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Publication Number:  FHWA- HRT-17-095    Date:  September 2017
Publication Number: FHWA- HRT-17-095
Date: September 2017

 

Pavement Performance Measures and Forecasting and The Effects of Maintenance and Rehabilitation Strategy on Treatment Effectiveness (Revised)

CHAPTER 5. LTPP DATA ANALYSES OF FLEXIBLE PAVEMENTS

For all LTPP test sections in SPS-1 through -7 and GPS-6, -7, and -9, the time-series pavement conditions, distresses, and some of the FWD data were downloaded and organized in spreadsheet format for analyses. The data from these LTPP test sections and a few pavement sections from the CDOT, LADOTD, and WSDOT databases were modeled using the proper mathematical function and were subjected to analyses. The procedures and the results of the analyses of the LTPP flexible pavement condition and distress data are presented in this chapter, while the procedure and results for rigid pavement condition and distress data are presented in chapter 6. Results of the analyses of the FWD data are presented and discussed in chapter 7. Finally, the results of the analyses of the CDOT, LADOTD, and WSDOT data are presented and discussed in chapter 9. The information in this chapter is arranged in the following sections:

MODELING THE TIME-SERIES PAVEMENT CONDITION AND DISTRESS DATA

The time-series pavement condition and distress data of all test sections in the SPS-1 through -7 and GPS–6, -7, and -9 experiments were downloaded, organized, and modeled using the proper mathematical functions based on the type of pavement condition (IRI) or distress (rut depth, and cracking). The mathematical functions listed in table 27 and shown in figure 50 were selected based on reported trends and mechanisms of pavement deterioration.(37,81,78) For example, rutting typically occurs early in the asphalt pavement’s life, and its accumulation rate decreases over time as the pavement materials densify under traffic loads.

Table 27. Description of the mathematical functions used in the analyses of the pavement distress and condition data.

Pavement Condition or Distress Function Type
IRI (inches/mi (m/km)) Exponential function
Rut depth (inches (mm)) Power function
Cracking (length, area, or percent) Logistic (S-shaped)

 

Click for description

Figure 50. Graph. Exponential, power, and logistic (S-shaped) curves.

 

Therefore, a power function is typically used to model the time-series rut depth data. On the other hand, pavement roughness usually increases exponentially as the pavement ages, deteriorates, and becomes uneven causing increases in the dynamic effects of traffic loads. Hence, an exponential function is typically used to model the pavement roughness (IRI). Finally, the propagation of pavement cracks usually follows three stages. In the first stage, a few cracks appear in the early pavement life; their number and length increase exponentially. In the second stage, the number and length of cracks increase almost linearly over time. In this stage, a few new cracks are initiated and most existing cracks approach their maximum possible lengths (lane width or the pavement section length). In the third stage, the number of cracks and their length reach equilibrium as shown by the logistic curve in figure 50. Given this scenario, the modeling of crack propagation over time could be achieved using two different functions, depending on the availability of the data. If the cracking data are available over a short period of time after construction (stage one data only), an exponential function could be used to model the data. On the other hand, if the cracking data are available when the pavement is old (stage three only), a power function could be used. The modeling of the crack propagation using the logistic function cannot be confidently achieved unless at least four data points are available spanning the three crack propagation stages. To reduce the effect of the problem and to increase the number of test sections included in the analyses, one crack saturation point was assumed for each type of cracking. The assumed crack saturation points used throughout this study are listed in table 28. The assumption of the crack saturation points was based on engineering logic. For example, the saturation point for alligator cracking is the entire surface area of the pavement section, whereas the saturation point for longitudinal cracking is three cracks along the entire pavement section length. Note that the square, circle, and triangle symbols in figure 50 represent measured data. The solid portions of the curves are fit to the measured data while the dashed portions are forecasted based on the mathematical function fitting the data. It should be noted that the three mathematical models fit the LTPP pavement condition and distress data for all test sections and State data.

Table 28. Crack saturation values used in the analyses of the pavement cracking data.

Cracking Type Saturation Value Reason
Per 500 ft
(152.4 m)
LTPP Test
Section
Per
0.1km
Per
0.1mi
Alligator cracking 5,906 ft2
(549 m2)
360 m2 6,336 ft2 100-percent of section cracked (12-ft (3.66-m) lane width)
Longitudinal cracking11,500 ft (457.2 m) 1,500 ft
(457.2 m)
300 m 1,584 ft Three cracks along the entire section length
Transverse cracking (length), flexible pavements 500ft
(152.4 m)
100 m 528 ft One crack every 12ft
(3.65 m)
Number of transverse cracks, flexible pavements1 42 28 44 One crack each 3.65 m (12ft)
Transverse cracking (length), rigid pavements 375ft
(114 m)
75 m 396 ft One crack per slab (16-ft (4.87-m) joint spacing)
Number of transverse cracks, rigid pavements1 31 21 33 One crack per slab (16-ft (4.87-m) joint spacing)
1Data included for convenience. The analyses were conducted using the measured crack lengths and alligator cracked areas.

 

After selecting the proper mathematical function, the least squares regression technique was used to determine the statistical parameters of the selected mathematical functions. The least squares regression technique is based on minimizing the sum of the squared differences (error) between the calculated and the measured data.(3) To expedite the analyses, a MATLAB®-based computer program was written to complete the following functions for each pavement condition and distress dataset of each LTPP test section and for each pavement treatment type (see the program flowchart in figure 51):

Click for description

Figure 51. Illustration. Flowchart of the MATLAB® program.

 

The MATLAB® output data were then subjected to further analyses to estimate the following parameters for each test section and for each treatment type:

IMPACTS OF CLIMATIC REGIONS, DRAINAGE, AND AC THICKNESS ON PAVEMENT PERFORMANCE USING THE LTPP SPS-1 TEST SECTIONS

Recall that the main objective of the SPS-1 experiment is to study the effects of the conditions in climatic regions and the following structural factors on pavement performance:(65)

The analyses of the impacts of the various variables were accomplished in the following steps:

The impacts of the conditions in the four climatic regions (WF, WNF, DF, and DNF), the AC thickness (4 and 7 inches (102 or 178 mm)), and drainable and undrainable bases on the pavement performance in terms of RFP and RSP were analyzed. The detailed results of the analyses (the calculated and rounded minimum, maximum, and average RFPs or RSPs for the SPS-1 test sections) were submitted to FHWA and are available from the LTPP Customer Support Services.(79) For convenience, the detailed results are summarized in table 29 through table 34.

The data in table 29 through table 34 address the impact of the climatic regions, the AC thickness, and drainable and undrainable bases on the pavement performance (in terms of RFPs and RSPs) of the SPS-1 test sections. The figures in the tables (which are rounded to whole numbers) indicate the differences in years in RFPs or RSPs of the SPS-1 test sections having the column heading parameters compared with RFPs and RSPs of the SPS-1 test sections having the row heading parameters. Thus, in table 29 through table 33, the diagonal indicated by asterisks represents the line of symmetry. If the table were folded along the diagonal, the aligned numbers from above and from below the diagonal would be the same but with different sign. The proper reading of the data in the tables is illustrated in the two examples following the tables.

Table 29. Summary of the results of analyses of the impacts of design factors on RFP of LTPP SPS-1 test sections based on IRI (years).

Climatic Region,
AC Thickness, and
Drainage Subgroup
Climatic Region, AC Thickness, and Drainage Subgroup
WF WNF DF DNF
4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC
D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND
WF 4-inch AC D * –5 0 –2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
ND 5 * 4 3 7 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 7 6 7 7
7-inch AC D 0 –4 * –1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
ND 2 –3 1 * 4 3 4 4 2 4 4 4 4 3 4 4
WNF 4-inch AC D –2 –7 –2 –4 * 0 0 0 –2 0 0 0 0 –1 0 0
ND –2 –7 –2 –3 0 * 0 0 –1 0 0 0 0 –1 0 0
7-inch AC D –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 * 0 –2 0 0 0 0 –1 0 0
ND –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 0 * –2 0 0 0 0 –1 0 0
DF 4-inch AC D 0 –5 –1 –2 2 1 2 2 * 2 2 2 2 1 2 2
ND –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 0 0 –2 * 0 0 0 –1 0 0
7-inch AC D –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 0 0 –2 0 * 0 0 –1 0 0
ND –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 0 0 –2 0 0 * 0 –1 0 0
DNF 4-inch AC D –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 0 0 –2 0 0 0 * –1 0 0
ND –1 –6 –1 –3 1 1 1 1 –1 1 1 1 1 * 1 1
7-inch AC D –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 0 0 –2 0 0 0 0 –1 * 0
ND –2 –7 –2 –4 0 0 0 0 –2 0 0 0 0 –1 0 *
* Indicates the line of symmetry along the diagonal of the table.
1 inch = 25.4 mm.
D = Drainable base.
ND = Undrainable base.

 

Table 30. Summary of the results of analyses of the impacts of design factors on RFP/RSP of LTPP SPS-1 test sections based on rut depth (years).

Climatic Region,
AC Thickness, and
Drainage Subgroup
Climatic Region, AC Thickness, and Drainage Subgroup
WF WNF DF DNF
4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC
D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND
WF 4-inch AC D * –5 –1 –3 5 5 5 5 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
ND 5 * 4 2 10 10 10 10 9 11 11 11 11 11 11 11
7-inch AC D 1 –4 * –3 6 6 5 6 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
ND 3 –2 3 * 8 9 8 9 7 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
WNF 4-inch AC D –5 –10 –6 –8 * 0 0 1 –1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ND –5 –10 –6 –9 0 * 0 0 –1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
7-inch AC D –5 –10 –5 –8 0 0 * 1 –1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ND –5 –10 –6 –9 –1 0 –1 * –2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
DF 4-inch AC D –4 –9 –5 –7 1 1 1 2 * 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ND –6 –11 –7 –9 –1 –1 –1 –1 –2 * 0 0 0 0 0 0
7-inch AC D –6 –11 –7 –9 –1 –1 –1 –1 –2 0 * 0 0 0 0 0
ND –6 –11 –7 –9 –1 –1 –1 –1 –2 0 0 * 0 0 0 0
DNF 4-inch AC D –6 –11 –7 –9 –1 –1 –1 –1 –2 0 0 0 * 0 0 0
ND –6 –11 –7 –9 –1 –1 –1 –1 –2 0 0 0 0 * 0 0
7-inch AC D –6 –11 –7 –9 –1 –1 –1 –1 –2 0 0 0 0 0 * 0
ND –6 –11 –7 –9 –1 –1 –1 –1 –2 0 0 0 0 0 0 *
* Indicates the line of symmetry along the diagonal of the table.
1 inch = 25.4 mm.
D = Drainable base.
ND = Undrainable base.

 

Table 31. Summary of the results of analyses of the impacts of design factors on RSP of LTPP SPS-1 test sections based on alligator cracking (years).

