Pavement Analyses. FHWA-HRT-13-### (Draft), Federal Highway Administration, McLean, VA, 2012.

  2. Li, R., Schwartz, C.W., and Forman, B.. “Sensitivity of Predicted Pavement Performance to Climate Characteristics,” ASCE Airfield and Highway Pavements Conference, Los Angeles, CA, June 2013, pp. 760–771.

  3. American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials. Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide, Interim Edition: A Manual of Practice. American Association of State and Highway Transportation Officials, Washington, DC, 2008.

  4. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. “NOAA’s National Weather Service Glossary,” http://w1.weather.gov/glossary/index.php?word=weather, October 1, 2011.

  5. Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Avery, K.B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H.L. (eds.). Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, 2007, pp. 996.

  6. National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP). Mechanistic-Empirical Design of New and Rehabilitated Pavement Structures. Final Report, NCHRP Project 1-37A, National Cooperative Highway Research Program, National Research Council, Washington, DC, 2004.

  7. Strategic Highway Research Program. Development of LTPP Climatic Database, SHRP-P-621, National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC, 1993.

  8. American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials. AASHTO Guide for Design of Pavement Structures. American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, Washington, DC, 1993.

  9. Zaghloul, S., Ayed, A., Abd El Halim, A., Vitillo, N., and Sauber, R. “Investigations of Environmental and Traffic Impacts on Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide Predictions, Geology and Properties of Earth Materials,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board 1967, 2006, 148–159.

  10. Johanneck, L. and Khazanovich, L. “Comprehensive Evaluation of Effect of Climate in Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide Predictions,” Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2170, 2010, pp 45–55.

  11. Lee, M.C. Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide: Evaluation of Flexible Pavement Inputs. M.S Thesis, University of Arkansas, Little Rock, AK, 2004.

  12. Masad, S.A.. Sensitivity Analysis of Flexible Pavement Response and AASHTO 2002 Design Guide for Properties of Unbound Layers. Master’s Thesis, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, 2004.

  13. Masad, S. and Little D.N. “Sensitivity Analysis of Flexible Pavement Response and AASHTO 2002 Design Guide for Properties of Unbound Layers,” Project ICAR 504-1, International Center for Aggregates Research, Austin, TX, 2004.

  14. El-Basyouny, M.M. and Witczak, M.W. “Calibration of Alligator Fatigue Cracking Model for 2002 Design Guide,” Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1919, 2005, pp. 77–86.

  15. El-Basyouny, M.M., Witczak, M.W., and El-Badawy, S. “Verification for the Calibrated Permanent Deformation Models for the 2002 Design Guide.” Journal of the Association of Asphalt Paving Technologists, 74, 2005, pp. 601–652.

  16. El-Basyouny, M.M. and Witczak, M.W. “Verification of the Calibrated Fatigue Cracking Models for the 2002 Design Guide,” Journal of the Association of Asphalt Paving Technologists, 74, 2005, pp. 653–695.

  17. Schwartz, C.W. “Evaluation of the Witczak Dynamic Modulus Prediction Model,” Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board (CD-ROM), Washington, DC, 2005.

  18. Brown, S.F., Thompson, M., and Barenberg, E. “NCHRP Research Results Digest 307: Independent Review of the Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide and Software,” Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, DC, 2006.

  19. Carvalho, R. and Schwartz, C.W. “Comparisons of Flexible Pavement Designs: AASHTO Empirical Versus NCHRP Project 1-37A Mechanistic-Empirical,” Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1957, 2006, pp. 167–174.

  20. Chehab, G.R. and Daniel, J.S. “Evaluating Recycled Asphalt Pavement Mixtures With Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide Level 3 Analysis,” Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1962, 2006,
    pp. 90–100.

  21. Graves, R.C. and Mahboub, K.C. “Flexible Pavement Design: Sensitivity of the NCHRP 1-37A Pavement Design Guide, A Global Approach,” Proceedings, ASCE Airfield and Highway Pavement Specialty Conference, Atlanta, GA, 2006, pp. 224–235.

  22. Graves, R.C. and Mahboub, K.C. “Pilot Study in Sampling-Based Sensitivity Analysis of NCHRP Design Guide for Flexible Pavements,” Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1947, 2006, pp. 123–135.

  23. Khazanovich, L., Celauro, C. and Chadbourn, B. “Evaluation of Subgrade Resilient Modulus Predictive Model for Use in Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide,” Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1947, 2006, pp. 155–166.

  24. Kim, S., Ceylan, H., Gopalakrishnan, K., and Heitzman, M. “Sensitivity Study of Iowa Flexible Pavements Using Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide,” Annual Meeting of Transportation Research Board (CD-ROM), National Research Council, Washington, DC, 2006. (http://pubsindex.trb.org/view.aspx?id=777279)

  25. Mohammad, L.N., Wu, Z., Obulareddy, S., Cooper, S. and Abadie, C. “Permanent Deformation Analysis of Hot-Mix Mixtures Using Simple Performance Tests and 2002 Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Software,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1970, 2006, pp. 133–142.