Climatic Region,
AC Thickness, and
Drainage Subgroup
Climatic Region, AC Thickness, and Drainage Subgroup
WF WNF DF DNF
4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC
D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND
WF 4-inch AC D * –4 –3 –3 0 0 2 2 –3 –5 –2 –3 –5 –6 –1 –2
ND 4 * 1 1 4 3 5 5 0 –2 2 1 –1 –2 3 2
7-inch AC D 3 –1 * 0 3 2 4 4 –1 –3 1 0 –2 –3 2 1
ND 3 –1 0 * 3 3 5 5 0 –2 1 0 –1 –3 2 2
WNF 4-inch AC D 0 –4 –3 –3 * –1 1 1 –4 –6 –2 –3 –5 –6 –1 –2
ND 0 –3 –2 –3 1 * 2 2 –3 –5 –2 –3 –4 –6 –1 –1
7-inch AC D –2 –5 –4 –5 –1 –2 * 0 –5 –7 –4 –5 –6 –8 –3 –3
ND –2 –5 –4 –5 –1 –2 0 * –5 –7 –4 –4 –6 –8 –3 –3
DF 4-inch AC D 3 0 1 0 4 3 5 5 * –2 1 1 –1 –3 2 2
ND 5 2 3 2 6 5 7 7 2 * 3 2 1 –1 4 4
7-inch AC D 2 –2 –1 –1 2 2 4 4 –1 –3 * –1 –2 –4 1 0
ND 3 –1 0 0 3 3 5 4 –1 –2 1 * –2 –3 2 1
DNF 4-inch AC D 5 1 2 1 5 4 6 6 1 –1 2 2 * –1 3 3
ND 6 2 3 3 6 6 8 8 3 1 4 3 1 * 5 4
7-inch AC D 1 –3 –2 –2 1 1 3 3 –2 –4 –1 –2 –3 –5 * 0
ND 2 –2 –1 –2 2 1 3 3 –2 –4 0 –1 –3 –4 0 *
* Indicates the line of symmetry along the diagonal of the table.
1 inch = 25.4 mm.
D = Drainable base.
ND = Undrainable base.

 

Table 32. Summary of the results of analyses of the impacts of design factors on RSP of LTPP SPS-1 test sections based on longitudinal cracking (years).

Climatic Region,
AC Thickness, and
Drainage Subgroup
Climatic Region, AC Thickness, and Drainage Subgroup
WF WNF DF DNF
4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC
D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND
WF 4-inch
AC
D * –1 –1 0 5 6 6 5 1 0 –1 0 6 5 6 7
ND 1 * 0 1 6 7 7 6 1 1 0 1 7 6 6 8
7-inch
AC
D 1 0 * 1 6 7 7 6 2 1 0 1 7 6 7 8
ND 0 –1 –1 * 5 6 6 5 0 0 –1 0 6 5 5 7
WNF 4-inch
AC
D –5 –6 –6 –5 * 1 1 0 –5 –5 –6 –5 1 0 0 2
ND –6 –7 –7 –6 –1 * 0 –2 –6 –6 –7 –6 –1 –1 –1 1
7-inch
AC
D –6 –7 –7 –6 –1 0 * –1 –6 –6 –7 –6 0 –1 –1 1
ND –5 –6 –6 –5 0 2 1 * –4 –5 –5 –5 1 0 1 2
DF 4-inch
AC
D –1 –1 –2 0 5 6 6 4 * 0 –1 –1 5 4 5 7
ND 0 –1 –1 0 5 6 6 5 0 * –1 0 6 5 5 7
7-inch
AC
D 1 0 0 1 6 7 7 5 1 1 * 1 7 6 6 8
ND 0 –1 –1 0 5 6 6 5 1 0 –1 * 6 5 6 7
DNF 4-inch
AC
D –6 –7 –7 –6 –1 1 0 –1 –5 –6 –7 –6 * –1 0 1
ND –5 –6 –6 –5 0 1 1 0 –4 –5 –6 –5 1 * 1 2
7-inch
AC
D –6 –6 –7 –5 0 1 1 –1 –5 –5 –6 –6 0 –1 * 2
ND –7 –8 –8 –7 –2 –1 –1 –2 –7 –7 –8 –7 –1 –2 –2 *
* Indicates the line of symmetry along the diagonal of the table.
1 inch = 25.4 mm.
D = Drainable base.
ND = Undrainable base.

 

Table 33. Summary of the results of analyses of the impacts of design factors on RSP of LTPP SPS-1 test sections based on transverse cracking (years).

Climatic Region,
AC Thickness, and
Drainage Subgroup
Climatic Region, AC Thickness, and Drainage Subgroup
WF WNF DF DNF
4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC 4-inch AC 7-inch AC
D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND D ND
WF 4-inch AC D * 1 2 1 3 3 4 3 –3 2 –3 0 –1 2 2 0
ND –1 * 2 1 2 2 3 2 –4 1 –4 0 –1 1 1 0
7-inch AC D –2 –2 * –1 1 0 1 1 –6 0 –5 –2 –3 –1 0 –2
ND –1 –1 1 * 2 1 2 2 –5 1 –4 –1 –2 0 1 –1
WNF 4-inch AC D –3 –2 –1 –2 * –1 0 0 –7 –1 –6 –3 –4 –1 –1 –3
ND –3 –2 0 –1 1 * 1 1 –6 0 –5 –2 –3 –1 0 –2
7-inch AC D –4 –3 –1 –2 0 –1 * 0 –7 –1 –6 –3 –4 –2 –1 –3
ND –3 –2 –1 –2 0 –1 0 * –7 –1 –6 –3 –4 –1 –1 –3
DF 4-inch AC D 3 4 6 5 7 6 7 7 * 6 1 4 3 5 6 4
ND –2 –1 0 –1 1 0 1 1 –6 * –5 –2 –3 0 0 –2
7-inch AC D 3 4 5 4 6 5 6 6 –1 5 * 3 2 5 5 3
ND 0 0 2 1 3 2 3 3 –4 2 –3 * –1 1 2 0
DNF 4-inch AC D 1 1 3 2 4 3 4 4 –3 3 –2 1 * 2 3 1
ND –2 –1 1 0 1 1 2 1 –5 0 –5 –1 –2 * 0 –1
7-inch AC D –2 –1 0 –1 1 0 1 1 –6 0 –5 –2 –3 0 * –2
ND 0 0 2 1 3 2 3 3 –4 2 –3 0 –1 1 2 *
* Indicates the line of symmetry along the diagonal of the table.
1 inch = 25.4 mm.
D = Drainable base.
ND = Undrainable base.

 

Table 34. Summary of the results of analyses of the effects of climatic regions on the performance of the LTPP SPS-1 test sections.

Condition or Distress Type Climatic Region Climatic Regions and the Percent of Test Sections Where RFP/RSP Was Better, Equal, or Worse Than Other Climatic Regions
WF WNF DF DNF
Better Same Worse Better Same Worse Better Same Worse Better Same Worse
IRI WF 58 4 38 56 28 17 58 42 0
WNF 38 4 58 77 6 17 8 84 8
DF 17 28 56 17 6 77 17 72 11
DNF 0 42 58 8 84 8 11 72 17
Rut depth WF 83 17 0 82 13 5 73 27 0
WNF 0 17 83 23 68 9 9 91 0
DF 5 13 82 9 68 23 0 100 0
DNF 0 27 73 0 91 9 0 100 0
Alligator cracking WF 67 8 25 42 4 54 42 8 50
WNF 25 8 67 38 8 54 13 0 87
DF 54 4 42 54 8 38 46 17 38
DNF 50 8 42 87 0 13 38 17 46
Longitudinal cracking WF 88 8 4 46 4 50 92 8 0
WNF 4 8 88 8 29 63 42 42 16
DF 50 4 46 63 29 8 67 29 4
DNF 0 8 92 16 42 42 4 29 67
Transverse cracking WF 54 33 13 42 12 46 46 21 33
WNF 13 33 54 38 54 8 7 50 42
DF 46 12 42 8 54 38 42 46 12
DNF 33 21 46 42 50 7 12 46 42
— Indicates no data.

 

Consistent with this explanation of table 29 through table 33 and table 34, in the following subsections, the discussion of the results shown in those tables is organized according to the pavement condition and distress.

IRI

The average calculated RFPs listed in table 29 indicate that the differences between the average RFP of test sections located in different climatic regions and that have 4- or 7-inch (102- or 178‑mm)-thick AC layers with drainable and undrainable bases varied from –1 to 7 years. Because the 1-year difference was not significant and was within the data variability, it was considered a value of zero in the following discussion. Nevertheless, the data in table 29 indicate the following:

The impact of the climatic regions on pavement performance in terms of IRI is summarized in table 34. The data in the table indicate the following:

There are several significant initial conclusions regarding pavement performance that could be drawn from the findings listed in table 29 and table 34. However, these conclusions would be based on pavement roughness only. To make these conclusions a part of the global pavement performance, the research team decided to include them in the summary, conclusions, and recommendations section that follows the discussion of all the other distress types.

Rut Depth

The average calculated RFPs or RSPs listed in table 30 indicate the following:

The impact of the climatic regions on pavement performance in terms of rut depth is summarized in table 34. The data in the table indicate the following:

The conclusions are included in the summary, conclusions, and recommendations section following the discussion of the other distress types.

Alligator Cracking

The average calculated RSPs listed in table 31 indicate the following, on average:

The impact of the climatic regions on pavement performance in terms of alligator cracking is summarized in table 34. The data in the table indicate the following:

The conclusions are included in the summary, conclusions, and recommendations section following the discussion of the other distress types.

Longitudinal Cracking

The average calculated RSPs listed in table 32 indicate the following, on average:

The impact of the climatic regions on pavement performance in terms of longitudinal cracking is summarized in table 34. The data in the table indicate the following:

Once again, the conclusions are included in the summary and conclusions section following the discussion of the other distress types.

Transverse Cracking

The average calculated RSPs listed in table 33 indicate the following:

The impact of the climatic regions on pavement performance in terms of transverse cracking is summarized in table 34. The data in the table indicate the following:

Summary, Conclusions, and Recommendations for LTPP SPS-1

The performance of each SPS-1 test section was analyzed using the available time-series IRI; rut depth; alligator, longitudinal, and transverse cracking data; and the proper mathematical functions. The results of the analyses were then expressed in terms of RFP for IRI, RFP/RSP for rut depth, and RSP for each cracking type. The test sections and their performance (RFP and RSP) were then tabulated using the SHRP IDs, climatic regions, AC thicknesses, and drainable or undrainable bases. Based on the results, the following conclusions were drawn:

IMPACTS OF MAINTENANCE TREATMENTS ON PAVEMENT PERFORMANCE USING THE LTPP SPS-3 TEST SECTIONS

The main objective of SPS-3 experiment was to compare the performance of different maintenance treatments on flexible pavements compared with the control (untreated) test sections. The 81SPS-3 test sites were initiated between 1990 and 1991 and were distributed across the United States and Canada. Each of the SPS-3 test sites consisted of 4 test sections for a total of 324 test sections. Fifty-one of the 81 test sites had control sections labeled 340. Each of the other 30sites were linked to a GPS test section (listed in table 35 along with their SHRP ID), which could be used as control sections.(60)

Table 35. Linked GPS sections that serve as control sections.(60)

Site ID Linked GPS Section ID
04_A300 4_1036
04_B300 4_1021
04_D300 4_1016
05_A300 5_3071
08_B300 8_2008
12_A300 12_9054
12_B300 12_3997
12_C300 12_4154
16_A300 16_1020
16_B300 16_1021
16_C300 16_1010
28_A300 28_1802
30_A300 30_1001
32_A300 32_1021
32_C300 32_2027
40_B300 40_1015
40_C300 40_4088
47_A300 47_3101
47_B300 47_3075
47_C300 47_1023
48_D300 48_2172
48_G300 48_1169
49_A300 49_1004
49_B300 49_1017
49_C300 49_1006
53_A300 53_1008
53_B300 53_1501
53_C300 53_1801
56_A300 56_1007
56_B300 56_7775

 

Each of the four SPS-3 test sections in each test site was subjected to one of the following treatments (note that the numbers in parentheses are the LTPP designation of the treatment; for example, the designation of the joint and crack sealing is 410):

Several variables affect the performance of the treated pavement sections. These include climatic region, traffic, subgrade type, and the before treatment pavement condition and distress. Unfortunately, these variables could be separated to analyze the effects of each on pavement performance. The reason is that separating the variables yields statistically insignificant numbers of test sections to be used in the analyses.

To illustrate, table 36 lists the number of test sections that were available for analyses based on separation of the following variables:

Table 36. Number of test sections that have before treatment and after treatment pavement condition, distress, and traffic data.

Condition or Distress Type Treatment Type Number of Test Sections by Climatic Region and Traffic Level
WF WNF DF DNF
L M H L M H L M H L M H
IRI Thin overlay 8 4 4 8 2 6 3 4 3 1 0 1
Slurry seal 6 4 4 6 3 6 3 3 2 1 0 1
Crack seal 7 4 4 2 1 6 3 3 2 1 0 1
Aggregate seal coat 5 4 4 7 2 5 3 3 3 0 1 1
Rut depth Thin overlay 4 2 2 4 2 7 2 1 2 0 0 1
Slurry seal 4 1 2 4 2 8 2 2 2 1 0 1
Crack seal 4 1 3 2 0 6 3 2 2 0 0 1
Aggregate seal coat 1 2 1 5 1 9 2 2 1 0 0 1
Alligator cracking Thin overlay 4 2 4 4 2 5 1 0 0 0 0 0
Slurry seal 1 0 3 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Crack seal 1 0 1 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aggregate seal coat 2 0 3 4 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Longitudinal cracking Thin overlay 4 2 4 4 2 5 1 0 0 0 0 0
Slurry seal 2 0 3 5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Crack seal 1 0 3 2 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aggregate seal coat 3 0 3 4 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Transverse cracking Thin overlay 4 2 4 4 2 5 1 0 0 0 0 0
Slurry seal 1 0 3 5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Crack seal 2 0 3 3 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aggregate seal coat 2 0 3 4 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Note: For each pavement condition and distress type, the test section was analyzed if the database contained at least one data point before treatment and/or three or more data points after treatment that could be modeled.
L = low traffic (0 to 60,000 yearly ESAL).
M = medium traffic (61,000 to 120,000 yearly ESAL).
H = high traffic (> 120,000 yearly ESAL).

 

It can be seen from the table that in some cells, especially in the DF and DNF regions and for some pavement distress types, the number of available test sections for analyses was not significant (ranges from 0 to 2). Therefore, the analyses were conducted to assess the impact of each treatment type in each climatic region and for each pavement condition and distress type. That is, the data were not separated based on traffic level, type of base and subbase, or type of roadbed.

Nevertheless, the analyses of the impacts of each of the four treatment types on pavement performance were accomplished using the following steps:

Results of the analyses are discussed per pavement condition and distress type in the next five subsections.

IRI

Listed in table 37 are the calculated minimum, maximum, and average RFPs based on IRI data for the SPS-3 test sections that were subjected to the same treatment type and located in the same climatic region. The table also includes the same data for the associated control sections. To assist the reader in interpreting the data, the numbers listed in the first row of the table, for example, indicate the following:

Table 37. Impacts of various maintenance treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RFP based on IRI.

Climatic Region Treatment Type Remaining Functional Period (Years) Difference in RFP (Years)
Test Sections Control Sections
Number of Sections Min Max Average Number of Sections Min Max Average
WF Thin overlay 19 4 20 16 21 0 19 11 5
WNF 23 8 20 18 29 3 19 14 4
DF 13 5 20 17 13 2 19 12 5
DNF 3 3 13 9 4 3 18 11 –2
WF Slurry seal 15 0 20 12 21 0 19 11 1
WNF 22 4 20 19 29 3 19 15 4
DF 13 4 20 14 13 2 19 13 1
DNF 2 9 20 15 4 3 18 11 4
WF Crack seal 18 0 20 11 21 0 19 11 0
WNF 12 1 20 16 29 3 19 14 2
DF 13 3 20 15 13 2 18 12 3
DNF 4 6 20 14 4 3 18 11 3
WF Aggregate seal coat 16 0 20 13 21 0 19 11 2
WNF 21 14 20 19 29 3 19 15 4
DF 13 1 20 14 13 2 19 13 1
DNF 3 4 10 7 4 3 18 11 4
Max = Maximum.
Min = Minimum.

 

Examination of the results of the analyses listed in table 37 indicates the following:

For some of the SPS-3 test sections, the LTPP database contained one or more IRI data points before the sections were subjected to maintenance treatments. To assess the impact of the before treatment pavement conditions on the after treatment pavement performance, for each maintenance treatment type, RFPs after treatment were plotted against the last collected IRI data point before treatment. The results are shown in figure 52 through figure 55 for thin overlay, slurry seal, crack seal, and aggregate seal coat, respectively. Although the data in the figures are widely scattered, the general trend is that the higher the IRI is before treatment, the lower the RFP is after treatment. This finding was expected and supports the notion that maintaining pavement sections in good conditions pays higher dividends than treating deteriorated sections. Nevertheless, the scattering of the data in figure 52 through figure 55 was likely caused by differences in the original pavement cross sections, pavement materials, roadbed soil, climatic region, and traffic level. Unfortunately, the number of test sections subjected to the same traffic level bracket was so small that no decision regarding the impacts of traffic could be made with any level of certainty. Note the solid best fit curves in figure 52 through figure 55 are not intended to model the data. They show only the global trend, and therefore the inclusion of statistics such as standard error would be meaningless. As stated previously, the data in the figures are a function of many other variables that were not included in the analyses. Because separation of variables yielded data for few test sections (two or fewer), no decision could be made with any degree of certainty.

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 52. Graph. After-treatment RFP versus before-treatment IRI of LTPP SPS-3 test sections subjected to thin overlay.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 53. Graph. After-treatment RFP versus before-treatment IRI of LTPP SPS-3 test sections subjected to slurry seal.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 54. Graph. After-treatment RFP versus before-treatment IRI of LTPP SPS-3 test sections subjected to crack seal.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 55. Graph. After-treatment RFP versus before-treatment IRI of LTPP SPS-3 test sections subjected to aggregate seal coat.

 

Rut Depth

Listed in table 38 are the calculated minimum, maximum, and average RFPs/RSPs based on rut depth data for the SPS-3 test sections that were subjected to the same treatment type and located in the same climatic region. The table also includes the same data for the associated control sections. The following summarizes the results:

Similar to the IRI analyses, RSPs after treatment were plotted against the last measured rut depth data point before treatment. The results were submitted to FHWA and are available from the LTPP Customer Support Services.(79) The data indicate that deeper before treatment rut depths led to lower after treatment RFP/RSP or better performance in terms of rut depth after treatment. The scattering of data in the figures is mainly due to differences in the original pavement cross sections, pavement materials, roadbed soil, climatic region, and traffic level.

Table 38. Impacts of various maintenance treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RFP/RSP based on rut depth.

Climatic Region Treatment Type Remaining Functional/Structural Period (Years) Difference in RFP/RSP (Years)
Test Sections Control Sections
Number of Sections Min Max Average Number of Sections Min Max Average
WF Thin overlay 18 13 20 19 14 0 18 12 7
WNF 21 5 20 19 16 0 19 11 8
DF 8 9 20 19 8 0 19 12 7
DNF 4 0 20 10 3 0 16 11 –1
WF Slurry seal 12 1 20 14 14 0 18 12 2
WNF 19 0 20 16 16 0 19 11 5
DF 10 1 20 16 8 0 19 12 4
DNF 3 1 20 14 3 0 16 11 3
WF Crack seal 11 0 20 13 14 0 18 12 1
WNF 9 0 20 16 16 0 19 11 5
DF 9 2 20 18 8 0 18 11 7
DNF 3 0 20 13 3 0 16 11 2
WF Aggregate seal coat 11 0 20 15 14 0 18 12 3
WNF 22 0 20 14 16 0 19 11 3
DF 8 0 20 17 8 0 19 12 5
DNF 2 0 20 20 3 0 16 11 9
Max = Maximum.
Min = Minimum.

 

Alligator Cracking

Listed in table 39 are the calculated minimum, maximum, and average RSPs based on alligator cracking for the SPS-3 test sections and located in the same climatic region. The table also includes the same data for the associated control sections. The results listed in the table indicate the following:

Similar to the IRI and rut depths, for each treatment type, the RSPs of the test sections after treatment were plotted against the last collected alligator cracking data points before treatment. The results were submitted to FHWA and are available from the LTPP Customer Support Services.(79) In summary, the data indicate that as the alligator cracking increased, the after treatment RSPs decreased. That is, the data indicate that, on average, treating pavement sections at an early stage paid higher dividends than delayed treatment.

Table 39. Impacts of various maintenance treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on alligator cracking.

Climatic Region Treatment Type Remaining Structural Period (Years) Difference in RSP (Years)
Test Sections Control Sections
Number of Sections Min Max Average Number of Sections Min Max Average
WF Thin overlay 21 2 20 10 15 0 16 8 2
WNF 24 3 20 11 20 0 17 9 2
DF 11 4 20 11 8 6 18 12 –1
DNF 3 0 15 7 1 16 16 16 –9
WF Slurry seal 16 0 20 7 15 0 16 8 –1
WNF 30 2 20 10 20 0 17 10 0
DF 10 3 20 9 8 6 18 12 –3
DNF 2 0 18 9 1 16 16 16 –7
WF Crack seal 10 0 20 6 15 0 16 8 –2
WNF 22 0 20 8 20 0 17 9 –1
DF 11 0 20 13 8 5 18 12 1
DNF 2 0 2 1 1 16 16 16 –15
WF Aggregate seal coat 15 2 20 10 15 0 16 8 2
WNF 18 4 20 12 20 0 17 10 2
DF 9 6 20 11 8 6 18 12 –1
DNF 2 13 20 17 1 16 16 16 1
Max = Maximum.
Min = Minimum.