  26. Yin, H., Chehab, G.R. and Stoffels, S.M. “A Case Study: Assessing the Sensitivity of the Coefficient of Thermal Contraction of AC Mixtures on Thermal Crack Prediction,” Asphalt Concrete: Simulation, Modeling, and Experimental Characterization—Proceedings of the Symposium on Mechanics of Flexible Pavements, part of the 2005 Joint ASME/ASCE/SES Conf. on Mech. and Mater, Geotechnical Special Publication, 146, 2006, pp. 115–123.

  27. Hoerner, T.E., Zimmerman, K.A., Smith, K.D. and Cooley, L.A. “Mechanistic-Empirical Pavement Design Guide Implementation Plan” Report No. SD2005-01, South Dakota Department of Transportation, Pierre, SD, 2007.

  28. Kim, S., Ceylan, H. and Kasthurirangan, G. “Effect of M-E Design Guide Inputs on Flexible Pavement Performance Predictions,” Road Materials and Pavement Design, 8(3), 2007, pp. 375–397.

  29. Li, Q., Wang, K.C.P., and Hall, K.D. “Verification of Virtual Climatic Data in MEPDG Using the LTPP Database,” International Journal of Pavement Research and Technology, 3(1), 2010, pp. 10–11.

  30. El-Basyouny, M.M. and Jeong, M.G. “Effective Temperature for Analysis of Permanent Deformation and Fatigue Distress on Asphalt Mixtures,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2127, 2009, pp 155–163.

  31. Hermansson, A. “Simulation Model for Calculating Pavement Temperatures Including Maximum Temperature,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1699, 2000, pp. 134–141.

  32. Hermansson, A. “Mathematical Model for Calculation of Pavement Temperatures: Comparison of Calculated and Measured Temperatures,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1764, 2001, pp. 180–188.

  33. Hermansson, A. “Mathematical Model for Paved Surface Summer and Winter Temperature: Comparison of Calculated and Measured Temperatures,” Cold Regions Science and Technology, 40(1-2), 2004, pp. 1–17.

  34. Zubair, A., Marukic, I., Zaghloul, S., and Vitillo, N. “Validation of Enhanced Integrated Climatic Model Predictions With New Jersey Seasonal Monitoring Data,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1913, 2005,
    pp. 148-161.

  35. Ho, C. and Romero, P. “Low Design Temperatures of Asphalt Pavements in Dry-Freeze Regions: Predicting by Means of Solar Radiation, Transient Heat Transfer, and Finite Element Method,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2127, 2009, pp. 60–71.

  36. Zuo, G., Drumm, E.C., and Meier, R.W. “Environmental Effects on the Predicted Service Life of Flexible Pavements,” Journal of Transportation Engineering, 133(1), 2007, pp.47–56.

  37. Schindler, A.K., Ruiz, J.M., Rasmussen, R.O., Chang, G.K., and Wathne, L.G. “Concrete Pavement Temperature Prediction and Case Studies With the FHWA HIPERPAV Models,” Cement and Concrete Composites, 26(5), 2004, pp. 463–471.

  38. Canadian National Climate Data and Information Archive http://climate.weatheroffice.gc.ca/climateData/canada_e.html (September 8, 2012).

  39. Pisano, P. “ITS Research Success Stories,” Clarus, 2011. http://www.weatherunderground.com/ (August 12, 2011).

  40. National Climatic Data Center. METAR Homepage. http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/coded.html (October 2011).

  41. Federal Aviation Administration. Aviation Weather Services. Advisory Circular, AC 00-45G, Change 1. 2010.

  42. National Climatic Data Center. USCRN Homepage. http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/crn/ (August 22, 2012).

  43. National Weather Service. “NWS ASOS Program,” http://www.nws.noaa.gov/asos/index.html (September 1, 2011).

  44. Rienecker, M.M., and coauthors. “MERRA—NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications,” Journal of Climate, 24, 2011, pp. 3,624–3,648.

  45. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Goddard Space Flight Center. “MERRA: Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications.” https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/merra/. (July 10, 2012)

  46. Kalnay, E., and coauthors. “The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project,” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 77, 1996, pp. 437–471.

  47. Uppala, S.M., and coauthors. “The ERA-40 Re-Analysis,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131, 2005, pp. 2,961–3,012.

  48. Onogi, K., and coauthors. “JRA-25: Japanese 25-Year Reanalysis Project—Progress and Status,” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131, 2005, pp. 3,259–3,268.

  49. Reichle, R.H., Koster, R.D., De Lannoy, G.J.M., Forman, B.A., Liu, Q., Mahanama, S., and Toure, A. “Assessment and Enhancement of MERRA Land Surface Hydrology Estimates,” Journal of Climate, 24, 2011, pp. 6,322–6,338.

  50. Tighe, L.S., Smith, J., Mills, B., and Andrey, J. “Using the MEPDG to Assess Climate Change Impact on Southern Canadian Roads,”, 7th International Conference on Managing Pavement Assets (ICMPA), Calgary, Canada, 2008, pp. 96–108.