 

Longitudinal Cracking

Listed in table 40 are the calculated minimum, maximum, and average RSPs based on longitudinal cracking for the SPS-3 test sections that were subjected to the same treatment type and located in the same climatic region. The table also includes the same data for the associated control sections. The results listed in the table indicate the following:

Once again, for each treatment type, the RSPs of the test sections after treatment were plotted against the last measured longitudinal cracking data point before treatment were submitted to FHWA and are available from the LTPP Customer Support Services.(79) It can be seen from the figures that, on average, the higher the longitudinal cracking length was before treatments, the lower the RSP was after treatments.

Table 40. Impacts of various maintenance treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on longitudinal cracking.

Climatic Region Treatment Type Remaining Structural Period (Years) Difference in RSP (Year)
Test Sections Control Sections
Number of Sections Min Max Average Number of Sections Min Max Average
WF Thin overlay 23 2 20 9 12 4 19 12 –3
WNF 26 5 20 12 20 0 18 12 0
DF 12 2 20 15 6 5 18 14 1
DNF 2 15 15 15 2 10 16 13 2
WF Slurry seal 13 3 20 10 12 4 19 12 –2
WNF 30 4 20 13 20 0 18 13 0
DF 10 8 20 16 6 5 18 14 2
DNF 1 16 16 16 2 10 16 13 3
WF Crack seal 12 0 20 7 12 4 19 12 –5
WNF 14 1 20 13 20 0 18 12 1
DF 7 1 20 13 6 5 18 14 –1
DNF 1 2 2 2 2 10 16 13 –11
WF Aggregate seal coat 21 3 20 10 12 4 19 12 –2
WNF 19 5 20 14 20 0 18 12 2
DF 9 8 20 18 6 5 18 14 4
DNF 1 20 20 20 2 10 16 13 7
Max = Maximum.
Min = Minimum.

 

Transverse Cracking

Listed in table 41 are the calculated minimum, maximum, and average RSPs based on transverse cracking for the SPS-3 test sections that were subjected to the same treatment type and located in the same climatic region. The table also includes the same data for the associated control sections. The data in the table indicate the following:

For each treatment type, the RSPs of the test sections after treatment were plotted against the last measured transverse cracking data point before treatment were submitted to FHWA and are available from the LTPP Customer Support Services.(79) It can be seen from the figures that the lower the cumulative transfer cracks value was, the higher the RSP was after treatment.

Table 41. Impacts of various maintenance treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on transverse cracking.

Climatic Regions Treatment Type Remaining Structural Period (Years) Difference in RSP (Year)
Test Sections Control Sections
Number of Sections Min Max Average Number of Sections Min Max Average
WF Thin overlay 22 1 20 9 18 0 16 8 1
WNF 24 5 20 12 20 3 17 12 0
DF 12 2 20 13 8 0 18 11 2
DNF 2 12 20 16 1 4 4 4 12
WF Slurry seal 14 0 20 8 18 0 16 8 0
WNF 30 3 20 12 20 3 17 12 0
DF 7 2 20 13 8 0 18 11 2
DNF 1 9 9 9 1 4 4 4 5
WF Crack seal 14 0 20 8 18 0 16 8 0
WNF 18 0 20 12 20 3 16 12 0
DF 9 0 20 12 8 0 18 11 1
DNF 0 0 0 1 4 4 4 NC
WF Aggregate seal coat 17 0 20 10 18 0 16 8 2
WNF 16 3 20 13 20 3 16 12 1
DF 8 1 20 12 8 0 18 11 1
DNF 1 9 9 9 1 4 4 4 5
— Indicates no data.
NC = Could not be compared.

 



Summary, Conclusions, and Recommendations for LTPP SPS-3

Table 42 summarizes the impacts of the four SPS-3 maintenance treatments on the pavement performance.

Table 42. Summary of the impact of treatment type on pavement performance compared with the control sections (years).

Treatment Type Condition or Distress Type Climatic Region
WF WNF DF DNF
Thin overlay IRI 5 4 5 –2
Rut depth 7 8 7 –1
Alligator cracking 2 2 –1 –9
Longitudinal cracking –3 0 1 2
Transverse cracking 1 0 2 12
Slurry seal IRI 1 4 1 4
Rut depth 2 5 4 3
Alligator cracking –1 0 –3 –7
Longitudinal cracking –2 0 2 3
Transverse cracking 0 0 2 5
Crack seal IRI 0 2 3 3
Rut depth 1 5 7 2
Alligator cracking –2 –1 1 –15
Longitudinal cracking –5 1 –1 –11
Transverse cracking 0 0 1 NC
Aggregate seal coat IRI 2 4 1 –4
Rut depth 3 3 5 9
Alligator cracking 2 2 –1 1
Longitudinal cracking –2 2 4 7
Transverse cracking 2 1 1 5
NC = Could not be compared.

 

The number in each cell of the table expresses the average increase in RFP or RSP of the test sections compared with the control sections. It should be noted that the sections in the DNF region were too few in number to draw any reliable conclusions. Also, in many instances, the control sections were not truly representative of the test sections that had undergone treatments in terms of pavement condition and distress. Nevertheless, the data in the table indicate the following:

In general, the worse the pavement conditions were before treatment, the shorter the benefits of treatment were in terms of RFP or RSP.

IMPACT OF REHABILITATION TREATMENTS ON PAVEMENT PERFORMANCE USING LTPP SPS-5 TEST SECTIONS

Once again, one of the objectives of this study was to analyze the benefits of the various rehabilitation treatments applied to the SPS-5 test sections. Unfortunately, for some test sections, the LTPP database did not have enough time-series pavement condition and distress data to conduct the analyses. In one scenario, some of the test sections were subjected to a second treatment and only one or two data points were available. In another scenario, the measured IRI, rut depth, and/or cracking data showed improvement in the pavement condition and/or distresses over time without treatment. After an exhaustive search of the database, it was found that the database had an adequate number of time-series pavement condition and distress data for the evaluation of the benefits of the following rehabilitation treatments:

After identifying the types of treatments that could be analyzed, the time-dependent pavement condition and distress data were then organized per treatment type, climatic region, and per pavement condition and distress type. The data were then analyzed, RFPs and RSPs of each treated test section accepted for analyses, and the corresponding control and/or linked sections were calculated. For each pavement condition (IRI) and distress type (rut depth and alligator, longitudinal, and transverse cracking), RFP/RSP of the treatment and the treatment benefits are listed in table 43 through table 52. The benefits are listed per climatic region and pavement condition and distress type and are summarized in table 53. The summary of the treatment benefits listed in table 53 is divided based on the pavement condition and distress type and on the treatment type. However, the discussion that follows that table is based on the benefits for the pavement condition and distress type.

Table 43. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RFP based on IRI for virgin AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RFP (Years) Virgin AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RFP B1 B2 RFP B1 B2 RFP B1 B2 RFP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 17 20 3 20 20 3 20 20 3 20 20 3 20
Minnesota (27) 5 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
New Jersey (34) 10 20 10 20 20 10 20 20 10 20 20 10 20
Alberta (81) 16 ND ND 20 4 20 20 4 20 20 4 20
Manitoba (83) ND 20 18 20 19 NS NS 20 20
WNF Alabama (1) 15 20 5 18 20 5 20 20 5 20 20 5 20
Florida (12) 12 20 8 20 20 8 20 20 8 20 20 8 20
Georgia (13) NCS 20 20 20 15 20 18 20 12
Maryland (24) 18 20 2 11 15 –3 12 20 2 20 20 2 20
Mississippi (28) 13 20 7 6 20 7 20 20 7 12 20 7 20
Missouri (29) ND NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) ND 20 10 NS NS NS NS NS NS
DF Colorado (8) ND NS NS 20 20 17 ND 20 ND
Montana (30) 4 16 12 6 20 16 20 20 16 20 20 16 N/A
DNF Arizona (4) 17 20 3 20 20 3 20 20 3 20 20 3 20
California (6) 0 10 10 6 20 20 10 20 20 15 20 20 20
New Mexico (35) ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= Change in functional period (CFP).
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.
N/A = Not applicable.

 

Table 44. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RFP based on IRI for recycled AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RFP (Years) Recycled AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RFP B1 B2 RFP B1 B2 RFP B1 B2 RFP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 17 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS
Minnesota (27) 5 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
New Jersey (34) 10 20 10 20 20 10 20 20 10 20 20 10 20
Alberta (81) 16 20 4 18 20 4 20 20 4 17 20 4 20
Manitoba (83) ND 20 20 NS NS 20 20 20 20
WNF Alabama (1) 15 20 5 17 20 5 20 20 5 20 20 5 10
Florida (12) 12 20 8 16 20 8 20 20 8 20 20 8 20
Georgia (13) NCS 20 15 20 15 20 14 20 11
Maryland (24) 18 ND ND 20 2 15 20 2 12 20 2 20
Mississippi (28) 13 20 7 20 20 7 20 20 7 20 20 7 20
Missouri (29) ND NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) ND 20 15 20 20 20 20 20 16
DF Colorado (8) ND 20 20 NS NS 20 ND 20 20
Montana (30) 4 12 8 6 20 16 20 15 11 3 20 16 20
DNF Arizona (4) 17 13 –4 8 20 3 20 16 –1 14 20 3 20
California (6) 0 11 11 10 20 20 10 9 9 8 20 20 18
New Mexico (35) ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.

 

Table 45. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RFP/RSP based on rut depth for virgin AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RFP/RSP (Years) Virgin AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RFP/ RSP B1 B2 RFP/ RSP B1 B2 RFP/ RSP B1 B2 RFP/ RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 0 20 20 20 12 11 15 8 8 13 10 10 11
Minnesota (27) 16 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS
New Jersey (34) NS 20 20 20 20 NS NS NS NS
Alberta (81) ND ND ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
Manitoba (83) ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
WNF Alabama (1) NS 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
Florida (12) 12 20 8 20 20 8 20 20 8 20 20 8 20
Georgia (13) NCS 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Maryland (24) ND NS NS 20 3 NS NS 20 20
Mississippi (28) 0 15 15 20 4 4 5 8 8 13 3 3 5
Missouri (29) NS 20 20 20 13 20 20 20 20
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) 14 20 6 20 20 6 20 20 6 18 20 6 18
DF Colorado (8) NS 20 13 20 13 20 20 18 20
Montana (30) NS 20 20 14 7 10 10 17 13
DNF Arizona (4) NS 20 ND NS NS NS NS NS NS
California (6) ND 20 6 20 20 20 20 20 20
New Mexico (35) ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= Change in functional period.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.

 

Table 46. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RFP/RSP based on rut depth for recycled AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RFP/RSP (Years) Recycled AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RFP/ RSP B1 B2 RFP/ RSP B1 B2 RFP/ RSP B1 B2 RFP/ RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 0 15 15 16 14 14 15 12 12 18 10 10 15
Minnesota (27) 16 20 4 20 NS NS 20 4 20 NS NS
New Jersey (34) NS 20 20 NS NS NS NS NS NS
Alberta (81) ND NS NS 20 ND 20 ND NS NS
Manitoba (83) ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
WNF Alabama (1) NS 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
Florida (12) 12 20 8 20 20 8 11 20 8 20 20 8 20
Georgia (13) NCS 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Maryland (24) ND 4 1 2 0 9 2 3 1
Mississippi (28) 0 9 9 20 6 6 12 9 9 20 4 4 9
Missouri (29) NS 20 20 20 3 20 20 20 1
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) 14 20 6 20 20 6 20 20 6 20 20 6 20
DF Colorado (8) NS 19 6 20 8 18 20 13 20
Montana (30) NS 16 18 20 20 12 10 20 20
DNF Arizona (4) NS 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND NS NS
California (6) ND 20 20 20 11 20 20 20 20
New Mexico (35) ND NS NS 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.

 

Table 47. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on alligator cracking for virgin AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RSP (Years) Virgin AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 10 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Minnesota (27) 16 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
New Jersey (34) ND 20 20 20 15 20 13 18 10
Alberta (81) ND ND ND 13 ND 11 ND 14 ND
Manitoba (83) ND 9 0 13 0 11 0 13 0
WNF Alabama (1) 0 20 20 0 20 20 15 20 20 20 20 20 20
Florida (12) 12 20 8 11 20 8 20 20 8 20 19 8 20
Georgia (13) NCS 20 9 ND ND ND ND 20 10
Maryland (24) ND ND ND ND ND 20 20 20 20
Mississippi (28) 16 12 –4 7 10 –6 9 10 –6 5 9 –7 9
Missouri (29) NS ND ND 8 6 9 8 10 7
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) NS NS NS NS NS ND ND 20 NS
DF Colorado (8) ND 6 4 7 3 6 4 8 1
Montana (30) ND NS NS ND ND 20 20 ND ND
DNF Arizona (4) ND 9 ND 20 ND 20 ND ND ND
California (6) ND 5 ND 11 ND 8 ND 11 ND
New Mexico (35) ND 12 5 ND ND 20 20 16 11
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.

 

Table 48. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on alligator cracking for recycled AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RSP (Years) Recycled AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 10 ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Minnesota (27) 16 ND ND ND ND 20 4 ND ND
New Jersey (34) ND 11 19 15 0 12 0 17 1
Alberta (81) ND 7 ND 6 ND 7 ND 10 ND
Manitoba (83) ND 7 0 7 0 10 0 12 0
WNF Alabama (1) 0 16 16 4 20 20 20 20 20 10 20 20 20
Florida (12) 12 20 8 16 20 8 20 20 8 20 20 8 20
Georgia (13) 20 20 ND ND 20 16 ND ND
Maryland (24) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Mississippi (28) 16 7 –10 0 11 –5 5 6 –10 0 9 –8 4
Missouri (29) NS ND ND ND ND 20 17 ND ND
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) NS 20 NS 20 NS 20 NS 20 NS
DF Colorado (8) ND 6 0 6 4 20 0 7 5
Montana (30) ND ND ND 3 7 4 5 6 6
DNF Arizona (4) ND 4 ND 13 ND 15 ND 20 ND
California (6) ND 4 ND 8 ND 3 ND 20 ND
New Mexico (35) ND 20 0 10 8 15 0 10 9
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NS = Model has a negative slope.

 

Table 49. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on longitudinal cracking for virgin AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RSP (Years) Virgin AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 8 9 0 8 9 1 8 9 1 8 9 1 9
Minnesota (27) 9 6 –3 2 11 2 6 8 –1 5 8 –1 6
New Jersey (34) ND 20 NA 15 NA 18 NA 12 NA
Alberta (81) ND ND ND 20 ND 20 ND 17 ND
Manitoba (83) ND 20 0 14 0 20 0 17 0
WNF Alabama (1) ND 20 6 20 0 20 8 20 0
Florida (12) ND 20 0 20 0 17 14 20 14
Georgia (13) NCS 11 0 14 0 13 0 14 0
Maryland (24) ND ND ND ND ND 13 0 12 3
Mississippi (28) 9 20 11 0 12 2 1 14 5 5 ND ND
Missouri (29) 4 5 1 5 10 6 10 10 5 10 18 13 19
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) NS 11 ND 20 ND 17 ND 20 ND
DF Colorado (8) ND 5 4 6 4 7 5 9 6
Montana (30) ND NS NS ND ND 10 9 ND ND
DNF Arizona (4) ND 20 ND 18 ND 20 ND 20 ND
California (6) ND 11 ND 11 ND 10 ND 16 ND
New Mexico (35) ND 12 7 10 8 11 5 10 8
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.

 

Table 50. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on longitudinal cracking for recycled AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RSP (Years) Recycled AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) 8 10 2 10 9 0 8 10 2 10 9 1 9
Minnesota (27) 9 9 0 3 20 11 11 9 1 7 13 5 10
New Jersey (34) ND NS NS 12 N/A NS NS 12 N/A
Alberta (81) ND 13 ND 14 ND 12 ND 13 ND
Manitoba (83) ND NS NS 20 0 20 0 16 0
WNF Alabama (1) ND 20 20 20 0 20 0 20 0
Florida (12) ND 20 20 19 19 20 1 20 18
Georgia (13) NCS 11 1 14 0 13 0 14 0
Maryland (24) ND 7 5 ND ND 16 7 20 6
Mississippi (28) 9 20 11 4 20 11 0 9 0 7 14 5 0
Missouri (29) 4 13 9 10 10 5 7 13 9 6 13 8 11
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) NS 10 ND 12 ND 12 ND 12 ND
DF Colorado (8) ND 7 4 6 4 7 6 6 5
Montana (30) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND 19 8
DNF Arizona (4) ND NS NS 19 ND 20 ND 18 ND
California (6) ND 10 ND 10 ND 8 ND 9 ND
New Mexico (35) ND 10 9 8 6 10 6 8 5
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.
N/A = Not applicable.

 

Table 51. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on transverse cracking for virgin AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RSP (Years) Virgin AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) NS ND ND 11 10 11 10 ND ND
Minnesota (27) 16 2 –15 5 13 –4 15 6 –10 13 13 –3 14
New Jersey (34) ND 18 5 20 15 20 13 20 14
Alberta (81) ND ND ND 20 ND 17 ND 11 ND
Manitoba (83) ND 20 0 10 2 20 0 14 0
WNF Alabama (1) 10 20 10 0 20 10 11 20 10 9 20 10 4
Florida (12) ND 19 7 20 7 20 0 20 2
Georgia (13) NCS ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Maryland (24) ND ND ND ND ND 20 5 20 20
Mississippi (28) 8 12 4 6 11 3 9 14 6 5 13 5 11
Missouri (29) NS 9 8 ND ND 10 9 14 11
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) NS 12 ND 20 ND 20 ND 20 ND
DF Colorado (8) ND 10 6 10 8 15 5 NS NS
Montana (30) ND 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
DNF Arizona (4) ND 14 ND 19 ND 19 ND 19 ND
California (6) ND 9 ND 12 ND 9 ND 13 ND
New Mexico (35) ND 15 10 ND ND 12 11 17 16
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2 inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.
N/A = Not applicable.

 

Table 52. Impacts of various treatments and control section on pavement performance in terms of RSP based on transverse cracking for recycled AC mixes (years).

Climatic Region State (Code) Control Section RSP (Years) Recycled AC Mix
Overlay Mill and Fill
Thin Thick Thin Thick
RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2 RSP B1 B2
WF Maine (23) NS ND ND ND ND 20 9 ND ND
Minnesota (27) 17 8 –8 5 13 –4 9 10 –7 7 9 –8 8
New Jersey (34) ND 13 1 17 8 20 0 20 10
Alberta (81) ND 12 ND 14 ND 9 ND 9 ND
Manitoba (83) ND 17 0 17 0 20 0 8 6
WNF Alabama (1) 10 19 9 0 20 10 7 20 10 2 20 10 7
Florida (12) ND 20 14 ND ND 20 10 20 20
Georgia (13) NCS ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Maryland (24) ND 14 10 8 7 20 20 ND ND
Mississippi (28) 8 8 0 6 9 1 3 10 2 7 10 2 5
Missouri (29) NS ND ND ND ND 20 15 ND ND
Oklahoma (40) ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
Texas (48) NS 11 ND 15 ND 13 ND 17 ND
DF Colorado (8) ND 6 4 ND ND 6 4 ND ND
Montana (30) ND ND ND 20 20 ND ND NS NS
DNF Arizona (4) ND NS NS 8 ND 9 ND 11 ND
California (6) ND 10 ND 10 ND 8 ND 8 ND
New Mexico (35) ND 17 3 15 8 17 2 11 9
— Indicates could not be estimated.
Thin = 2-inches (51 mm).
Thick = 4 inches (102 mm).
B1= CFP.
B2 = Functional condition reoccurrence period.
ND = No data.
NCS = No control section.
NS = Model has a negative slope.

 

Table 53. Summary of benefits of various rehabilitation treatments (years).

Treatment Type Thickness (Inches) Statistic Condition Distress
Rut Depth Cracking
IRI Alligator Longitudinal Transverse
B1 B2 B1 B2 B1 B2 B1 B2 B1 B2
Overlay, virgin AC mix 2 Min 2 6 6 6 –4 0 –3 0 –15 0
Max 12 20 20 20 20 20 11 8 10 20
Average 7 14 12 18 8 7 2 3 0 7
4 Min –3 10 4 3 –6 0 1 0 –4 2
Max 20 20 11 20 20 20 6 10 10 20
Average 7 18 7 14 7 10 3 4 3 11
Overlay, recycled AC mix 2 Min –4 6 4 1 –10 0 0 1 –8 0
Max 11 20 15 20 16 20 11 20 9 14
Average 6 15 8 17 5 7 5 9 0 5
4 Min 2 10 6 0 –5 0 0 0 –4 0
Max 20 20 14 20 20 20 11 19 10 20
Average 8 18 9 12 8 8 7 6 2 8
Mill and fill, virgin AC mix 2 Min 2 12 6 10 –6 0 –1 0 –10 0
Max 20 20 8 20 20 20 5 14 10 20
Average 8 19 8 17 7 13 2 6 2 8
4 Min 2 12 3 5 –7 0 –1 0 –3 0
Max 20 20 10 20 20 20 13 19 10 20
Average 8 19 7 17 7 11 4 6 4 11
Mill and fill, recycled AC mix 2 Min –1 3 4 2 –10 0 0 0 –7 0
Max 11 20 12 20 20 20 9 10 10 20
Average 6 16 8 17 6 7 3 5 2 7
4 Min 2 10 4 1 –8 0 1 0 –7 5
Max 20 20 10 20 20 20 8 18 10 20
Average 8 18 7 15 7 8 5 6 2 9
1 inch = 25.4 mm.
B1 = Changes in functional or structural period (CFP/CSP) in years.
B2 = Functional or structural condition reoccurrence period (FCROP/SCROP) in years.
Max = Maximum.
Min = Minimum.