  51. Schwartz, C.W. and Li, R. “Sensitivity of Predicted Flexible Pavement Performance to Unbound Material Hydraulic Properties,” GeoFlorida 2010: Advances in Analysis, Modeling, and Design, Geotechnical Special Publication 199, ASCE, 2010, p.2,672 (doi 10.1061/41095(365)271).

  52. Schwartz, C.W., Li, R., Kim, S., Ceylan, H., and Gopalakrishnan, K. “Sensitivity Evaluation of MEPDG Performance Prediction,” Final Report of National Co-operative Highway Research Program 1-47 Project (available online). Transportation Research Board, National Research Council, Washington, DC, 2012.

  53. Ceylan, H., Kim, S., Schwartz, C.W., Li, R., and Gopalkrishnan, K. “Effect of PCC Material Properties on MEPDG Rigid Pavement Performance,” 10th International Conference on Concrete Pavements, Quebec, Canada, July 2012, pp. 236–251.

  54. Li, R., Schwartz, C.W., Kim, S., and Ceylan, H. “Local Sensitivity of Mechanistic-Empirical Flexible Pavement Performance Predictions to Unbound Material Property Inputs,” 2012 Geo-Congress, Oakland, CA, March 2012, pp. 1,495–1,504.

  55. Cacuci, D.G. Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis Theory: Volume I, Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, FL, 2003.

  56. Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., and Tarantola, S. Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, John Wiley and Sons Ltd., England, 2008.

  57. Alam, M., Fekpeet, E., and Majed, M. FHWA FAF2 Freight Traffic Analysis Report, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC, 2007.

  58. Baker, D.G., and Haines D.A. Solar Radiation and Sunshine Duration Relationship in the North-Central Region and Alaska, Technical Bulletin 262, Experiment Station, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 1969.

  59. Cosgrove, B.A., Lohmann, D., Mitchell, K.E., Houser, P.R., Wood, E.F., Schaake, J.C., Robock, A., Marshall, C., Sheffield, J., Duan, Q., Luo, L., Higgins, R.W., Pinker, R.T., and Tarpley, J.D.” Real-Time and Retrospective Forcing in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Project,” Journal of Geophysical Research, 108(D22),2003, doi:10.1029/2002JD003118.

  60. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, Federal Aviation Administration, U.S. Navy, U.S. Department of the Air Force, Automated Surface Observing System: ASOS User’s Guide, Washington, D.C., 1998.

  61. Dempsey, B.J., Herlach, W.A., and Patel, A.J. The Climatic-Material-Structural Pavement Analysis Program, FHWA/RD-84/115, 3, Final Report, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC, 1985.

  62. Lytton, R.L., Pufahl, D.E., Michalak, C.H., Liang, H.S., and Dempsey, B.J. An Integrated Model of the Climatic Effects on Pavements. FHWA-RD-90-033, Federal Highway Administration, McLean, VA, 1993.

  63. Larson, G., and B. J. Dempsey. Integrated Climatic Model, Version 2.0. Report No. DTFA MN/DOT 72114, Newmark Civil Engineering Laboratory, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, IL, 1997.

  64. Zapata, C.E., Perera, Y.Y. and Houston, W.H. “Matric Suction Prediction Model in New AASHTO Mechanistic–Empirical Pavement Design Guide,” Transportation Research Record, Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2101, 2009, pp. 53–62.

  65. Vehrencamp, J.E. “Experimental Investigation of Heat Transfer at Air-Earth Interface,” American Geophysical Union, Washington DC Transportation, 34(1), 1953.

  66. Geiger, R. The Climate Near Ground, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1959.

  67. Brock, F.V., Crawford, K.C., Elliott, R.L., Cuperus, G.W., Stadler, S.J., Johnson H.L., and Eilts, M.D. “The Oklahoma Mesonet: A Technical Overview,” J. Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 12, 1995, pp. 5–19.

  68. Groisman, P.Y., and Legates, D.R. “The Accuracy of United States Precipitation Data,” Bulletin of the American Meteorology Society, 75, 1994, pp. 215–227.

  69. Google®, Inc. Sites used for evaluation of MEPDG performance predictions using MEPDG and MERRA climate data. Accessed June 30, 2014. https://www.google.com/maps/d/edit?mid=zcHlzMa1-Xeo.kL-97GvytZCc.

  70. Shahin, M.Y., Darter, M.I., Kohn, S.D, Development of a Pavement Maintenance Management System, Volume I–V, U.S. Air Force Engineering Services Center, Tyndell Air Force Base. 1977.

  71. Thornthwaite, C.W. “An Approach Toward a Rational Classification of Climate,” Geophysical Review, 38(1), 1948, pp. 55–94.

 

 

Federal Highway Administration | 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE | Washington, DC 20590 | 202-366-4000
Turner-Fairbank Highway Research Center | 6300 Georgetown Pike | McLean, VA | 22101