 

IRI

The benefits data listed in table 53 under the heading “IRI” indicate that the averages of the CFPs (labeled “B1” in the table) of all eight treatments were similar and equaled about 7 years. This was expected because a proper construction of 2- and 4-inch (51‑and 102-mm) overlays and 2- and 4-inch (51- and 102-mm) mill-and-fill treatments result in smooth pavement surface and almost the same rate of deterioration. Further, the average functional condition reoccurrence period (FCROP) in years of any of the eight treatments was about 17 years (i.e., 17 years after applying any of the eight treatments, the IRI of the treated pavement would be the same as it was just before treatment).

Rut Depth

The benefits data listed in table 53 under the heading “Rut Depth” indicate that the benefits in terms of RSP (column labeled “B1”) and the structural condition reoccurrence period (SCROP) (column labeled “B2”) for AC overlays and mill-and-fill treatments using virgin and recycled asphalt mixes were statistically similar. Note that the SCROP is the same as TL as previously defined.(5)

Alligator Cracking

The benefits data listed in table 53 under the heading “Alligator Cracking” indicate that the B1s of the eight treatments varied slightly depending on the thickness of the overlay and the type of the AC mix. On average, each treatment caused an increase in RSP of about 6 years. (This varied from a high of 20 years to a low of 10 years.) The latter was mainly the result of the condition of the control sections (i.e., no alligator cracking). Thus, the minimum and maximum change in structural period (CSP) should not be taken seriously; they are for information only. The average CSP, on the other hand, was a good measure of the benefits of each treatment. Further, the average structural period of the 2-inch (51-mm)-thick virgin AC overlay was 1 to 3 years lower than the 4inch (102-mm) virgin AC overlay. The type of AC mix (virgin and recycled) appeared not to affect the SCROP.

Longitudinal Cracking

The benefits data listed in table 53 under the heading “Longitudinal Cracking” indicate that the average CFP/CSP of the test sections subjected to 2- and 4-inch (51- and 102-mm)-thick overlays and mill and fill treatments using virgin and recycled AC mixes appeared to have had the lowest CSPs (2 to 4 years), while the CSP for the recycled mixes was about 2 years longer. Further, the average SCROP of each of the four mill-and-fill treatments was about 6 years.

Transverse Cracking

The benefits data listed in table 53 under the heading “Transverse Cracking” varied and depended on the thickness of the AC overlay. The 2-inch (51-mm)-thick AC overlay yielded a CSP of 0 years, whereas the 4-inch (102-mm) AC overlay yielded, on average, a CSP of 3 years. This was expected because the thin 2-inch (51-mm)-thick overlay has minor resistance to reflective cracking. The average SCROP of the 2-inch (51-mm)-thick overlay or mill and fill was about 7years, whereas the average SCROP of the 4-inch (102-mm) overlay or mill and fill was about 10 years.



Summary, Conclusions and Recommendations for LTPP SPS-5

Based on data availability in the LTPP database, eight rehabilitation treatments were included in the analyses of the treatment benefits. The benefits were estimated by comparing RFP and RSP of the test sections and RFP and RSP (CFP/CSP) of the control or linked sections. In addition, the FCROP/SCROP (the time in years from the treatment to the year during which the pavement condition or distresses are the same as those before treatment) were also used as calculated indicators of benefits. Based on the results of the analyses, the following conclusions were drawn:

Based on the results of the data, the research team strongly recommends the following:

IMPACTS OF PAVEMENT TREATMENTS ON PAVEMENT PERFORMANCE USING THE LTPP GPS-6 TEST SECTIONS

The LTPP GPS-6 experiment contained flexible pavement test sections that were overlain prior to their assignment to the LTPP Program. The experiment also included test sections that were moved from other LTPP experiments after they were subjected to either AC overlay or mill-and-fill treatments. The test sections in the GPS-6 experiment were classified as GPS-6A, -6B, -6C,
-6D, and -6S. The following list explains each of the classifications:

After an extensive search of the database, all of the test sections in the GPS-6 experiment that had three or more before treatment and three or more after treatment time-series pavement condition and/or distress data points were grouped according to the following variables:

Therefore, the analyses were conducted to assess the impacts of each treatment type and AC mix type and thickness on the pavement performance (IRI, rut depth, and cracking) in each climatic region using RFP and RSP of each treated test section before and after treatment.

For each test section, the treatment benefits were expressed in terms of the CFP or CSP, which were the difference between the after treatment RFP or RSP and the before treatment RFP or RSP. The minimum and maximum CFPs and CSPs and their averages for all test sections located in the same climatic region were calculated and listed in table 54 through table 58 depending on the pavement condition and distress type. The data in the five tables are discussed in the follow subsections per pavement condition and distress type.

Table 54. Impacts of various treatments on pavement performance in terms of CFP based on IRI (years).

Treatment Type Mix Type Thickness Climatic Regions
WF WNF DF DNF
No. CFP (Year) No. CFP (Year) No. CFP (Year) No. CFP (Year)
Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg
Overlay Virgin Thin 6 4 20 11 16 6 17 10 3 6 17 12 0 0 0
Thick 6 5 20 13 5 10 14 12 4 3 20 13 1 14 14 14
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 4 2 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 1 13 13 13 3 4 14 8 1 –6 –6 –6 0 0 0
Mill and fill Virgin Thin 4 –4 9 4 19 –7 12 7 3 6 14 11 1 13 13 13
Thick 1 19 19 19 4 4 14 9 0 0 0 7 5 20 12
Recycled Thin 2 10 13 12 2 11 16 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 3 10 20 15 7 3 19 12 0 0 0 1 13 13 13
— Indicates no data.
Avg = Average.
No. = Number of test sections.
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.
Thin = ≤ 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).
Thick = > 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).

 

Table 55. Impacts of various treatments on pavement performance in terms of CFP/CSP based on rut depth (years).

Treatment Type Mix Type Thickness Climatic Regions
WF WNF DF DNF
No. CFP/CSP (Year) No. CFP/CSP (Year) No. CFP/CSP (Year) No. CFP/CSP (Year)
Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg
Overlay Virgin Thin 6 9 20 13 12 –2 20 10 1 8 8 8 0 0 0
Thick 6 5 20 13 3 8 20 12 3 –2 9 5 2 10 13 9
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 2 4 10 7 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 1 14 14 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mill and fill Virgin Thin 11 1 20 11 20 0 20 16 2 12 16 14 0 0 0
Thick 5 3 20 13 2 20 20 20 0 0 0 6 2 15 9
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 2 11 20 15 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 6 9 20 13 12 –2 20 10 1 8 8 8 0 0 0
— Indicates no data.
Avg = Average.
No. = Number of test sections.
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.
Thin = ≤ 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).
Thick = > 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).

 

Table 56. Impacts of various treatments on pavement performance in terms of CSP based on alligator cracking (years).

Treatment Type Mix Type Thickness Climatic Regions
WF WNF DF DNF
No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year)
Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg
Overlay Virgin Thin 3 11 20 15 4 5 20 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 2 8 13 10 0 0 0 1 6 6 6
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 1 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 1 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mill and fill Virgin Thin 3 7 8 7 5 0 20 6 1 11 11 11 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 1 4 4 4 0 0 0 2 12 17 15
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 3 11 20 15 4 5 20 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
— Indicates no data.
Avg = Average.
No. = Number of test sections.
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.
Thin = ≤ 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).
Thick = > 2.5 inches 63.5 mm).

 

Table 57. Impacts of various treatments on pavement performance in terms of CSP based on longitudinal cracking (years).

Treatment Type Mix Type Thickness Climatic Regions
WF WNF DF DNF
No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year)
Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg
Overlay Virgin Thin 2 0 18 9 5 –3 20 7 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 2 5 8 7 0 0 0 0 0 0
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 1 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 1 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mill and fill Virgin Thin 4 –3 5 0 16 –10 20 5 2 10 12 11 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 1 14 14 14 0 0 0 2 0 12 6
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 1 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 1 17 17 17 2 14 14 14 0 0 0 0 0 0
— Indicates no data.
Avg = Average.
No. = Number of test sections.
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.
Thin = ≤ 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).
Thick = > 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).

 

Table 58. Impacts of various treatments on pavement performance in terms of CSP based on transverse cracking (years).

Treatment Type Mix Type Thickness Climatic Regions
WF WNF DF DNF
No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year) No. CSP (Year)
Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg Min Max Avg
Overlay Virgin Thin 3 5 12 8 10 –2 17 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 2 8 20 14 3 7 14 11 0 0 0 1 4 4 4
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 1 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 1 3 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
Mill and fill Virgin Thin 0 0 0 5 –6 16 5 1 3 3 3 0 0 0
Thick 0 0 0 1 5 5 5 0 0 0 3 0 12 7
Recycled Thin 0 0 0 2 10 11 11 0 0 0 0 0 0
Thick 2 8 11 9 3 8 16 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
— Indicates no data.
Avg = Average.
No. = Number of test sections.
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.
Thin = ≤ 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).
Thick = > 2.5 inches (63.5 mm).

 

IRI

The data in table 54 indicate the following, on average:

Rut Depth

The data in table 55 indicate the following, on average:

Alligator Cracking

The data in table 56 indicate the following, on average:

Longitudinal Cracking

The data in table 57 indicate the following, on average:

Transverse Cracking

The data in table 58 indicate the following, on average:

Impact of the Before Treatment Condition and Distress on the Performance of the Pavement After Treatment for LTPP GPS-6.

Several attempts were made to analyze the impacts of the before treatment pavement condition (IRI) and distresses (rut depths and cracking) on the pavement performance after treatment. Examples of the results for thin and thick virgin AC overlay and for IRI and transverse cracking are shown in the T2Ms in table 59 through table 62. Although only 27 and 16 test sections could be analyzed for thin and thick overlays using virgin AC mix, respectively, the results were logical and expected. The data in table 59 and table 60 indicate that the before treatment pavement condition (IRI) had minute to no effects on the RFP of the test sections. This was more pronounced for the thick AC overlay than for the thin AC overlay. That is if the AC overlay was constructed properly, it would produce a smooth pavement surface. Certainly thicker AC overlays will be constructed using two or more courses. The greater the number of the overlay courses, the smoother the final pavement surface is. The implication herein is that, if a pavement section is to be treated based on high IRIs (low ride quality), then the AC overlay should be constructed using at least two courses (two lifts). Otherwise, the original rough pavement surface could be milled to a smoother surface and then subjected to a single course (one lift) AC overlay.

Table 59. Functional T2M for thin overlay using virgin AC mix (IRI, number of LTPP test sections).

Row Designation Column Designation
A B C D E F G H I J K L
RFP Before and After Thin Overlay Using Virgin AC Mix Based on IRI
Before Treatment After Treatment
RFP CS and Number and Percent of Pavement Sections in Each CS RFP CS (Code and RFP Ranges (Years)) and Number of LTPP Test Sections Transferred From Each Before Treatment CS to the Indicated After Treatment CSs Weighted Average FCROP, CFP, and After Treatment RFP of the Treatment (Years)
CS LTPP Test Sections 1 2 3 4 5 FCROP CFP RFP
RFP Condition Code RFP Ranges (Years) Number Percent
A 1 < 2 4 15 < 2 2 to < 4 4 to < 8 8 to < 13 ≥ 13 14 11 12
B 2 2 to < 4 2 7 0 0 0 0 2 20 13 16
C 3 4 to < 8 2 7 0 0 0 0 2 18 10 16
D 4 8 to < 13 15 56 0 0 0 1 14 10 6 16
E 5 ≥ 13 4 15 0 0 0 0 4 9 0 16
F Total 27 100 0 0 1 2 24 12 6 15
Note: Bolding indicates no gain.

 

Table 60. Functional T2M for thick overlay using virgin AC mix (IRI, number of LTPP test sections).

Row Designation Column Designation
A B C D E F G H I J K L
RFP Before and After Thick Overlay Using Virgin AC Mix Based on IRI
Before Treatment After Treatment
RFP CS and Number and Percent of Pavement Sections in Each CS RFP CS (Code and RFP Ranges (Years)) and Number of LTPP Test Sections Transferred From Each Before Treatment CS to the Indicated After Treatment CSs Weighted Average FCROP, CFP, and After Treatment RFP of the Treatment (Years)
CS LTPP Test Sections 1 2 3 4 5 FCROP CFP After Treatment RFP
RFP Condition Code RFP Ranges (Years)
Number Percent < 2 2 to < 4 4 to < 8 8 to < 13 ≥ 13
A 1 < 2 4 25 0 0 0 0 4 20 15 16
B 2 2 to < 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
C 3 4 to < 8 4 25 0 0 0 0 4 20 10 16
D 4 8 to < 13 5 31 0 0 0 0 5 10 6 16
E 5 ≥ 13 3 19 0 0 0 0 3 18 0 16
F Total 16 100 0 0 0 0 16 16 8 16
Note: Bolding indicates no gain.
— Indicates no data.

 

Table 61. Structural T2M for thin overlay using virgin AC mix (transverse cracking, number of LTPP test sections).

Row Designation Column Designation
A B C D F G H I J K L M
RSP Before and After Thin Overlay Using Virgin AC Mix Based on Transverse Cracking
Before Treatment After Treatment
RSP CS and Number and Percent of Pavement Sections in Each CS RSP CS (Code and RSP Ranges (Years)) and Number of LTPP Test Sections Transferred From Each Before Treatment RSP CS to the Indicated After Treatment RSP CSs Weighted Average SCROP, CSP, and After Treatment RSP of the Treatment (Years)
CS LTPP Test Sections 1 2 3 4 5 SCROP CSP After Treatment RSP
RSP Condition Code RSP Ranges (Years)
Number Percent < 2 2 to <4 4 to <8 8 to < 13 ≥ 13
A 1 < 2 3 23 1 0 0 2 0 9 6 7
B 2 2 to < 4 2 15 0 0 0 0 2 12 13 16
C 3 4 to < 8 4 31 0 1 0 1 2 7 5 11
D 4 8 to < 13 3 23 0 0 1 0 2 6 3 13
E 5 ≥ 13 1 8 0 0 0 1 0 6 –6 10
F Total 13 100 1 1 1 4 6 8 5 11
Note: Bolding indicates no gain.

 

Table 62. Structural T2M for thick overlay using virgin AC mix (transverse cracking, number of LTPP test sections).

Row Designation Column Designation
A B C D F G H I J K L M
RSP Before and After Thick Overlay Using Virgin AC Mix Based on Transverse Cracking
Before Treatment After Treatment
RSP CS and Number and Percent of Pavement Sections in Each CS RSP CS (Code and RSP Ranges in Years) and Number of LTPP Test Sections Transferred From Each Before Treatment RSP CS to the Indicated AT RSP CSs Weighted Average SCROP, CSP, and After Treatment RSP of the Treatment (Years)
CS LTPP Test Sections 1 2 3 4 5 SCROP CSP After Treatment RSP
RSP Condition Code RSP Ranges (Years) Number Percent
< 2 2 to < 4 4 to < 8 8 to < 13 ≥ 13
A 1 < 2 3 60 0 0 0 1 2 13 13 14
B 2 2 to < 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
C 3 4 to < 8 2 40 0 0 0 2 0 10 4 10
D 4 8 to < 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
E 5 ≥ 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
F Total 5 100 0 0 0 3 2 12 9 12
Note: Bolding indicates no gain.
— Indicates no data.

 

Unfortunately, there were fewer test sections available for analyses of the structural period. Table 61 and table 62 for thin and thick virgin AC overlay, respectively, list the results of the analyses of the impacts of transverse cracking before treatment on the pavement performance in terms of transverse cracking after treatment. There were only 13 test sections for thin AC overlay and only 5 for the thick AC overlay. When these limited sections were distributed among the five CSs before treatment, the number of test sections in each CS became statistically insignificant to support reliable conclusions. However, the limited data indicated that the longer the length of transverse cracks before treatment was, the worse the pavement performance after treatment was. Further, the thick AC overlay performed better than the thin overlay; it retarded reflective cracking better.

Summary, Conclusions, and Recommendations for LTPP GPS-6

The performance of pavement rehabilitation is a function of many variables, including the type of rehabilitation, the material used, construction, traffic, and climate. Results of the analyses of the GPS-6 test sections confirmed that. Although the GPS-6 test sections did not represent enough data for detailed analyses of each variable, several cautious conclusions could be drawn given the limited number of test sections. These conclusions include the following:

Based on the results of the analyses, the following is strongly recommended:

ORCSE METHOD

The procedures for the analyses for flexible pavement sections described earlier in this chapter provide a basis for evaluating pavement sections for which there is sufficient data to meet the data quality control requirements outlined in chapter 4. As discussed, not all State transportation departments maintain sufficient pavement management system (PMS) data to use these outlined methods or may not regularly monitor all pavement sections to the same rigorous standards. The estimation of a pavement section RFP or RSP from a single condition or distress record would be extremely beneficial for these State transportation departments to use on a network and individual section basis. The remainder of chapter 5 presents a novel method developed using the LTPP data for estimation of RFP or RSP for pavement sections that have experienced lower levels of monitoring or sections that may not yet have sufficient data records for modeling owing to age. Herein, the method is referred to as the ORCSE method. It is very important to note that the development of this method was not a part of the original study or study objective. Although it is included herein to show that such analyses are possible, it requires further study and calibration, and it must be emphasized that probabilistic issues are very important and should be considered in a more balanced and comprehensive PMS.

ORCSE Method and Development Procedures Using LTPP Data

The ORCSE method is a probabilistic model used to estimate the probability of a pavement section being part of a specific CS (RFP or RSP range) based on a single condition or distress record as shown in figure 56. This probability is developed using multiple probability distributions functions calibrated to local or regional pavement design groups, specific designs, construction practices, and other design or management factors. Similar to the local calibration recommended for MEPDG use in the FHWA’s Local Calibration of the MEPDG Using Pavement Management Systems, Final Report, Volume I, the ORCSE method provides the best estimates of a pavement section CS when calibrated specifically to one or multiple of these design or management constraints as long as those constraints are significant factors in pavement performance.(82)

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 56. Graph. ORCSE model probability graph from LTPP SPS-1 before treatment evaluation.

 

The development of the ORCSE model for a group of pavement sections using an entire database of newly constructed pavements should follow eight steps. The flowchart in figure 57 illustrates the process. It is important to note that the ORCSE model should be tested using model validation techniques to ensure consistent results when using it to estimate the RFP/RSP of pavement sections.

Click for description

Figure 57. Illustration. Flowchart of ORCSE model steps with examples from LTPP SPS-1 before treatment evaluation.

 

Note that although steps 1 through 3 were discussed in greater detail in previous sections of this chapter and are the basis for the RFP/RSP approach recommended in this report, they are summarized here with minor modifications to show the complete process:

It should be noted that a model could be constituted specifically of poorly constructed pavement sections to provide an estimate for other sections that might have similar construction deficiencies.

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 58. Graph. Backpropagation of IRI data for SHRP ID 26_0116 from an RFP of 0 years.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 59. Graph. Backpropagation of IRI data for SHRP ID 19_0102 from an RFP of 0 years.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 60. Graph. Backpropagation of IRI data for SHRP ID 19_0103 from an RFP of 0 years.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 61. Graph. Backpropagation of IRI data for SHRP IDs 26_0116, 19_0102, and 19_0103 displaying variation in IRI growth from an RFP of 0 years.

 

Specific details for individual steps, as applied for this report, include the following:

The ORCSE model graph may also be represented as a table considering the CS probability for a set of condition or distress values or range of values. An example with averaged weighted probabilities per 16 inches/mi (0.25 m/km) IRI range can be reviewed in table 63. Note that shading could be added to the table to emphasize the best match.

Table 63. ORCSE model table example from LTPP SPS-1 before treatment evaluation.

IRI Range (inches/mi) Probability of a CS or RFP Bracket for Selected IRI Ranges (percent)
CS 1 or RFP < 2 years CS 2 or RFP 2 to < 4 years CS 3 or RFP 4 to < 8 years CS 4 or RFP 8 to < 13 years CS 5 or RFP ≥ 13 years
16–32 0 0 0 3 97
32–48 0 0 3 14 83
48–63 0 0 4 19 77
63–79 0 0 9 39 52
79–95 0 3 19 66 11
95–111 0 12 49 37 1
111–127 3 28 59 10 0
127–143 13 61 22 3 0
143–158 55 36 6 3 0
158–171 88 8 1 2 0
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

 

The procedure for creating a table from the ORCSE model graph is outlined in the following four steps:

For example, the IRI range of 16 to 32 inches/mi (0.25 to 0.50 m/km) for CS 5 may have 24- and 30-percent probability, respectively. The average probability for the range is thus the average of 24 and 30 percent—27 percent. If it is assumed that for the remaining CS groups, whose percent probabilities are 20, 12, 8, and 1 percent for CS 4, CS 3, CS 2, and CS 1, respectively, the weighted probabilities can be found. Weighted probabilities are calculated for each CS as the averaged probability of the selected CS divided by the summation of all CSs for the subdistress range (16 to 32 inches/mi (0.25 to 0.50 m/km)). For this example, the weighted values are 40, 29, 18, 12, and 1 percent probability for CS 5, CS 4, CS 3, CS 2, and CS 1, respectively. It can then be best estimated that for an IRI between 16 to 32 inches/mi (0.25 and 0.50 m/km), the pavement has the greatest chance of being in CS 5 with a greater than or equal to 13-year RFP.

Results of ORCSE Predictions and Analyses of LTPP SPS-1 Test Sections

Based on the procedures provided in chapter 5, analyses were completed for ORCSE models based on the same LTPP SPS-1 data collection. The results were generated in both ORCSE model graphs and tables for a total of five iterations, a randomly selected sample group from the complete dataset, to provide model validation. Figure 62 to figure 66 depict the resulting ORCSE graphs for the respective resampling.

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 62. Graph. ORCSE model graph for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 1.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 63. Graph. ORCSE model graph for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 2.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 64. Graph. ORCSE model graph for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 3.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 65. Graph. ORCSE model graph for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 4.

 

Click for description
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

Figure 66. Graph. ORCSE model graph for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 5.

 

Results of Validation of ORCSE Predictions and Analyses of LTPP SPS-1 Test Sections

Table 64 through table 68 list each of the resulting ORCSE models for the respective sampling.

Table 64. ORCSE model table for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 1.

IRI Range (inches/mi) Probability of a CS or RFP Bracket for Selected IRI Ranges (percent)
CS 1 or RFP < 2 Years CS 2 or RFP 2 to < 4 Years CS 3 or RFP 4 to < 8 Years CS 4 or RFP 8 to < 13 Years CS 5 or RFP ≥ 13 Years
16–32 0 0 0 3 97
32–48 0 0 3 14 83
48–63 0 0 4 19 77
63–79 0 0 9 39 52
79–95 0 3 19 66 11
95–111 0 12 49 37 1
111–127 3 28 59 10 0
127–143 13 61 22 3 0
143–158 55 36 6 3 0
158–171 88 8 1 2 0
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

 

Table 65. ORCSE model table for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 2.

IRI Range (inches/mi) Probability of a CS or RFP Bracket for Selected IRI Ranges (percent)
CS 1 or RFP < 2 Years CS 2 or RFP 2 to < 4 Years CS 3 or RFP 4 to < 8 Years CS 4 or RFP 8 to < 13 Years CS 5 or RFP ≥ 13 Years
16–32 0 0 0 19 81
32–48 0 0 2 21 77
48–63 0 0 3 25 71
63–79 0 0 10 51 38
79–95 0 3 28 59 10
95–111 0 13 59 27 1
111–127 3 35 53 9 0
127–143 15 65 17 3 0
143–158 62 31 5 3 0
158–171 90 6 1 2 0
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

 

Table 66. ORCSE model table for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 3.

IRI Range (inches/mi) Probability of a CS or RFP Bracket for Selected IRI Ranges (percent)
CS 1 or RFP < 2 Years CS 2 or RFP 2 to < 4 Years CS 3 or RFP 4 to < 8 Years CS or RFP 4 8 to < 13 Years CS 5 or RFP ≥ 13 Years
16–32 0 0 0 21 79
32–48 0 0 2 20 78
48–63 0 0 3 22 74
63–79 0 0 9 44 47
79–95 0 3 21 65 11
95–111 0 12 53 34 1
111–127 3 29 59 9 0
127–143 13 63 21 3 0
143–158 56 36 5 3 0
158–171 90 7 1 2 0
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

 

Table 67. ORCSE model table for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 4.

IRI Range (inches/mi) Probability of a CS or RFP Bracket for Selected IRI Ranges (percent
CS 1 or RFP < 2 Years CS 2 or RFP 2 to < 4 Years CS 3 or RFP 4 to < 8 Years CS 4 or RFP 8 to < 13 Years CS 5 or RFP ≥ 13 Years
16–32 0 0 0 34 66
32–48 0 0 0 27 73
48–63 0 0 1 25 75
63–79 0 0 4 40 55
79–95 0 3 14 71 13
95–111 0 12 47 39 1
111–127 3 25 65 7 0
127–143 12 62 26 0 0
143–158 53 41 7 0 0
158–171 89 10 1 0 0
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

 

Table 68. ORCSE model table for LTPP SPS-1 virgin pavement analysis for iteration 5.

IRI Range (inches/mi) Probability of a CS or RFP Bracket for Selected IRI Ranges (percent)
CS 1 or RFP < 2 years CS 2 or RFP 2 to < 4 years CS 3 or RFP 4 to < 8 years CS 4 or RFP 8 to < 13 years CS 5 or RFP ≥ 13 years
16–32 0 0 0 2 98
32–48 0 0 2 13 84
48–63 0 0 3 19 78
63–79 0 0 9 40 50
79–95 0 3 19 68 11
95–111 0 12 50 37 1
111–127 3 27 60 10 0
127–143 13 62 22 3 0
143–158 54 37 6 3 0
158–171 89 8 1 2 0
1 inch/mi = 0.0158 m/km.

 

The ORCSE model figures visually indicate that each model iteration produced similar results, with the most significant variation in iteration 4 primarily adjusting the inner 90-percent pavement section behavior. These outer behaviors can be used to identify outliers existing in the accepted condition and distress model data as well as to visually approximate the variety of aging behavior in each modeled group. This is completed by assessing the width of the distribution at each CS—the wider the distribution is, the wider the rates of pavement condition or distress change are.

The ORCSE model tables list results similar to those shown in the figures. The tables present the same maximum probability trends for each IRI range to CS group and approximately match the change in distribution width for each CS. While not demonstrated here, the change in distribution width for each CS can also be used to approximate the variety of sections present for a modeled pavement section set. The greater the number of nonzero cells per row is, the lower the maximum relative probability per row is and the wider the range of section behavior.

The five iterations used to evaluate the consistency of the ORCSE model results were based on an 80/20 model-validation split using repeated random subsampling validation with five model iterations, as presented earlier. This numeric assessment of the models can be completed by comparing the difference between CS ranges estimated using ORCSE figures and tables with the modeled functional or structural period per section for each year the pavement section is modeled. This analysis provides the approximate number and percent of wrong predictions for similar pavements (i.e., those that have a similar design or management characteristics as those modeled) as well as details about which CS groups are most commonly incorrectly estimated by the ORCSE method.

Individual iteration analyses are presented in table 69 through table 73. These analyses can also be presented as a total number of differences for all five iterations, an average, and a median difference across each iteration. All three analyses are presented in table 74 through table 76.

Table 69. ORCSE validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups for iteration 1.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS 5 Min Max Total
CS 1 219 1 0 0 0 –1 –1 1 0
CS 2 0 217 3 0 0 –1 –1 3 1
CS 3 0 1 214 3 2 –2 1 6 3
CS 4 0 0 9 200 11 –1 1 20 9
CS 5 0 0 3 13 204 1 2 16 7
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

Table 70. ORCSE validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups for iteration 2.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS 5 Min Max Total
CS 1 240 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CS 2 3 237 0 0 0 1 1 3 1
CS 3 0 4 236 0 0 1 1 4 2
CS 4 0 0 14 226 0 1 1 14 6
CS 5 0 0 0 95 145 1 1 95 40
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

Table 71. ORCSE validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups for iteration 3.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS 5 Min Max Total
CS 1 160 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CS 2 0 159 1 0 0 –1 –1 1 1
CS 3 0 0 158 2 0 –1 –1 2 1
CS 4 0 0 0 155 5 –1 –1 5 3
CS 5 0 0 0 18 142 1 1 18 11
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

Table 72. ORCSE validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups for iteration 4.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS 5 Min Max Total
CS 1 220 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CS 2 2 214 4 0 0 –1 1 6 3
CS 3 0 3 208 7 2 –2 1 12 5
CS 4 0 0 9 194 17 –1 1 26 12
CS 5 0 0 1 16 203 1 2 17 8
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

Table 73. ORCSE validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups for iteration 5.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS5 Min Max Total
CS 1 199 1 0 0 0 –1 –1 1 1
CS 2 0 198 2 0 0 –1 –1 2 1
CS 3 0 1 195 2 2 –2 1 5 3
CS 4 0 0 7 185 8 –1 1 15 8
CS 5 0 0 8 27 165 1 2 35 18
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

Table 74. ORCSE summarized validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups for all iterations.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS 5 Min Max Total
CS 1 1,038 2 0 0 0 –1 0 2 0
CS 2 5 1,025 10 0 0 –1 1 15 1
CS 3 0 9 1,011 14 6 –2 1 29 3
CS 4 0 0 39 960 41 –1 1 80 8
CS 5 0 0 12 169 859 1 2 181 17
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

Table 75. ORCSE averaged validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups, all iterations.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS 5 Min Max Total
CS 1 208 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
CS 2 1 205 2 0 0 –1 0 3 1
CS 3 0 2 202 3 1 –1 1 6 3
CS 4 0 0 8 192 8 –1 1 16 7
CS 5 0 0 2 34 172 1 2 36 17
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

Table 76. ORCSE median validation of estimated versus modeled CS groups, all iterations.

ORCSE Estimated CS Modeled CS Difference in CS Incorrect Estimates (Percent)
CS 1 CS 2 CS 3 CS 4 CS 5 Min Max Total
CS 1 219 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CS 2 0 214 2 0 0 –1 –1 2 1
CS 3 0 1 208 2 2 –2 1 5 3
CS 4 0 0 9 194 8 –1 1 17 8
CS 5 0 0 1 18 165 1 2 19 11
Min = Minimum.
Max = Maximum.

 

The validation results indicate that for the most critical CS groups, CS 1 and CS 2, representing from the time the condition or distress threshold was reached to approximately 4 years beforehand, there were very few ORCSE estimation errors. The total errors during that period were only 17 across 2,080 total estimates, or less than 1 percent of all CS 1 and CS 2 estimates. For CS 1, the maximum difference was an overestimate of 1 CS group by the ORCSE estimation, representing a change from 0 to 2 years to 2 to 4 years. CS 2 also experienced the maximum estimate difference of 1 CS group with both occurrences of over and under-predicting CS groups compared with those sections modeled at CS 2. It is important to note that a change from one CS group to another in estimation may not be the entire width of the group. For an overestimation of CS 2 and CS 3, the modeled remaining years may be 5 while the estimated remaining years are 4, a difference of only 1 year.

The remaining CS groups experienced higher estimation errors, ranging from 1 to 3 percent for CS 3, 3 to 12 percent for CS 4, and 7 to 40 percent for CS 5, with average and median errors for each typically near the lower to middle of these ranges indicating that the majority of interactions experienced strong results. Further, the maximum CS difference in estimation between the ORCSE model method and the distress projection from the beginning of this chapter was only two CSs of the five total, again indicating a typically well-fit estimation of pavement section CS.

Summary, Conclusions, and Recommendations for the ORCSE Model

The ORCSE method, developed using LTPP data for estimation of RFP or RSP, was applied to pavement sections that had experienced lower levels of monitoring or sections that might not yet have had sufficient data records for modeling owing to age. Modeling and validation of this novel method indicate the following:

It is recommended that the ORCSE method be expanded to address additional conditions and distresses as well as applied to a wider range of LTPP and State transportation department data to further verify its successful prediction of CS groups. There is a significant potential benefit to local roadway owners as well as Federal roadway managers and State transportation departments in the use of the ORCSE method when planning pavement preservation, rehabilitation, and reconstruction.

 

 

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